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Brewcrew82

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Everything posted by Brewcrew82

  1. Brewcrew82
    There's zero similarity between Perez and Chourio. Chourio tore up A ball and forced his way up to AA at 18. Perez has never hit and can't make it out of A ball. Chourio is 19 in AA. Literally the only one in all of baseball, and still is on pace for a 20/40 season.
  2. Brewcrew82
    Yeah. An arm like Hader is nice, but unnecessary. Corner OF/IF bats (with the exception of LF) a different story...
  3. Brewcrew82
    I know this isn't the "official poll", but given how we still have a couple days until play resumes, I thought it would be fun to post my tentative top 20 after the draft. Quero #3 after Chourio and Mis. Mostly because of the premium tools of those guys. Nothing wrong with #3 in this system. 1) Chourio 2) Misiorowski 3) Quero 4) Frelick 5) Lara 6) Black 7) Gasser 8) Uribe 9) Wilken 10) Pratt 11) Carlos F. Rodriguez 12) EBJ 13) Yophery Rodriguez 14) Guilarte 15) Bitonti 16) Knoth 17) Jarvis 18) Boeve 19) Moore 20) Henderson This farm system is in such great shape. Best it's been since we were briefly ranked #1 in 2016. And we haven't had to go through a teardown like we did then.
  4. Brewcrew82
    If there's any all-star game I'm watching it's MLB.
  5. Brewcrew82
    William Contreras has already surpassed his fWAR from last year (2.5)....Charlie Greene and co. have turned him into one of the best all-around catchers in the game.
  6. Brewcrew82
    Looks like the Brewers are going to be shut out from this all-star game.
  7. Brewcrew82
    Or the whole paragraphs thing.
  8. Brewcrew82
    Oh no, they did suggest that. Multiple times.
  9. Brewcrew82
    You probably should’ve put it in blue font considering there’s certain people on here who have sincerely made that very claim.
  10. Brewcrew82
    Yelich has a full no-trade clause.... Not to mention he's their best hitter right now in a lineup that is short of good hitters.
  11. Brewcrew82
    The guy who orchestrated a franchise-record 4 postseason appearances in a row "sabotaged the Brewers in service of the New York Mets"? What? Is this a burner account?
  12. Brewcrew82
    They’re not trading Adames or Burnes unless they go into a major tailspin the next few weeks. Yelich is not getting traded, period.
  13. Brewcrew82
    I'm pretty sure I never disagreed with the individual prospect comments. I disagreed with your declaration the Brewers don't have the prospect capital to acquire Robert. I'm still struggling to understand how you think prospect lists are "garbage", but place so much stock into "opinions" made by the very people who devise those lists and whose opinions are translated onto those lists. Chourio, by consensus, is as good as it gets prospect-wise in the game. Right there with De la Cruz, Holiday, Meyer, Lawlar, etc.. The type that are considered "blue-chip, untouchable, etc. White Sox, if they were willing to trade Robert, wouldn't be able to get better.
  14. Brewcrew82
    98 PAs of dramatic overperformance doesn't cancel out what we saw from 2020-2021 and then in the last month and a half of the season last year. And you're accusing other people of cherrypicking...
  15. Brewcrew82
    I wouldn't have any problem with Hiura getting a chance over Winker at this point because it's hard to do worse than Winker has done, and the Brewers would be well-served to find out what he's got before the deadline. But, like Winker, his terrible defense and lack of defensive value/versatility means he needs to hit at a certain level for him to be more than a replacement-level player. There's zero guarantee that Hiura would hit at that level, and his K rate, which has gotten worse and worse since 2019, doesn't inspire a ton of optimism that he would get there. Could he be an improvement over Winker? Very possibly. Is he likely to solve the Brewers' DH woes? No.
  16. Brewcrew82
    Of course not. But what the heck does that have to do with the Brewers having the prospect capital for Luis Robert? You put Chourio on the table, and I can guarantee you the White Sox will start to listen. You add Quero, Frelick, Misiorowski, etc. to that table in addition (not that I would) and the White Sox would have a very hard time saying no. These guys are all established by industry experts (not Brewers fans) as being among the top 100 prospects in the game, top 5 in Chourio's case.
  17. Brewcrew82
    Yeah, I don't put much stock in prospect lists, but I'm going to put stock in "opinion statements" from journalists (Keith Law? BA?) who literally come up with those lists... That's quite the take.
  18. Brewcrew82
    Pratt selection might help shed some light on this..
  19. Brewcrew82
    IF we sign Pratt, this draft easily becomes an "A" for me. That might be end up being the pick of the draft for the Brewers when all is said and done.
  20. Brewcrew82
    I have no clue why you're having such a hard time understanding the fact that defense/position plays a big role in this..Different positions carry different expectations. Keston Hiura is a DH, where the offensive expectations are the literally the highest because that's where the entirety of your value comes from... Joey Gallo, on the other hand has been a GG outfielder in his career. When you're limited to DH or play terrible defense like Hiura does, you need to hit at a certain level which Hiura hasn't been able to achieve since 2019, largely as a result of his K-rate (88 wRC+/.5 fWAR/38.5% K). Hiura's 2022 OPS was always unsustainable with that 42% K rate. Case in point: .334 wOBA vs. .317 xwOBA + 89 wRC (-.1fWAR) from Aug 20 to the end of the season. That doesn't exactly help your argument. Again, still waiting on those examples...
  21. Brewcrew82
    Consensus top 5 prospects such as Chourio aren't even traded and are generally considered to be untouchable. The only recent example I can think of is Yoan Moncada when he was dealt as the main piece of the Chris Sale trade.
  22. Brewcrew82
    It's not really shifting the goalposts considering Hiura has to be an above average hitter to be a major league player... Defense has a heck of a lot to do with considering it's part of the whole package. Hiura is terrible on defense and effectively limited to DH. Thus, he has to hit at a higher level than someone like Gallo, who has been a GG fielder. Don't you think that might have something to do with why Gallo has been allowed to "slog through full seasons of ABs" compared to Hiura? Not toomention Hiura doesn't hit the ball as well as Gallo does when he actually does make contact.... BTW, I'm still waiting on you providing me some examples of players with a K% of 35% who have been able to establish themselves in this league...
  23. Brewcrew82
    It's not arbitrary. It's based on history/data. Look at fangraphs/baseball savant and give me an example of a player with a K% at 35% who has been able to establish themselves in the major leagues. The only one is Gallo, and as I pointed out, Gallo has a leg up on Hiura in 3 major ways (BB%, EV/Barrel Rate, Defense).
  24. Brewcrew82
    Chourio is literally a consensus top 5 prospect in the game. That's blue-chip. He almost gets you to Robert's surplus value on his own. And then there's Quero, Misiorowski, Frelick, Black, etc. all of whom are rated as top 100 prospects. Not in Brewers' fan lists, but in industry lists. You've said multiple times you don't follow the minor leagues particularly close, but now you're acting like an expert?
  25. Brewcrew82
    Yes, at or near 35%. 35% isn't near 30%. If you told me he would K at 30%, then I would say bring him up because he can have some success with that, based on recent history th/o the league. But Hiura K'd 42% of the time last year... K% isn't "arbitrary". It's correlated with production. Long at-bats which end in a K are useless because there's a 0% chance of getting on base, plating a run etc.. So, the more K's you rack up, the less your production will be. Joey Gallo is the only player w/ K rates consistently as high as Hiura who has been able to establish themselves in the big leagues. And even then, Gallo is one of the most maddeningly inconsistent players in the game. Not to mention he has a leg up on Hiura in 3 major ways; specifically, his BB%, his defense, and his EV/Barrel%.
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