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Brewcrew82

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Everything posted by Brewcrew82

  1. Brewcrew82
    The guy who orchestrated a franchise-record 4 postseason appearances in a row "sabotaged the Brewers in service of the New York Mets"? What? Is this a burner account?
  2. Brewcrew82
    They’re not trading Adames or Burnes unless they go into a major tailspin the next few weeks. Yelich is not getting traded, period.
  3. Brewcrew82
    I'm pretty sure I never disagreed with the individual prospect comments. I disagreed with your declaration the Brewers don't have the prospect capital to acquire Robert. I'm still struggling to understand how you think prospect lists are "garbage", but place so much stock into "opinions" made by the very people who devise those lists and whose opinions are translated onto those lists. Chourio, by consensus, is as good as it gets prospect-wise in the game. Right there with De la Cruz, Holiday, Meyer, Lawlar, etc.. The type that are considered "blue-chip, untouchable, etc. White Sox, if they were willing to trade Robert, wouldn't be able to get better.
  4. Brewcrew82
    98 PAs of dramatic overperformance doesn't cancel out what we saw from 2020-2021 and then in the last month and a half of the season last year. And you're accusing other people of cherrypicking...
  5. Brewcrew82
    I wouldn't have any problem with Hiura getting a chance over Winker at this point because it's hard to do worse than Winker has done, and the Brewers would be well-served to find out what he's got before the deadline. But, like Winker, his terrible defense and lack of defensive value/versatility means he needs to hit at a certain level for him to be more than a replacement-level player. There's zero guarantee that Hiura would hit at that level, and his K rate, which has gotten worse and worse since 2019, doesn't inspire a ton of optimism that he would get there. Could he be an improvement over Winker? Very possibly. Is he likely to solve the Brewers' DH woes? No.
  6. Brewcrew82
    Of course not. But what the heck does that have to do with the Brewers having the prospect capital for Luis Robert? You put Chourio on the table, and I can guarantee you the White Sox will start to listen. You add Quero, Frelick, Misiorowski, etc. to that table in addition (not that I would) and the White Sox would have a very hard time saying no. These guys are all established by industry experts (not Brewers fans) as being among the top 100 prospects in the game, top 5 in Chourio's case.
  7. Brewcrew82
    Yeah, I don't put much stock in prospect lists, but I'm going to put stock in "opinion statements" from journalists (Keith Law? BA?) who literally come up with those lists... That's quite the take.
  8. Brewcrew82
    Pratt selection might help shed some light on this..
  9. Brewcrew82
    IF we sign Pratt, this draft easily becomes an "A" for me. That might be end up being the pick of the draft for the Brewers when all is said and done.
  10. Brewcrew82
    I have no clue why you're having such a hard time understanding the fact that defense/position plays a big role in this..Different positions carry different expectations. Keston Hiura is a DH, where the offensive expectations are the literally the highest because that's where the entirety of your value comes from... Joey Gallo, on the other hand has been a GG outfielder in his career. When you're limited to DH or play terrible defense like Hiura does, you need to hit at a certain level which Hiura hasn't been able to achieve since 2019, largely as a result of his K-rate (88 wRC+/.5 fWAR/38.5% K). Hiura's 2022 OPS was always unsustainable with that 42% K rate. Case in point: .334 wOBA vs. .317 xwOBA + 89 wRC (-.1fWAR) from Aug 20 to the end of the season. That doesn't exactly help your argument. Again, still waiting on those examples...
  11. Brewcrew82
    Consensus top 5 prospects such as Chourio aren't even traded and are generally considered to be untouchable. The only recent example I can think of is Yoan Moncada when he was dealt as the main piece of the Chris Sale trade.
  12. Brewcrew82
    It's not really shifting the goalposts considering Hiura has to be an above average hitter to be a major league player... Defense has a heck of a lot to do with considering it's part of the whole package. Hiura is terrible on defense and effectively limited to DH. Thus, he has to hit at a higher level than someone like Gallo, who has been a GG fielder. Don't you think that might have something to do with why Gallo has been allowed to "slog through full seasons of ABs" compared to Hiura? Not toomention Hiura doesn't hit the ball as well as Gallo does when he actually does make contact.... BTW, I'm still waiting on you providing me some examples of players with a K% of 35% who have been able to establish themselves in this league...
  13. Brewcrew82
    It's not arbitrary. It's based on history/data. Look at fangraphs/baseball savant and give me an example of a player with a K% at 35% who has been able to establish themselves in the major leagues. The only one is Gallo, and as I pointed out, Gallo has a leg up on Hiura in 3 major ways (BB%, EV/Barrel Rate, Defense).
  14. Brewcrew82
    Chourio is literally a consensus top 5 prospect in the game. That's blue-chip. He almost gets you to Robert's surplus value on his own. And then there's Quero, Misiorowski, Frelick, Black, etc. all of whom are rated as top 100 prospects. Not in Brewers' fan lists, but in industry lists. You've said multiple times you don't follow the minor leagues particularly close, but now you're acting like an expert?
  15. Brewcrew82
    Yes, at or near 35%. 35% isn't near 30%. If you told me he would K at 30%, then I would say bring him up because he can have some success with that, based on recent history th/o the league. But Hiura K'd 42% of the time last year... K% isn't "arbitrary". It's correlated with production. Long at-bats which end in a K are useless because there's a 0% chance of getting on base, plating a run etc.. So, the more K's you rack up, the less your production will be. Joey Gallo is the only player w/ K rates consistently as high as Hiura who has been able to establish themselves in the big leagues. And even then, Gallo is one of the most maddeningly inconsistent players in the game. Not to mention he has a leg up on Hiura in 3 major ways; specifically, his BB%, his defense, and his EV/Barrel%.
  16. Brewcrew82
    For someone who says they don't follow the minor leagues, I don't know why you're making the declaration that the Brewers don't have the blue chippers to get a deal for Robert done. They do in fact between Chourio, Quero, Misiorowski, Frelick, Black, etc. It's just a matter of whether the Brewers would part with those pieces. I don't know if I would.
  17. Brewcrew82
    That's not 35% last time I checked....And his 2019 MLB production was driven by an astronomical .402 BABIP. He's come back down to earth and then some with the regression of that BABIP to the mean. If Hiura wants to be a major league player, he's gotta have that K rate around 30 percent at maximum.
  18. Brewcrew82
    He cannot have a K% at or near 35% and put up production making it worthwhile for the Brewers to roster him.
  19. Brewcrew82
    Hoping we go heavy pitching today.
  20. Brewcrew82
    No. He's one and a half years older than Chourio. And Chourio's tools are better. The notion that Chourio is somehow overrated is ridiculous. He's a 19 year old in AA. Literally the only one. Jordan Walker, for example, was a year older than Chourio is now when he was in AA last year.
  21. Brewcrew82
    His first inning was pretty eye popping with 2 filthy Ks and 0 hits...And then the second inning included 2 IF hits and the run only scored because of the phantom balk call.. The thing that separates Uribe from those other guys is that his 100+ mph fastball isn't even his best pitch. That would be his slider. He uses the fastball as more of a secondary/set-up pitch a la. Devin Williams. And the fastball has a lot of movement, whereas many flamethrowers have fastballs that are straight as an arrow.
  22. Brewcrew82
    I don't even know if I'd call his second inning a "struggle". 2 IF singles and the run only scored because of the phantom balk. Overall, it was a very promising debut.
  23. Brewcrew82
    They did say Rowdy's IL stint was likely to be a short one...
  24. Brewcrew82
    Like the pick. Almost certainly will be under slot and allows you to go over slot later for someone like Soto. I’m pretty certain we’ll go pitcher next.
  25. Brewcrew82
    Hey, a power hitting corner infielder!
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