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SF70

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Everything posted by SF70

  1. SF70
    Ashby can be quite the unicorn starter once he improves his command of his FB. His K potential combined with his GB rate should make him incredibly unique, and allow him to pitch deep into games by pitching to more contact. The breakout is just a matter of time.
  2. SF70
    The only serviceable position Hiura can play is 1B and with his not being able to hit LHP that doesn’t work either. DH will likely go to Winker/Contreras/Yelich, so I don’t see how the team can roster him at all. Trade forthcoming.
  3. SF70
    Agree on the pen. The second-half of the season pen could have starter arms like Gasser and Small pitching out of it, or even Houser if they sign another starter this offseason. I can’t ever remember the team having the numbers of legit bullpen options that they have right now. Tremendous job by the FO in this accumulation of arms. I think the team will continue to start Ashby since he is a starter with 3 plus pitches of his 4/5 overall. Command, especially of his 2-seam, is all that’s keeping him from consistent dominance and being a TOR starter for this team. As they say starters development isn’t linear, and can take multiples of years. He needs innings.
  4. SF70
    Don’t forget Elvis Peguero. Big-time stuff. If the winter-leagues are any indication of what’s ahead — 16.2 innings 12H with only 1 walk and 23K’s, we could see quite the breakout from him if that command holds. incredibly disappointing final outing from Uribe in his final WL outing. Couldn’t get near the plate before he was removed from the game. Hopefully just a blip with losing his release point, but not a good way to end the year for him. Hopefully another year post flexor surgery helps Topa get back closer to his pre-injury velo, which is down 2-3 mph from his peak 2020. But even if the team can’t get much this season from Topa or Uribe, they have enough arms stabled to put together a dynamic bullpen imo.
  5. SF70
    I think we already have a great bullpen without the veteran set-up man like a Chafin, which I just don’t see the team spending the money to sign. Williams-Bush-Milner-Strezelecki should be set. With an enormous number of legit potentials from among Cousins-Topa-Peguero-Guerra-Varland-Miller-Uribe-Robinson-Payamps-Middendorf. Then we have potential multi-inning arms in Small-Junk and hopefully Houser (if we acquire another starter) and later in the year, Gasser.
  6. SF70
    With the prices of FA relief pitching this offseason I think the estimates are quite low on the aforementioned pitchers. I’m guessing 2 year deals on all 3.
  7. SF70
    Chafin turned down a $6.5M player option, and with the prices for quality veteran relievers where there at, I think we’re looking at something along the lines of 2 years at $16-$20M. Don’t think the team goes there.
  8. SF70
    The new FA deals for SS’s & frontline starters has completely eliminated any chance of extension’s of our big 3, if we’re being real. In my perfect baseball world I would have wanted Burnes traded this offseason, Adames extended and Woodruff held for the draft-pick. That would have allowed the team to contend in ‘23 &’24 with Woodruff and Adames and given us at least 1, but possibly 2 big-armed SP prospects that could have helped replace Burnes/Woodruff by ‘25. With the team publically taking the 3 off the market, either they didn’t like the returns (likely, the way teams are now hoarding their best prospects) or Attanasio doesn’t want the potential fan blow-back and lack of ticket-sale ramifications, maybe both?. If the team flounders, they can trade-off 1 or more of the big 3 at the trade-deadline (when the desire to deal by some increases) if not, they might have to ride them for the draft-picks.
  9. SF70
    Agree with your take. After the Yelich trade and 2018 trade-deadline, the farm was devoid of positional prospect talent and because of the team in contention mode could only be built-up through the draft until the Hader trade. Thanks to Johnson & co and Groopman & co, they have procured an amazing amount of positional talent in a short amount of time and now have a top 5 positional farm system. This team has zero chance to compete moving forward without a consistently strong farm. Stearns and Arnold know this and have been hoarding since 2018. With the strong & rebuilt infrastructure in place and able to consistently procure well above average yearly classes this team is in good shape moving forward, provided they continue to hoard their best prospects and not trade them-off. The ‘22 pitching injuries & regression should be a awake-up call to those that want to trade-off prospect talent to buttress the Burnes/Woodruff supposed “window”. A repeat of either and this organization will be set-back for years. We are still a couple of quality classes from being able to trade-off some of our best prospects. Patience is necessary and will be rewarded.
  10. SF70
    Frelick is untradable. You don’t trade the best hitter in all of minor league ball. He’s also strong as heck and imo, will eventually develop 20 HR power.
  11. SF70
    Frelick is #68 on Baseball America’s top 100. Probably will shoot on up the list when their new rankings come out this offseason.
  12. SF70
    I see Frelick in CF OD as well. 70 hit-tool prospects are rare and need to play right away. I’m expecting a Frelick extension sooner than later, so the extra year won’t matter, so go for the draft-pick. Wiemer can replace Mitchell in RF sometime after the 3rd week of April, with Mitchell taking over CF and Frelick to LF with Yelich to DH. This OF is so fast and athletic it’s ridiculous. Boatloads of runs will be saved for this pitching-staff.
  13. SF70
    Right, was just going to say that. As time goes on just try to hide him as a 5th OF/DH. I think that could start as early as this season due to the teams otherworldly OF talent. To expect Yelich to improve over what he did last year just isn’t realistic based on the last 2.33 years worth of data. Maybe he can surprise, but I’m not counting on it. Based on age-regression performance it could get ugly at age 34/35 and if so he probably should be released at that point. Just look at it as a lesson learned (Attanasio). This is why the team should not sign ANYONE to a long-term extension through a majority of their non-prime performance years.
  14. SF70
    Right, was just going to say that. As time goes on just try to hide him as a 5th OF/DH. I think that could start as early as this season due to the teams otherworldly OF talent. To expect Yelich to improve over what he did last year just isn’t realistic based on the last 2.33 years worth of data. Maybe he can surprise, but I’m not counting on it. Based on age-regression performance it could get ugly at age 34/35 and if so he probably should be released at that point. Just look at it as a lesson learned (Attanasio). This is why the team should not sign ANYONE to a long-term extension through a majority of their non-prime performance years.
  15. SF70
    Woodruff is massively undervalued on BTV. To have less than half of Burnes value is silly, so any trade involved Woodruff using that site isn’t gonna work for me.
  16. SF70
    Optionable depth is always a good thing. If they actually need his roster spot some day they can just DFA him.
  17. SF70
    They like their position prospects and after watching them and following them, I certainly can see why. To add an impactful controlled bat takes 3 top prospects +, and thankfully the team didn’t go that route. It’s taken the team 7 years to build-up the farm system positionally and they aren’t going to trade-off what they have for 1 impact bat that improves their WS odds by 1.5%..
  18. SF70
    Lining-up the talent to match Burnes/Woodruff was never going to happen. It takes time to draft and develop. They had Zero positional prospect talent post-Yelich trade. And once Yelich regressed and Cain dove off a cliff they couldn’t do much to help match their pitching.
  19. SF70
    Depends on what the team does with Wong, Renfroe & Burnes. The payroll is already at $123M, so adding ~$20M with no trades of the aforementioned isn’t going to work. The team would probably need to trade at least 2 of them if not all 3 to free up the payroll space to add Abreu, plus a possible catcher, reliever, and starter depth. Maybe some of that can come back to us from the trades, but payroll will need to be shed if we want to add a $20M type player.
  20. SF70
    Depends on what the team does with Wong, Renfroe & Burnes. The payroll is already at $123M, so adding ~$20M with no trades of the aforementioned isn’t going to work. The team would probably need to trade at least 2 of them if not all 3 to free up the payroll space to add Abreu, plus a possible catcher, reliever, and starter depth. Maybe some of that can come back to us from the trades, but payroll will need to be shed if we want to add a $20M type player.
  21. SF70
    Robinson got hit pretty hard once promoted to AAA, so they might think teams don’t think he’s ready for the leap to the big-leagues. Can Devanney could easily get taken. 25/26, close to big-league ready, power, good defender. It’s quite the gamble to leave him unprotected, imo.
  22. SF70
    Robinson got hit pretty hard once promoted to AAA, so they might think teams don’t think he’s ready for the leap to the big-leagues. Can Devanney could easily get taken. 25/26, close to big-league ready, power, good defender. It’s quite the gamble to leave him unprotected, imo.
  23. SF70
    Either of Eflin or Stripling would work at $9-$11M/year, along with Jose Quintana at $12M/year. Move Houser to the bullpen if the team holds onto Burnes/Woodruff. If the team trades one of the aforementioned, sign 2 of them. The team has to have veteran SP depth if they want to challenge for a playoff spot, which I believe they can do even if they decide to move 1 of Burnes/Woodruff.
  24. SF70
    Either of Eflin or Stripling would work at $9-$11M/year, along with Jose Quintana at $12M/year. Move Houser to the bullpen if the team holds onto Burnes/Woodruff. If the team trades one of the aforementioned, sign 2 of them. The team has to have veteran SP depth if they want to challenge for a playoff spot, which I believe they can do even if they decide to move 1 of Burnes/Woodruff.
  25. SF70
    This is why Burnes should be traded THIS offseason vs next. This offseason, it’s highly likely as part of the return, a top 5-8 pitching prospect would be part of the return, maybe even another near top 15 as well depending on the team. I’ll take my chances with that type of arm/arms and this teams PDS.
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