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mothershipconnection

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Everything posted by mothershipconnection

  1. mothershipconnection
    Sad to say the Brewers are pretty unknown in my neck of the woods. I've always tried to be a pusher with my international student friends. "Dude, if you're gonna buy an American baseball hat, you should buy the coolest looking one, like that old school Brewers one. Sure, you could go back to Japan with a Yankees hat, but you can buy those over there, not too special." That, and I try to buy Brewers stuff every time a friend of mine has a kid - you can never start too early.
  2. mothershipconnection
    His FIP has been high for two years straight. I think I'll pass. That big of a jump in ERA to 4.86 and upward trend in WHIP is simply too big to not only pay a guy an average of $11M a year, but to give up talent to get him. I think he could very well rebound and be awesome, but that's just a little too big of a risk. If it were more like $8M a year, then we're talking about a risk that's more worth taking.
  3. mothershipconnection
    I didn't want Burrell for a while, but he's had an .890 OPS in a supposed down year. I'd take that over Mench 24/7 I'm with you. My initial impression was "overpaid" and not much else. The more I look into it and compare him to other options, however, the more I think it could be a very solid move. He has a career .841 OPS which below his .893 and .890 in the last two seasons and is better than Soriano and Lee's career marks. The difference between Burrell and Lee's OPS over the past two seasons is close to zero, and I don't see him as worse in the field. Soriano beat him by .021 OPS points this year, but Burrell out-did him by an appreciable .072 in 2005.
  4. mothershipconnection
    Am I to believe that you would rather have the Big Hurt on second than Carl Crawford? Depends on whether there's another hit that inning. If it's 2 down and the next guy K's it doesn't matter. That's the thing with the whole speed issue - there's a "but" or "what if" for everything. Speed means a lot in some situations, and nothing in others.
  5. mothershipconnection
    We already have Shouse, but King is still acceptable - moreso than your Mabeus and Winklesas types. It would allow us to use him more as a LOOGY and use Shouse for longer outings (an inning).
  6. mothershipconnection
    Well if and when Scotty Po gets on, he makes it a double, I think this merits a separate response. I've been thinking about this school of thought quite a bit lately - the whole "it's like an extra hit". Obviously, it's not, because it's another probabalistic occurrence - so that doesn't make their OPS more valuable unless they steal at a valuable rate. Here's my take - speed actually diminishes the value of OPS in some circumstances. For example, a double by Carl Crawford is not always as valuable as a double by Frank Thomas. The reason being, a speedster who stretches a single into a double is not hitting the ball as far and giving runners ahead of him as much time to run as a leadfoot who hits a double. That is, it's very possible for a speedster to hit a double but only move a runner from 1st to 3rd. When a slug hits a double, a man on first is more likely to score. I think this is another wrinkle people need to look at when assessing the value of speed.
  7. mothershipconnection
    We used to have Craig Counsell, a postseason legend, and where did he get us? Pat Borders was once a gosh-darn honest-to-goodness world series MVP - did that propel the team to the series? Why didn't WS MVP Rick Dempsey take the crew all the way? Anybody can have a good couple of games, but they're small sample noise and bounce. I mean, Bucky Dent had a career .618 OPS - he was not a very good player, but we all know about that one time he hit a clutch homer to put the Yankees in the playoffs and his world series MVP award - never mind his .611 career playoff OPS. Ernie Banks never even had a postseason AT BAT, but I'd take him over 1998 World Series MVP Scott Brosius, and I don't think it's a very hard decision.
  8. mothershipconnection
    The option is eliminated if he's traded That's the same language I found. I am assuming this means that if he is traded it is guaranteed money rather than a team option. Also note that the $13M could become $16M with incentives. From mlb4u signed 2-year deal worth 18.5M thru 2007 season on 2/13/06- + he receives salaries of 7.5M in 2006 and 10.5M in 2007- + the deal includes a Team Option for 2008 worth 13M or a 500K buyout- + the option is eliminated if he is traded- + he receives a 500K assignment bonus if traded- + the value of the option could rise to 16M with award-based escalators- + if the option is exercised, he receives a complete a no-trade clause in 2008- + 2005 salary: 4.6M At this price, you do have to think about it a lot. He's probably paid around market value considering his "off-year" (.855) in 2006. Thus, I'd gladly take him on, but I'm not sure what I'd give up - certainly not one of our top young guys. I think the top prospect I'd give up is Rogers, and would be alright with the Rogers/Gwynn/fringe guy package proposed (perhaps Nix?). In my mind, this is much smarter than comitting similar money to a free agent, as you only have to commit to two years, and you don't have to give up a draft pick (2nd round in our case) as compensation.
  9. mothershipconnection
    I don't think there is a Tiger fan alive that regrets they paid Magglio Ordonez a boatload of money. And that's still not a valid defense of overspending by a ton to get a player. They could have signed Jermaine Dye that same offseason for way less money and gotten a bigger return. Just because a guy plays alright doesn't mean there isn't another guy who could have done the same thing for less.
  10. mothershipconnection
    Nolan Ryan - Hall of Fame pitcher, played 27 years in the bigs, with 324 wins, 5,000 strikeouts and a career whip of 1.25. And all that with no control. As I have stated many times before. BFN -- Tough room. His control was pretty bad, but his stuff was also consistently unhittable. When he hit the zone, it went past the guy for a strike, and when he didn't the guy walked. He dominated two legs of the 3TO. his 1.25 WHIP was good...but i would guess that 50% of the baserunners he allowed were through walk.. Pretty close, with a 1.247 WHIP, he walked 2795 men in 5386 IP, a rate of .52 per inning vs .73 hits.
  11. mothershipconnection
    Wow, them boys are good. I can't see the Tigers losing the WS at this point.
  12. mothershipconnection
    He'll only sign for 3 years if the yearly rate offered is simply too high to turn down.
  13. mothershipconnection
    a career .835 OPS guy What's the over/under for league-minimum earner Corey Hart? I'd say it's probably right around there. Hart also stole 31 bases last year in 2/3 of a season in AAA. I'm not saying Hart will have a better year than Soriano per se, but that he's got a darn good shot at Soriano's career average OPS.
  14. mothershipconnection
    The point is, there is no defense for the Brewers woes. It was many years of mismanagement and lying to fans in getting their hopes up that "the future is bright" when in actuality 1993-2004 was just a decade plus of futility and no real push toward anything beyond mediocrity. Absolutely. I will agree with anyone who says there is no excuse for the pre-Attanasio losing seasons. At least the team now has a budget somewhere near where it should be and doesn't make a bunch of crony hirings. 2006 is the first losing season in some time that is excuseable. They went out and got Koskie, they traded Overbay for a promising young MLB-ready pitcher, the brought Prince up, Hardy finished last season strong, as did Jenkins, Weeks was back and healthy, they had a great closer, they had Carlos Lee in left, etc. Then Murphy's Law came to the party and left Sheets, Ohka, Hardy, Weeks, and Koskie injured while Turnbow and Jenkins sucked. For once, the blame lies on the field instead of the front office.
  15. mothershipconnection
    The Tigers are so hot with the bats that even Neifi Perez couldn't stop them.
  16. mothershipconnection
    Playoffs are playoffs. No, they aren't. Seriously, you can routinely make the NBA playoffs with a sub-.500 record because half of the teams get it. It just isn't the same thing. It'd be like two people graduating in the top 100 in their class. However, one class is only 200 people while the other is 400. The former case is more braggable than the latter. This isn't people trying to defend the Brewers, just pointing out that the playoffs are way harder to make in baseball than basketball. Of course, you could compare the winning percentages of the Bucks and Brewers and then you may be on to something - as that's more of an apples to apples comparison.
  17. mothershipconnection
    You have to try hard NOT to make the playoffs in the NBA. That's not a good way of looking at it. Why isn't it? Way more teams make the playoffs. Now, a conference finals trip is almost the same as a league championship trip and a title is a title.
  18. mothershipconnection
    I could see a team being interested in Hendrickson as camp fodder, but Krynzel? Aren't there dozens of guys like him around? Maybe someone will be interested because he was a first round pick. I agree, and think it's a very long shot unless the two sides are very close and they simply want one more player and take him so they can feel like they got more value.
  19. mothershipconnection
    Not a penny or year more than was put on the table for Lee. I'd rather roll the dice and go after a 2 year deal with Gary Matthews Jr while every other team puts all of their focus on trying to sign Lee and Soriano.
  20. mothershipconnection
    Earlier, it seemed as if his poor performance with the Cubs could push him toward a one year low risk deal. However, after a 3.30 ERA in 12 starts with LA, helping them to a playoff berth, he may have "earned" an overpayment from a contender with junk pitching. Maybe the Yankees will sign him to a 5 year $130M deal.
  21. mothershipconnection
    Looks like the cards are gonne drop the bomb on 'em right now. And another hit to load the bases as I type this.
  22. mothershipconnection
    It's easy to spend someone else's money....I'd do it for sure but will Attanasio do it? Of course not. He may well not do it at full price, but under the premise of the thread (yankees pay half), he's much cheaper than what Lee was offered and it'd be the biggest fleecing in recent history. Only Bud Selig would think of turning it down. New York is only on the hook for $16 million each year in 2007 and 2008, $17 million in 2009 and $18 million in 2010. Even at full salary, you could dump Jenkins, not make another big move over those four years and conceivably could make if happen. Of course, that's "could" while "will" is about 1 in 50,000.
  23. mothershipconnection
    They could get a solid vet in Davis They'd only have him for 1 year, though. Since they're not going to compete, I doubt they accept anyone as a major piece who isn't there for 3+ years. That's why they'd want pre-arbitration guys who can help shape the future.
  24. mothershipconnection
    Sign Hank Blalock to play 3rd. Yeah, except he's signed through 2008. Plus, he's not very good and is living off past potential. Still, I'd love to see him there because it helps ensure either a postseason flop or missing the playoffs all together. Finding a way to get Andy Pettite back to NYC. That's very reasonable, again another move I'd love to see them make, as he will probably sign a deal that takes him to age 38. .Yankees get: P Ben Sheets P Matt Wise 2B Rickie Weeks a midlevel prospect Brewers get: 2B Robinson Cano OF Melky Caberra Well why don't they just throw in Phillip Hughes and have us add Fielder, Yo, and Braun? Cano is very good, but he's nowhere near worth that kind of return, as Cabrera is of little more than throw-in quality. If they want that return they're gonna have to talk about A-Rod, not Cano.
  25. mothershipconnection
    A-Rod's going to be a hall of famer and plays in a town that thinks he's garbage, if further insulted by being asked to approve a trade, I think there's a good chance he does it. Dude has been treated like garbage there, and if I were in his shoes I'd be all about a move out of town. Granted, he may very well not approve a trade to Milwaukee, but it seems very plausible that he'd approve a trade to a contender.
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