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And That

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Everything posted by And That

  1. And That
    That's exactly what it is - Turner could have fallen on his face. Many college players taken at 12 have done so. The Brewers chose to go after lottery tickets instead of a high floor guy. I still think it was a good call.
  2. And That
    Looks like the AZL Brewers' roster has been updated in advance of tonight's opener. Lots of 2016 draftees, and lots of guys on the 60-day DL: Maryvale Brewers roster. I thought Missaki was supposed to be ready pretty soon after the beginning of the T-Rats' season this year. Let's see if he gets some work down in Arizona. Carlos Luna also (still?) finds himself on the 60-day DL. Not good.
  3. And That
    Jay Feliciano has been promoted from the DSL Brewers to the AZL Brewers. In 32 ABs to open this season in the DSL, he hit .156/.308/.344. I thought he might be a candidate to open in Maryvale, and it looks like they just wanted him to get started before the short-season AZL started.
  4. And That
    Just a blurb on Jean Carlos Carmona, previously connected to the Brewers.
  5. And That
    Drafting/signing Medeiros modestly underslot allowed them to draft Gatewood and Harrison overslot with the next two picks. Based on talent alone, Medeiros was probably drafted about 20 spots too high, but Gatewood and Harrison both slipped farther than they should have. In retrospect, Newcomb or Holmes would have been better takes at 12 for about the same amount (I was hoping for Holmes regardless), but Medeiros was not a huge reach.
  6. And That
    It is way way way way way way too early to make any concrete judgment on the 2014 draft.
  7. And That
    It's a little over $950k to sign McClanahan if they don't go over $100k on anyone else, if all other bonuses so far have been reported correctly, and if Ray signs for slot. Bonus pool money is reduced only for every dollar spent over $100k for each round in rounds 11+.
  8. And That
    Shortest player in Brewers history?
  9. And That
    Juan Ortiz with two ringing doubles tonight for Helena. Strangely enough, only one pro debut thus far for the H-Brew - 21st rounder Nathan Rodriguez.
  10. And That
    Thanks beekay! That was helpful to put everything together in one place. So if Ray signs for slot, the Brewers will have $383,500 left before going over their pool. The max they can exceed their pool before losing a draft pick next year is $468,215. That makes their total available limit for rounds 11+: $383,500+$468,215=$851,715. The $468,215 is taxed at 75%, so the Brewers' actual cash outlay if they take their available limit to the max is $1,202,876. (Tax is $351,161.) Assuming that McClanahan and Clark both sign, that adds $100k apiece to the available total because the bonus pool money is only reduced for every dollar over $100k for rounds 11+. That makes the total available to sign McClanahan and Clark $1,051,715. (About $1.4 million cash outlay including tax on overage.) For what it's worth, in BA's top 500 list McClanahan was ranked #136 and Clark was ranked #229. The slot value for #136 is $421,600; the slot value for #229 is $184,100. That might be an indication of their bonus demands, or maybe not at all.
  11. And That
    They currently have 4 OF listed - Segovia, Orimoloye, Martinez, Whalen. Each of the four was born in a different country. Oquendo and Ortiz could see time in the OF as well, plus Corey Ray if they elect not to start him in Wisconsin.
  12. And That
    Your Manatees TBD is Cody Ponce.
  13. And That
    Of the 8 teams currently "above" the Brewers in the race for the #1 pick, the only team I'm modestly certain on having a better record than the Brewers at the end of the year is the Diamondbacks. Then again, they could decide to sell off, too. Right now, it looks to me like the Brewers' ceiling is the 3rd pick, and even that seems to be a bit of a stretch. Always the bridesmaid, never the bride.
  14. And That
    Guerra has much more potential value than present value. Guy has 8 career starts and turned 30 a year and a half ago. In order for Guerra to have more external value than internal value, he's going to have to keep executing on the mound for the foreseeable future. Unless the Brewers get bowled over, I think they hold onto him.
  15. And That
    The Cubs promoted Wilson Contreras today, so that would seem to take them further out of the running.
  16. And That
    Yikes. Nope.
  17. And That
    Another reason teams make these kinds of picks, besides to give a cool moment to the son of someone famous within the organization, is that there often isn't enough room in the farm system to sign everyone. A team could draft 40 guys it thought it could sign, but where are you going to put them all? Maybe the Brewers knew they had X number of roster slots available in the minors and they took all those unsignable players last year precisely because they knew they didn't have any more room for players on low-minors rosters. Which is true - they could have fielded teams in Helena and Maryvale this summer without anyone from the draft. Yes, you can have just about as many guys as you want on rosters down there, but it's pointless to have an active roster of 40 guys because there's no way you're going to be able to play everyone and make decisions on them.
  18. And That
    Prior to Covey, Jemile Weeks was indeed the last Brewers top 10 round pick not to sign, all the way back in 2005. They also missed on signing Jake Arrieta in the 26th round that year. Before that, you have to go back to 2002, when they failed to sign Jarrad Page (5th) and Stephen Kahn (8th). Going off memory, Page was a big time football recruit. Kahn, no idea. Kaaaahn! Many years the Brewers have signed all their picks in at least the first 20 rounds. The Brewers missed on signing Mallex Smith (13th round) and Carlos Rodon (16th round) in the 2011 draft. I remember Rodon was a super tough sign, but I had completely forgotten that had drafted Smith.
  19. And That
    I'm not too worried about Feliciano. The guys that I'm a bit nervous about are Chad McClanahan (11) and Zach Clark (19). Being able to get those two would be huge.
  20. And That
    Wes Wilson was drafted as a 3B and played there (as well as at 2B) at Clemson - wonder if being listed as a catcher is a typo?
  21. And That
    Good to see Michael Peterson. He's about as under the radar as it gets, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him turn some heads in Helena.
  22. And That
    The Sky Sox managed to use 8 pitchers in a 7 inning game. They won at least.
  23. And That
    http://www.clarionledger.com/story/sports/college/mississippi-state/2016/06/14/success-breeds-change-most-msu-draftees-expected-sign/85861450/
  24. And That
    Exactly. It's never happened yet, but someday it will, and said team will be very happy to have the insurance policy of a guy they probably wouldn't have signed otherwise at the price of a guy who was probably going to be nothing more than farm system fodder.
  25. And That
    Incorrect. They were hedging against one of their top picks not signing for some reason. Corey Ray suffers a career-ending injury next week? Here's your payday, Jared Horn. The smattering of successful players drafted 20+ does not make hedging a bad strategy. It's very smart business. And like I said, they had 20 other 20+ round picks this year to get the next Trevor Rosenthal, or whomever.
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