Jump to content
Want to get your head around free agents the WORLD CHAMPION Brewers can spend on this winter? Click here and check out our top 75 free agents ranking! ×
Brewer Fanatic

Patrick425

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,413

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Patrick425

  1. Patrick425
    I can't get the first line of one of Braun's walk up songs out of my head.... "It was all good just a week ago..."
  2. Patrick425
    Didn't he make something like 11 or 12 million last year? I doubt he's taking a cut. He had a pretty decent year at the plate.
  3. Patrick425
    Huh? Why not? Other than their ability to play baseball at a high level, they are no different than the general population. He's not comparing the general populations ability to hit a 98 mph fastball to that of a MLB player (so I'm not even sure why that was brought up??). He's comparing the occurance of ADHD in the general public to that of MLB players. Why would MLB players happen to have a higher occurrence of ADHD among their ranks than that of the general population?
  4. Patrick425
    The actual numbers (which are on the site I linked to, I believe, http://steroids-and-baseball.com/ ) show that the jump occurred somewhere mid '93 to 94.Can't find the numbers there, but from THT, HR% rates by season: 1988 2.7% 1989 2.6% 1990 2.8% 1991 2.9% 1992 2.5% 1993 3.1% 1994 3.7% 1994 3.7% 1995 3.6% 1996 3.9% 1997 3.7% 1998 3.7% The second graph is just the years lined up side by side, with the discontinuity edited out. No steady increase in power numbers (as if, more and more guys started using steroids), just one massive jump in a 1 year period. Here is an article on the CT scans of balls from Aaron's era and Bond's era. I'm still not getting it. I look at the first graph in your post labled as "Power Factor". If you count the hash marks on the bottom for years, in 1992 the rate is 1.48. In 1994 it's 1.57. If it was a one year jump it would stop at 1993, but it doesn't. The spike continues in 1994. Even the numbers in your post above support that. It goes up .6% in both 1993 and 1994. I also still don't understand the "adjusted" numbers in the splice graph. Like I said the "non-spliced" graph shows 1.48 in 1992 and the spliced graph shows 1.34 in 1992. How were the numbers "adjusted"? My assumption would be that it's basically subtracting the total "spike movement", which apears to be .09 (1.57-1.48), but instead of subtracting .09, it's subtracting .14.
  5. Patrick425
    Power factor is Total Bases per hit.The reason they use that instead of HR/AB or something like that is to eliminate non-hitting changes that may have caused something: Such as changing the size of the strike zone. Once again, if steroids were slowly finding their way into the league, the power factor would go up gradually. Instead it jumped HUGELY midway through the 1993 season. I'm not sure where the "middle of 93" argument is coming from. In looking at the initial graph I see it spike at the beginning of 92 to the end of 94. To me a two year period of initial spike due to steroids would not seem unusual at all. In your second graph what is "Adjusted Power Factor"?
  6. Patrick425
    What is "power factor" and how is it computed? To me it's pretty clear that the HR numbers have gone down since the steroid era. During that era is seemed as if you had to hit at least 50 HRs to win the HR title. Now the high HR numbers are closer to 40 HRs.
  7. Patrick425
    Ok, I found out about this when I turned on the TV to watch the Heisman trophy presentation. I briefly logged on to see the BF.net reaction and then just decided I didn't want to read or hear about it anymore. Like everyone else I was hoping I would wake up from a bad nightmare. So, after coming to terms that this was reality, I decided to log back in and catch up on everyone's posting. There is one thing that strikes me as odd about this if it's true. Most people that talk about why players would use PED's talk about how there is just so much at stake...and by that I always assumed they meant money. Well, if that's the case I don't understand why anyone who just signed a contract through the age of 37 would feel the need to use PEDs. I realize there is a pride factor, but why would anyone who is basically set financially do this. Whether he averages 15 HRs a year over the next 9 years or 40 HRs he will still get paid the same thing. The only thing that could jeopardize this would to be caught taking PEDs. I will reserve judgement until all facts are out.
  8. Patrick425
    Hmm, I don't know, maybe because Melvin's and Attanasio's words and actions have given the fan's no indication that a payroll near $120M is even a thought. Haven't they basically stated that the payroll budget will not change much from last year?
  9. Patrick425
    A lot of the posts I read talk about if the Brewers do not make a big signing this year, they definitely need to extend Grienke and/or Marcum. However, I'm not sure how easy that is going to be. You have to think that both of them are looking at the contracts Buehrle and Wilson got (about $15 mil per year) and thinking they should get that as well. If the Brewers don't offer extentions to them that are close to those numbers I don't see them sticking around. Wow, that Braun contract looks better and better all the time. What a relative steal that was.
  10. Patrick425
    At 35 I'm not so confident about a "rebound with the bat". Also the drop off at UZR as he ages is a bit concerning.
  11. Patrick425
    Hate to stir this up again, but given the events of recent days, I can't bite my tongue. When is the last time any of you were truly excited about a FA signing by the Brewers? I mean Marcum, Greinke, Sabathia excited. Excited about a transaction that did not involve the Brewers giving up any of their players? I think the last one I can remember is Larry Hisle ( I think he was a FA?) I also can't think of an argument that will ever convince me that the current system is fair for all MLB teams and fans.
  12. Patrick425
    Ok, looking at Baseball-reference.com's defensive stats for both players, I'm not sure I'm seeing the big defensive improvement that everyone else is pointing out. However, I am by no means an expert at reading these stats. Looking at the range numbers, there does not seem to be much of a difference. Also, is a 1.1 dWar that much better than a .5 dWar? Is there someone out there that has a much better grasp on defensive stats than I do that can post the comparisons in this thread and point out why we should all be rejoicing over this? Not just last year's stats, but over the last 3 to 5 years. Thanks in advance for anyone willing to do this.
  13. Patrick425
    Gee....how exciting. I guess it's getting to that time for all the rest of the teams to gather up the scraps in this wonderful system of MLB free agency.
  14. Patrick425
    Yeah but if you go back and look at the link that cubsdie posted (post #212) you will see that the back in 2006 Todd Walker, who was a Type A free agent, was offered arby by San Diego. Like KRod, he tested the FA waters and didn't like what he found so he accepted arbitration. San Diego cut him in Spring Training. The union filed a grievence and only lost because SD was able to statistically prove that Walker failed “to exhibit sufficient skill or competitive ability.” I'm not sure how the Brewers could do that with K-Rod. According to that article this is how the "non-guarantee" clause is written:
  15. Patrick425
    ..and who has had a total of 193 ABs over the last 2 years http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/eyes.gif
  16. Patrick425
    Well...here's to hoping the Brewers can continue with the "82 post-season connection" in 2012. This year with was the Cards, next year the Angels and hopefully, like in 82, they beat them.
  17. Patrick425
    They are still a VERY good team and they will have a healthy Wainwright next year. As things stand right now, I don't see how they are still not the NL Central favorites.
  18. Patrick425
    It seems like most sources that state that we can drop K-Rod for 1/6 his salary are leaving out the part in the link that cubsdie posted that states: A Player whose Contract is terminated by a Club under paragraph 7(b)(2) of the Uniform Player’s Contract for failure to exhibit sufficient skill or competitive ability Not sure how the Brewers could prove KRod failed to exhibit sufficient skill or competitive ability regardless of how poorly he does in ST.
  19. Patrick425
    Can anyone confirm this. This would seem to make some sense in that I have not heard the possibly of being able to drop K-Rod anywhere else but on this board.
  20. Patrick425
    I don't even know who Peter Ladd is See 82 Post Season - Rollie Finger's injury.
  21. Patrick425
    Seems like whatever Melvin does in the next 2 to 3 weeks will tip his hand about his plans for K-Rod. If he does nothing with the bullpen, it would be hard for him to trade or drop K-Rod in February or March (unless he got some sort of bullpen help in return). To me, them telling Hawkins to hold on until they see what K-Rod does is an early indication that they plan on keeping him. I'm not sure how much chances they had to land Saito anyways. From what I have read there seemed to be a lot of interest in him. I'm not nearly as high as others hear on Taylor Green. He may be one of the Brewer's top prospects, but then again, the Brewers currently have one of the lowest rated minor leagues systems in baseball (after all the trades last off season). I don't know if Green will even bust the top 100 prospects list on Baseball America and if he does I can't see him any higher than 75 or 80. To me it seems like, at best, he has a Jerry Hairston Jr. type career in front of him. Someone made this statement a few pages ago (sorry can't remember the name and don't want to open a new window) "hooray the best throw away phrase in baseball discussion, "unproven players". Explain why this is a "throw away" phrase. How is a player who has basically no MLB playing time or a player who has not done much with the MLB playing time that has been given to him not unproven? Not taking payroll into account, unless the unproven player is an elite prospect whos MLB arrival is highly anticipated (not just locally, but nationally), I will always prefer a proven MLB player over a unproven "prospect".
  22. Patrick425
    I understand what you are saying and depending on the contract terms you are right, this could be a pretty big risk for the Brewers. Then again, most FA signings are a risk for teams like the Brewers. I will say that I think the Brewers need to find someone to hit clean up. Ramirez fits that bill more than anyone currently on the Brewer's roster imho. Also, I'm not sure if not hitting his 1st HR until May 29th is a good or bad thing. I don't buy that a player can just turn things on and off like that. I see it more as a sign that he figured something out and was able to hit 26 HRs in a span of 4 months. Not bad. He really scares me defensively and I think I would rather they sign Rollins for that purpose alone (although that still leaves them without a true cleanup hitter). I guess until it actually happens and I see the contract length and numbers I'm uncertain on how I would feel about signing Ramirez. Fielder left a big hole in the lineup. There is no one that is going to fill that hole, but Ramirez might be the best option to partially fill it. If he was a better defensive player, I would be a lot more excited about him.
  23. Patrick425
    I've been to this a couple of times in past years. My experience is that it's way too cramped and that it's just a bunch of clearance rack items that you could get a good price on at any time (example - I purchased a Central division champions hat for $10 at Grand Avenue earlier this week). Having said that, I got the email for the season ticket holder's pre-sale and decided that since maybe it was just for season ticket holders the crowds would be limited. So, I was going to stop by on my way home from work yesterday. I took canal street to the stadium, got to the "hot corner" area at about 4:50 (sale was from 5-6 last night). and there was pretty much a line of cars to get into the lot and the lot was getting full. I decided to drive right by and continue on my way home. I guess I should have known better when they stated that all you had to do was print off the email and bring it in. Not to hard to send it to friends and family and let them use it as well. I just don't see the big draw in this event. Not worth waiting in line for and dealing with the cramped space they use for it imho. I guess if you are interested in a discounted Marcus Hanel jersey or something like that, this is the sale for you.
  24. Patrick425
    Kind of interesting that Yount's 2nd MVP year of 1989 didn't have a WAR high enough to get him in the top 20.
  25. Patrick425
    A guy I worked with just sent me this email. Wow. From a list of “The 25 Least Influential People Alive” 21. Bobby Bonilla Bonilla retired in 2001, but in July 2011, the New York Mets began shelling out for a deferred portion of the former slugger's contract that will pay him $1.2 million annually for the next twenty-five years. See, the Mets originally thought this payout was a shrewd move, because it allowed them to take Bonilla's deferred money and potentially outearn its value by investing it in a firm run by, you guessed it, Bernie Madoff. And so Bonilla, who is now 48, will earn $30 million over the next three decades, until he turns 72. For doing absolutely nothing. Read More
×
×
  • Create New...