Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

Lucas O.

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,283

  • Joined

  • Days Won

    117

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Lucas O.

  1. Lucas O.
    Ha no of course not. There's a reason why I have Payne as my 7th ranked prospect and Di Turi 38th. Hence Di Turi as a pick for a sleeper prospect. Honestly your push back against Di Turi actually makes it an even better pick because clearly you don't think he has it in him to take a step and I do push back against some of your evaluations on Di Turi especially at the plate. He's a guy who had a 92 wRC+ through July 31st in Carolina then just really fell off a cliff the last 5 weeks to the tune of a 53 wRC+. Fellow 18 year old Yophery saw a late season drop off as well. He was sitting at a 130 wRC+ at the end of July then had an 82 wRC+ the rest of the way. I think there's a good chance that both he and Yophery hit a late season wall in their first season in full season ball. Di Turi showed some intriguing characteristics at the plate especially for an 18 year old in his swing decisions and his ability to pull/lift the ball.
  2. Lucas O.
    Of course they are strikingly different samples and normally I wouldn't bother referencing that small of a sample but you used Payne's 6 game A ball sample as an example of someone who looked the part so I thought it was fair game to do the same with Baez. I also watch the games. That's not something unique to you.
  3. Lucas O.
    I think it's probably safe to assume the Brewers aren't just using a radar gun for their live/bullpen sessions.
  4. Lucas O.
    It's also tough to know how through the motions Woodruff was going. It being the first live action of the Spring you would kind of assume it would be more going through the motions than pitching midseason would be so you'd expect velo to be down. I remember Woodruff saying he was pretty amped up so maybe he was going higher effort than you'd expect for that early in spring.
  5. Lucas O.
    I'll easily take Margot over Hicklen or Collins to be a weakside platoon guy in the OF if that spot was ever needed.
  6. Lucas O.
    I think the idea of comparing him to a bunch of players who hit the level a year older than he did as an example of how he was "poor" by your standards is the dismissive part. Especially when one of those names was Juan Baez a guy who looked completely out of place in Carolina in his very brief sample as an 18 year old.
  7. Lucas O.
    Well touching 92 could be considered 7mph slower than pre-injury considering he was a guy who touched 99 in the past. Just way too soon to know. Hopefully he throws in a statcast ST game so we can get full velo numbers.
  8. Lucas O.
    Most of those players you listed were older than Di Turi was last year when they were in Carolina. O'Rae, Guilarte, Adams, Pratt, Adamczewski were all 19. Baez in his short A ball stint as an 18 year old had a 65 wRC+. Yophery, Bitonti, Payne are different tier of prospect than Di Turi is. Think you're being incredibly dismissive of someone who was 2.5 years younger than the average player in the Carolina League. He was one of the youngest players in the entire league.
  9. Lucas O.
    Just an FYI, those projection systems do not factor in that he's coming off major shoulder surgery.
  10. Lucas O.
    It's probably a minor league deal as injury insurance for the OF considering we have no notable OF prospects in the high minors outside Lara (assuming he starts in AA) who isn't exactly knocking on the MLB door.
  11. Lucas O.
    Position Players Hedbert Perez - Coming off a nice stint on the VEWL and the injuries finally behind him (fingers crossed) I think he has a year where you bounced back from being an afterthought by many. Marco Dinges - Flashed great EV in Carolina last year. Hopefully with an offseason of tutelage from the Brewers he shows he can stick at C where he offers legit offensive upside Filippo Di Turi - Struggled as an 18 year old in Carolina but had strong swing decisions. Very strong defensively up the middle, I think he bounces back offensively and ends up in Wisconsin by season's end as a 19 year old. Pitchers Will Rudy - Very smooth delivery. This is the offseason he finally adds a bit of velo to add to his solid command. Will Childers - Flashed very solid stuff in the AZFL. I think he becomes a potential late season shuttle option for the bullpen. Anthony Flores - Doesn't have the flashiest stuff, but has put up very respectable K and BB numbers the last two seasons between the DSL, ACL, and Carolina. Doing it over a full season in Carolina as a 20 year old officially puts him on the map as a name to watch
  12. Lucas O.
    I think the point of this is guessing without researching. It would be like playing immaculate grid with baseball-reference pulled up on the side. Kind of defeats the purpose of the whole thing.
  13. Lucas O.
    That's just not how deferrals work. The money that is being deferred needs to be put in an escrow account within two years of when the money earned then when the money is paid out it goes from the escrow account to the player. So the $68M that was deferred for Ohtani in 2024 needs to be set aside by the Dodgers by 2026.
  14. Lucas O.
    I mean I don't think many are disputing Frelick gained 25 pounds. It's the selling it as Frelick gained 25 pounds of muscle that's complete nonsense. He's 5'8 and 190lbs so he's probably pretty maxed out physically which means it's tougher for him to maintain that weight in season when he's not lifting weights as often as he does in the offseason.
  15. Lucas O.
    Looks like the Tyler Black to 3B thing was not so accurate.
  16. Lucas O.
    I'm all for giving it a try. If the org is actually viewing him as a potential 3B option I'd feel a bit better about their inactivity in the FA/trade IF market.
  17. Lucas O.
    Easily the last one.
  18. Lucas O.
    He’s young yes but he’s Rule 5 eligible after the 2027 season. He’s thrown 84 professional innings and will likely be on a pitch/inning limit in 2026 and might even miss some of the season depending on his recovery time. So while Knoth will still be young he’s on a timeline that doesn’t change because of an injury. These injury issues lead to scenarios where you’re protecting guys like Logan Henderson or Bradley Blalock from the Rule 5 draft when they aren’t close to being built up enough to be a full time starter. Also with Henderson you could argue the lack of reps is part of the reason he’s never been able to develop a legitimate third pitch.
  19. Lucas O.
    You misread what Jake said. Jake is disputing that Frelick put on 25 pounds of muscle not that Frelick put on 25 pounds.
  20. Lucas O.
    Frelick had -5.6 offensive value per fangraphs in 524 PA. DeJong had -5.1 offensive value per fangraphs in 482 PA. If he continued that pace through 524 PA he would have had -5.5 offensive value. So he was minisculely more valuable than Frelick last year offensively. By RE24 which assigns run values based on the 24 base/out states, Frelick was at -2.20 runs in 2024. DeJong was at -13.93. Considering DeJong is entering his age 31 season and Frelick is entering his age 25 season, I think it's a pretty safe bet that Frelick will be more valuable than DeJong offensive in 2025.
  21. Lucas O.
    Yeah there's really no reason to do this for the Brewers.
  22. Lucas O.
    The concern is far less about being able to recover from surgery and far more about losing 12+ months of developmental time. That's a big developmental blow.
  23. Lucas O.
    He probably did gain 25 pounds in the offseason with a good chunk of that weight being water weight and fat. There's literally a 0% chance he gained 25 pounds of muscle in 4 months. Even if you were up to the gills in every performance enhancer you can think of you wouldn't be able to gain 25 pounds of muscle in 4 months.
  24. Lucas O.
    Hopefully Knoth can have a quicker timeline TJ recovery considering he's rule 5 eligible after the 2027 season. If he has a longer 18 months TJ recovery he'd only have a year and a half available until he's Rule 5 eligible.
  25. Lucas O.
    I'm pretty confident in saying I doubt the Brewers will carry 5 LHP in their bullpen.
×
×
  • Create New...