Brewcrew82
-
Posts
10,676 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
125
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by Brewcrew82
-
Wow you really owned me. Like you've been waiting for that or something. And he asked the question of which teams would even consider batting Yelich and/or McCutchen 3rd and 4th. I responded that the Rays might on this particular night, considering Kevin Kiermaier is worse than Yelich in terms of OPS.
-
Can we please not turn the game thread into a negative haven/offense bashing zone? Particularly when the game hasn't even started yet. By all means, let's start bashing Hunter Renfroe, who is returning from injury today and possesses an .807 OPS.
-
Since you asked, the Rays are currently batting Kevin Kiermaier cleanup....And they're most similar to us of all the contenders in terms of market size.
-
You do realize we're facing a lefty tonight......
-
I'll take it. Especially considering we're facing a lefty tonight and Renfroe rakes against them.
-
They could try to replicate something like the Braves currently have where they are far removed from the downtown scene, but have an entertainment district with a mix of shops, dining, and living spaces. I think it could work if done right. The article mentions how there's an area of undeveloped space (I forget the name of the business that used to occupy it) adjacent to Am Fam that would be the center of such a district. So, not much parking space would have to be removed. The major thing I'm having a hard time getting past is how an entertainment district would be able to coexist with Milwaukee's tailgate culture. People will obviously bring their own food and drink and tailgate if the prices at the entertainment district are anything like they are inside the stadium. Where it could really work is providing the Brewers with a source of revenue on non-game days and during the offseason. I could very easily see people wanting to go to a potential "Beer District" on the outskirts of the city with ample parking space rather than going all the way into downtown and having to struggle to find a parking spot for the Deer District.
-
It's prospect ranking time! Due by Friday 5/27
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
I think I may have a mistake with my rankings. I love Wiemer as much as anyone, but Chourio is on a different level. -
Jackson Chourio - Baseball America Hype
Brewcrew82 replied to Manty Brewer Fan's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Wow. I'm on the younger side, but I remember that, while Braun, Fielder, and Weeks, were both top 20/10 prospects, they never really approached the level of being considered a potential top overall prospect in all of baseball. Have the Brewers ever had this level of a prospect? I know Surhoff was a #1 draft pick, but not sure if he was that highly regarded as he moved through the minors.... -
Wow, Christian Yelich has been better than Nicholas Castellanos this year. Almost like signing him to a huge 5 year deal with our market size wouldn't have necessarily been the best idea.
-
People like to talk about the lack of star hitting power on this team compared to the Cardinals, but Adames' Statcast numbers this year are virtually identical to Goldschmidt's and largely better than Arenado's. Plus, Adames plays the premium defensive position on the infield quite well. I'm NOT saying that Adames is better than those guys (they are both likely future Hall of Famers), but it is quite interesting nevertheless. In addition, after a blazing start in April, Arenado has cooled off and is hitting more in line with his expected numbers. Meanwhile, as a result of his insane hot streak, Goldschmidt has significantly surpassed his expected stats. So, Goldschmidt will likely start to cool off soon, and the Cardinals will have to fill that lost production somewhere else to keep winning at their current rate. They are unlikely to get that from their three rookies, who are also currently hitting way above expectations, nor can they expect to get it from 40 year olds such as Pujols and Molina. That narrows the pool of candidates to O'Neill and Carlson, who are both due to return from injury soon. O'Neill's problem, as you say, is his huge swing and miss tendencies which bear a striking resemblance to those of Hiura. Last year, he was able to combat this by hitting the ball extremely hard when he did make contact. However, this year, his hard-hit percentage has taken a nose dive, which has led to him being statistically one of the worst position players in baseball, even worse than Lorenzo Cain by bWAR. That is a huge problem for the Cardinals, and one I'm not sure is easily rectified.
-
I realize this is the offense thread and not the NL Central thread, but the Cardinals do not have equally good pitching as the Brewers.
-
Prospect rankings may not matter to you personally, but they certainly matter when trying to establish a young player like Urias' potential and ability. Sure prospect evaluation is an inexact science and many top prospects have flamed out over the years, but they have proven predictive ability. Just look at the list of best players in the game, such as Mike Trout, Juan Soto, Bryce Harper, Vlad Jr, Acuna, etc. Top 20 prospects all of them. So, the fact that Urias was once a top 20/30 prospect and is still only in his second season as a regular starter matters a great deal when trying to predict what kind of production he will put forward over the remainder of this season. Particularly when he's already OPS'd almost .800 over the course of a full season. From what I've read, Urias did not injure his thumb during Friday's game, but has been dealing with it for a little while after getting jammed a couple times in quick succession. Though he continued to try to play through it, it got to the point on Friday where it was negatively impacting his ability to make accurate throws to first, as demonstrated by his error on the Mazara grounder in the 3rd inning. And, as I stated above, his current WAR of .9 over 28 games extends out to 5.2 over the course of 162 games. That's all-star level production. Maybe less than what the Cardinals are getting from Arenado, but still significantly more than the Dodgers are getting from Turner right now.
-
Not many of our competitors can say they have the best (healthy) starter AND reliever in baseball. That's our advantage over our competitors. And pitching still does win championships. The question is whether our hitting will go stone-cold in the postseason like it did last year. You would like to think it won't, but some deadline reinforcements like Bell, Benintendi, Mancini, etc. would certainly make me feel more confident. Anything can happen once you get to the postseason. And the Brewers currently have over an 80% probability of doing so.
-
As far as Urias goes, it's worth mentioning that, like Adames, he was once a consensus top 20/30 prospect in all of baseball, and that his hitting was his carrying tool throughout his minor league career at a 65+ grade. Also, I'm pretty sure that his recent slump has a lot to do with the fact that he has a bad thumb and can barely grip the bat. He was OPSing above .800 before that, and should only benefit from the rest he's gotten over the last few days. And despite his slump, his WAR is at 0.9 in 28 games, which stretches out to 5.2 over the course of a 162 game season. That's all-star territory right there. As a result, if you placed the over/under on his OPS for the end of the season at his current .740 line, I would probably choose the over. Our 3B situation is more than fine in my opinion. Not better than the Cardinals, who have Arenado. But certainly better than the Dodgers, who are currently trotting out the corpse of Justin Turner. Imagine if we'd signed him to a multi-year deal like many wanted us to do.
-
There has been some discussion in recent weeks about the future of Am Fam and the Brewers' expected push for renovations, as well as potential financing options for such renovations. Well, lookie here...First a Deer District, then an Iron District, now a "Beer District"?
-
Are you saying ranking 2nd or 1st in these categories isn't elite? Cause if that's not elite, then elite doesn't exist. And you asked about the Brewers' pitching being elite, not their "run prevention". Nor am I "cherrypicking" stats where the Brewers rate high. These stats (WAR, FIP, K/9 etc.) are as fundamental to modern-day pitching as it gets. I know you're not fond of these "newer statistics" but even by the traditional ERA measure the Brewers are 6th in MLB while the Cardinals are in the middle tier. If you see me assuming the best in the Brewers while assuming the worst in the Cardinals, I certainly see you doing the reverse. They're definitely nowhere near perfect, but they're as good and as all-inclusive as it gets at this early stage in the season, particularly when both rosters have changed relatively little over the past year. The Cardinals certainly didn't make any earth-shattering additions like they did the previous offseason in Arenado (not that the Brewers did either). And it remains to be seen how long their rookies can continue at this pace, as well as whether or not guys like O'Neill, Carlson, and Flaherty can return from injury and be productive. I certainly have my doubts with at least some of these guys. I do agree with you in that the division race this year is likely to be closer than it was last year, simply because the Brewers' running away with the division last year was so out of the norm historically and because the Cardinals seem to be more like their September selves than I initially thought.
-
The experts at places like Baseball America say that Turang is a better prospect than Donovan or Yepez. He's currently ranked 82nd in all of baseball. And there's more to the game than just hitting and OPS. For instance, Donovan has a 55 hit tool, but is below 50 (below average) in literally every other phase of the game. Meanwhile, Turang has above average tools everywhere except for power. Nowhere on this site have I presented Turang as a savior for this offense. All I've said is that I would like Turang on the roster because he would provide an upgrade over Cain at the plate and has more future potential on offense than Reyes and would also help stabilize some of the subpar defense we've gotten from the infield. I'm not as high on Dahl, but you have to acknowledge that he's had more sustained production at the major league level than Donovan or Yepez, which gets at my broader point that it would be foolish to expect them to continue to produce at the level they currently are for the remainder of the season. To keep winning as they have been, the Cardinals will most likely have to get that production from somewhere else on their roster.
-
Also, there's two pretty good strands of evidence to suggest that this lineup is in fact good enough to get them to 90-95 wins. 1. Last season. 2: The projection models (538, Fangraphs, etc.).
-
Yes, the Brewers' pitching is elite, and there's no question about it. Even if you take what they did last year out of the equation, their 8.6 combined WAR, 3.41 FIP, and 3.432 xFIP are all second in the entire majors after the Yankees. And their 9.86 K/9 leads the majors by a significant degree. Conversely, the Cardinals are 25th, 24th, 23rd, and 26th in these four categories. I could also say that you're applying a much more critical standard to the Brewers than you are to the Cardinals, particularly when you assume that O'Neill and Flaherty will all return from injury and be all-star level players and that their three rookies will continue to outpace even the Brewers' best hitters, while Woodruff will defy three years of top 10 level pitching and Peralta won't even return this season despite Counsell saying that he will.
-
Also, since you brought up Turang, it's worth noting that he's a better prospect than Donovan and Yepez. And I haven't jumped on "Turang train" for what I think he'll bring to the offense, though he would almost certainly present a big improvement over Cain, but for his 60-grade defense amid what has been an uneven start on that end for the Brewers' infield. I don't even think it's a 100% certainty that they're better options for the Cardinals over the remainder of season than David Dahl, who you also mention, is for the Brewers. At least Dahl has been an all-star in the major leagues and sustained an .870 OPS over the course of a season.
-
How about Benintendi and Staumont? That may require parting with one of our top 100 prospects, but it would add a high-average, low strikeout bat, which our offense could sorely use, and a potential shutdown reliever alongside Hader/Williams/Boxberger.
-
Yes, but how will the Cardinals look when these guys are no longer hitting at an .870 OPS pace, as they currently are, but at a .770 OPS pace (which is actually pretty generous according to the projection systems)? In order for the Cardinals to keep winning as they have been, they will need that production to come from somewhere else. They don't have elite pitching we do (Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Hader, Williams, etc.) to make up for it, so they will have to find it from their other hitters, probably in the form of O'Neill and Carlson once they return from their injuries. I already pointed out my reasons to you why O'Neill is unlikely to fill that void.
-
I'm willing to trade everyone in this system in a fair deal, with the exception of Chourio. I think a Bell/Benintendi deadline haul would be just what we need and may not even require us to part with a top 5 prospect. Of course, pretty much every other contender will be after these players, so probably not the most likely scenario. If we want a controllable star-level player, we may have to offer Wiemer in return. With our minor league depth in the outfield and the potential rapid ascent of Chourio, I wouldn't be absolutely opposed to the idea.
