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Lucas O.

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Everything posted by Lucas O.

  1. Lucas O.
    So no you don't. You have no clue the quality of contact against and especially not if the contact was soft or hard.
  2. Lucas O.
    Do you have any tangible proof of this? I’m not aware of anywhere that has public batted ball data like that for DSL.
  3. Lucas O.
    Wow this made me look at team splits vs LHP and the Brewers are all the way at 19th with a 94 wRC+ vs LHP. I didn’t even realize we were hitting LHP better than RHP this season.
  4. Lucas O.
    Yeah definitely an advantage there. It’s something that goes a bit under the radar with our system that outside of AAA we have some of the youngest teams in their respective leagues. ACL - 5th youngest hitting, 2nd youngest pitching A - 2nd youngest hitting, 4th youngest pitching A+ - 5th youngest hitting, 3rd youngest pitching AA - Youngest hitting (by almost half a year), 4th oldest pitching So of those 4 teams, Biloxi’s pitching staff is the only group that’s in the top half of the league in age.
  5. Lucas O.
    Hope someone here can verify this, but the ACL Brewers would play at the ACL Rockies in the 1 game semifinal playoffs correct? Because we are the 4 seed by record and the ACL Rockies are the 1 seed? If that is true it is awesome because the ACL Rockies have statcast data at their home park, so we should get to see some EV and pitch metrics! Somewhat less awesome is how amazing the ACL Rockies have been with a 39-15 record and +191 run diferential (2nd best run differential in the ACL is +63 for comparison)
  6. Lucas O.
    Here's an article by the Brewers' Pipeline guy Sam Dykstra on Gasser's pitch mix and grips: https://www.mlb.com/news/robert-gasser-mlb-pipeline-pitching-lab?t=mlb-pipeline-coverage
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  7. Lucas O.
    That's technically correct, but both teams play the same amount of games, so it doesn't really make sense to talk about it that way. Both teams will finish the season with 162 games played. The Reds will need 1 more win than us to be in front of us at that point which also means 1 fewer loss hence 5 GB.
  8. Lucas O.
    I think this had more to do with Rowdy rehabbing in AAA at the same time Winker went out on his rehab assignment.
  9. Lucas O.
    DSL Brewers 1 have been in some type of funk at the plate as a team lately. They haven’t scored more than 2 runs as a team since August 12th. For a team that was above .500 for much of the DSL season, a loss today guarantees them to finish the season under .500
  10. Lucas O.
    HE GOT THE CONTACTS FIXED! PATRICK DORRIAN WALK OFF!
  11. Lucas O.
    The nightmare weekend adds another SO. 0-12 with 10 SO this weekend.
  12. Lucas O.
    This site has contact quality, but it isn't super routinely updated only a couple days a week it feels like. It also has things like IVB and VAA for pitchers which is nice. https://www.prospectslive.com/2023-aaa-statcast-data I just take the statcast data directly from the baseball savant game pages and put it into an excel document for guys like Gasser and Black and Frelick, Turang, Uribe, Jarvis before they were promoted/traded.
  13. Lucas O.
    Surface numbers look great, but overall performance was pretty meh. Velo still isn't holding up past the 1st/2nd inning. Only 7 whiffs and 42% zone rate. Quality of contact against was amazing, but if his velo is going to be 91-93 he would get absolutely lit up in the MLB like we saw earlier this year.
  14. Lucas O.
    Patrick Dorrian having a weekend to forget. 0-11 with 9 SO so far this weekend
  15. Lucas O.
    Seeing a lot of 91 to 93 FB velo from Lauer tonight. Seems the 94 velo isn't carrying deeper than the 1st and 2nd innings.
  16. Lucas O.
    If they are bringing Hiura up you would think they do it before September 1st because if he's added to the 40 man roster on or after September 1st then he's not eligible for the playoffs.
  17. Lucas O.
    Yes which is why average LA is kind of noisy but it generally tells a pretty good picture. I prefer sweet spot % which is batted balls between 8 and 32 degrees because those are the most optimized launch angles. Black's sweet spot % is currently 13.9% after his double. Only 5 balls hit between 8 and 32 degrees of his 36 batted balls and he currently has a 66.7% GB rate. Edit: For reference the lowest sweet spot % among qualified MLB hitters is 27.1% which is double what Black's sweet spot % is. It's a small sample and it's not indicative of Black going forward just shows how much he's been struggling in AAA.
  18. Lucas O.
    Black with a -33 LA grounder in his first AB. Through 35 batted balls in AAA he has a -0.7 LA. 22 batted balls with a negative LA. Really, really rough batted ball numbers for him in terms of velo and LA. Really has been struggling at the plate for a few weeks now even dating back to AA. In positive news, Keston Hiura hit another HR!
  19. Lucas O.
    Padres are promoting Ethan Salas to AA. Absolutely crazy. He just turned 17 in June and has not fared well in A+. Crazy aggressive promotion to the point I’m seeing some actual prospect people question it.
  20. Lucas O.
    Think Biloxi is just moving to a 6 man rotation to keep pitchers to just going once a week this late in the season. Misiorowski has thrown 71 innings this year and only threw 78 last year. Rodriguez threw 107 last year and is already at 100 this year. Myers has peaked at 119 and is already at 109. Mejias already has hit his career high in IP.
  21. Lucas O.
    Rough series for the Carolina bullpen. Blew 6 and 4 run leads just off the top of my head.
  22. Lucas O.
    Well that’s total fiction. Also correcting your continued misinformation isn’t me being emotional it’s just being tired of you lying to make your agenda look better. I’ve never once said Misiorowski should be called up this year. I don’t think he should, but not because he doesn’t throw a curveball good or effective enough because that’s just made up nonsense
  23. Lucas O.
    The Brewers have made it very clear they have no intention of rebuilding.
  24. Lucas O.
    You’re still going with this nonsense? Stop saying his curveball isn’t a good or effective pitch. Here’s a quote from Just Baseball about Misiorowski’s curveball. “The go-to out pitch for the big right-hander is his sweeping curve in the mid 80s. He has a decent feel for it, landing the pitch for a strike just shy of 60% of the time while holding opponents to an OPS below .400. The downward action of the pitch off of his lively fastball makes for a tunneling nightmare for hitters when Misiorowski is able to hit his spots.” Why you’re so insistent that you know more about his pitch mix and the quality of his stuff than the actual professionals is pretty illogical. Edit: Also just because Thyago Vieira throws hard doesn’t mean his stuff is close to as good as Misiorowski. His FB and SL bell are comparable but his pitch shape, release point, and extension are all much worse than Misiorowski.
  25. Lucas O.
    157 PA vs RHP and 109 PA vs LHP is now rarely facing RHP I guess.
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