Brewcrew82
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Everything posted by Brewcrew82
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I have concerns about the FO's strategy this offseason, but I also realize that it's December 8th and that there's four months until the season starts. Regardless, there is no place for calling someone what the above poster just called me.
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I have concerns about the FO's strategy this offseason, but I also realize that it's December 8th and that there's four months until the season starts. Regardless, there is no place for calling someone what the above poster just called me.
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If we're giving up Mitchell and Lauer why don't we just give them to the Jays directly for Danny Jansen, right? I don't get it. Though, I would definitely love to have Daulton Varsho on the team to install in RF for the next four years. Maybe even longer, as a Marshfield, WI resident...
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If we're giving up Mitchell and Lauer why don't we just give them to the Jays directly for Danny Jansen, right? I don't get it. Though, I would definitely love to have Daulton Varsho on the team to install in RF for the next four years. Maybe even longer, as a Marshfield, WI resident...
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There's some good points here, particularly the seeming lack of a concerted offseason strategy. As another poster stated in a different thread, it's been a lot of zigging and zagging by this front office. However, they have still managed to clear about $20 million from last year's payroll, taking into account projected arbitration figures. That's a meaningful amount of wiggle room that they lacked at the beginning of the offseason. They just have to use it. With plenty of free agent and trade options remaining, I'm not concerned that they'll decide to pocket the savings just yet. In addition, one injury-plagued season in one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in the majors doesn't change the fact that Winker is a better hitter than Renfroe. 123 career wRC+ for Winker vs. 109 career wRC+ for Renfroe. Renfroe's all-power, high strikeout/low OBP approach is the exact thing that has plagued this offense over the last couple of years. Compare that to Winker, who walked in the 99th percentile last season with a well above average contact rate...
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It's a question. But this FO has earned the benefit of the doubt with their ability to identify pitching talent imo.
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It's a question. But this FO has earned the benefit of the doubt with their ability to identify pitching talent imo.
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Box, sure. But Gott and Suter were literally replacement level pitchers last year....They seem want more quantity than they had last season, which I agree with.
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Box, sure. But Gott and Suter were literally replacement level pitchers last year....They seem want more quantity than they had last season, which I agree with.
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Other than Hader, who had already been traded at the deadline, who left that we'll really be missing? Boxberger, I guess. He was certainly valuable to us. But who else? On the other hand, we've added a number of depth arms, which is what hurt us last season when we were forced to trot out guys like Alexander and Kelley....
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Other than Hader, who had already been traded at the deadline, who left that we'll really be missing? Boxberger, I guess. He was certainly valuable to us. But who else? On the other hand, we've added a number of depth arms, which is what hurt us last season when we were forced to trot out guys like Alexander and Kelley....
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Did the Angels trade not happen? See, I can do smirky questions, too.
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Did the Angels trade not happen? See, I can do smirky questions, too.
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They've been moving him off C, but he still plays there from time to time. 31 G/18 S in 2021.
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They've been moving him off C, but he still plays there from time to time. 31 G/18 S in 2021.
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From MLBTR, "Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic reports roughly 10 clubs have been in touch with Hazen and company regarding at least one of the team’s outfielders. Piecoro lists the Yankees, Brewers, Blue Jays, A’s, Marlins, White Sox and Reds as clubs with interest." Very interesting considering our existing stockpile of young outfielders. Daulton Varsho sure would look good in a Brewers' uniform, with the rare ability to play elite defense at RF, CF, and C.... -
From MLBTR, "Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic reports roughly 10 clubs have been in touch with Hazen and company regarding at least one of the team’s outfielders. Piecoro lists the Yankees, Brewers, Blue Jays, A’s, Marlins, White Sox and Reds as clubs with interest." Very interesting considering our existing stockpile of young outfielders. Daulton Varsho sure would look good in a Brewers' uniform, with the rare ability to play elite defense at RF, CF, and C.... View full rumor
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I doubt it. The catching rotation as currently rostered would be the worst in the majors. A team with designs on contending as the Brewers are cannot afford to go forward with that. If anything, the fact that they recognize it is a problem is a promising sign as opposed to the typical "we're comfortable with what we have on the roster" line.
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I doubt it. The catching rotation as currently rostered would be the worst in the majors. A team with designs on contending as the Brewers are cannot afford to go forward with that. If anything, the fact that they recognize it is a problem is a promising sign as opposed to the typical "we're comfortable with what we have on the roster" line.
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From August 2019 to now, it's been accurate on 94.6% of real-life trades....It's not perfect by any stretch, but it's better than anything else that's publicly available. https://theathletic.com/3447510/2022/07/26/juan-soto-trade-values/
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Vazquez obviously makes the most sense on a two year deal as you wouldn't have to give up prospects and he would be able to help form a bridge to Quero. However, with the markets rumored to be involved and the trajectory of the FA market this offseason, I don't think it'll happen. Murphy is the top trade candidate. However, the asking price there is enormous, with the A's reportedly having asked for Nootbar, Donovan, Graceffo, plus from the Cards. For the Brewers, that would be like Frelick, Turang, and Gasser as a starting point, with Ashby perhaps having to be included as well. Again, unlikely. Which brings us back to Toronto and Danny Jansen. He should be about half the cost of Murphy and would likewise be able to manage the C position until Quero arrives. Jansen also carries with him some upside, considering he's been a backup his whole career and has still put up a 123 OPS+ over the past two seasons with above average batted ball metrics. I'd give Toronto an OF not named Chourio or Frelick, along with Eric Lauer and a lottery ticket. That's a fair trade for both sides imo. D'Arnaud would also be more than acceptable to me. It's just a question of whether the Braves are going to trade him, or if they want to keep him and play Contreras at DH or in the OF. He should cost around the same or a little less than Jansen, but also has more downside as he's already 33.
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Rule V Draft: Brewers select Gus Varland
Brewcrew82 replied to StearnsFTW's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Truth be told, it's largely the same people complaining and overreacting to every move the Brewers make period. -
Adjustments are a good thing and not necessarily an indication of unreliability. In this particular case, they made the correct adjustment by moving Woody up 12 points. Again, I wouldn't focus on making sure that everything lines up value-wise to the last decimal. That's not how the real world operates. But it does provide a basic picture that is grounded in empirical data and which helps to structure the discussion around potential trades. And the fact remains that it's been accurate on upwards of 90% of actual trades. That's a pretty good indication of validity right there.
