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Lucas O.

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Everything posted by Lucas O.

  1. Lucas O.
    The more I've dug into Paredes the more I would not want the Brewers to trade for him. His offensive value is very tied to playing in parks that have short porches in LF. Over the last 4 years he's slashed .240/.357/.501 playing in Tampa and Houston's parks and he's slashed .235/.327/.387 everywhere else. Considering his bat is the only value he brings, you would be relying on his power to carry over to a park that isn't suited well for his profile.
  2. Lucas O.
    Nothing says respectability like having the second most wins in MLB in the last 3 seasons.
  3. Lucas O.
    That's cheaper than it was to watch the Brewers last year. Fanduel Sports Network ran $20 a month which is $140 for the season.
  4. Lucas O.
    Farm system strength relative to prospect rankings is only relevant for players not in the Top 100. If you're in the Top 100 it doesn't matter if your farm system is strong or weak in terms of valuing by ranking.
  5. Lucas O.
    Has power upside. Needs to tweak the swing a bit to get to the power more. Has upside to be a 30 HR guy.
  6. Lucas O.
    Durbin was actually traded to the Yankees as well so three trades for him.
  7. Lucas O.
    Quinn Priester was traded twice. Not a great sign if he was going in the right direction.
  8. Lucas O.
    6 days between those two videos. Pretty incredible. I'm not going to assume he will pitch professionally this year but I think he's definitely going to be back in Maryvale this year training with the Brewers.
  9. Lucas O.
    If you were running an actual piggy back rotation, I think it would be much more likely to have 4 pairs and 5 relievers than 5 pairs and 3 relievers.
  10. Lucas O.
    Purely based on their 1B production so no PH, DH, LF, RF they combined for 3.0 fWAR in 662 PA. That 3.0 fWAR was 10th in MLB and it also came with a 123 wRC+ which was also 10th best.
  11. Lucas O.
    I wouldn't want Banda over Peralta because Banda doesn't have options and Peralta does. Rob Z and Banda are a toss up. I'll keep Rob Z as he's been quite good as a Brewer. Ashby is a leverage guy when in the pen. Not sure where you're getting the idea Koenig isn't good down the stretch from. Here are his numbers as a Brewer. August - 20.1 IP, 2.66 ERA, 2.31 FIP, 3.10 xFIP September - 22 IP, 1.64 ERA, 2.79 FIP, 3.72 xFIP Overall numbers as a Brewer - 128 IP, 2.67 ERA, 3.31 FIP, 3.87 xFIP So Koenig has actually been better at the end of the season than he has overall as a Brewer.
  12. Lucas O.
    Pass. Brewers already have an abudance of LHRP.
  13. Lucas O.
    Vaughn has never been a .175 hitter. He has nearly 3000 MLB PA where he's established a pretty strong floor as a league average hitter. Last year he was bad in Chicago but he also significantly underperformed his peripherals. He had a .217 BABIP and underperformed his xwOBA by 83 points in Chicago last year.
  14. Lucas O.
    The JJ Hardy trade tree is my favorite. Drafted JJ Hardy (11.0 bWAR) JJ Hardy --> Carlos Gomez (19.0 bWAR) Carlos Gomez and Mike Fiers --> Brett Phillips, Domingo Santana, Adrian Houser, Josh Hader (19.0 bWAR) Brett Phillips and Jorge Lopez --> Mike Moustakas (0.5 bWAR) Domingo Santana --> Ben Gamel and Noah Zavolas (0.2 bWAR) Adrian Houser and Tyrone Taylor --> Coleman Crow (0 bWAR but still active) Josh Hader --> Taylor Rogers, Dinelson Lamet, Robert Gasser, Esteury Ruiz (-0.3 bWAR but still active) Esteury Ruiz --> William Contreras, Joel Payamps, Justin Yeager (14.5 bWAR but still active) Drafting JJ Hardy has netted us 63.9 bWAR and 69.2 fWAR and counting.
  15. Lucas O.
    Fun fact, the player the Brewers DFA'd to open up a 40-man spot when they claimed Estrada was none other than Tim Dillard!
  16. Lucas O.
    Baseball-reference. If you click on that amateur, college, minor lg stats tab then the new page will show where you ranked on preseason Top 100 lists of Pipeline, BA, and BP.
  17. Lucas O.
    In pre-season rankings before debuting Frelick peaked at 30 (Pipeline 2023), Wiemer peaked at 65 (Baseball Prospectus 2023), and Mitchell peaked at 65 (Pipeline 2021)
  18. Lucas O.
    In his MLB career, Black has seen 10 pitches in the zone called balls and 9 pitches out of the zone called strikes per gameday zones which are the most accurate from a vertical perspective.
  19. Lucas O.
    Eddie I've mentioned this on BCB but just based on called pitches, an automated strike zone would have hurt Sal Frelick last year. Now maybe that's because he's swinging at pitches above the zone due to umps calling his zone too tall. Obviously can't know that for certain, but it's not black and white that an automated strike zone would help Sal Frelick.
  20. Lucas O.
    With Made getting invited to big league camp, you can forget about him going back to Appleton to start the season. In the 2020s the Brewers haven't invited any players who to big league camp that started the season below AA.
  21. Lucas O.
    I think this is probably a nothing burger. He will start out the year at SS but will play multiple positions. Brewers have listed him as an INF/OF post trade.
  22. Lucas O.
    Made has now officially passed the Chourio trajectory. Chourio was not invited to big league camp as a teenager in 2023.
  23. Lucas O.
    I believe that is the first
  24. Lucas O.
    Brewers are very well represented in Kiley's Top 100 with 8! prospects.
  25. Lucas O.
    Yeah turns 32 in June and has had one good season in the last 4 years. Substantially overperformed his underlying numbers last season and is no longer a plus baserunner like he was in the past. Maybe he can keep it going for another year but I'm not buying it.
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