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Matt Breen

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Everything posted by Matt Breen

  1. Matt Breen
    I bet the team signs a couple of these types - older veteran relievers. Saito, Hawkins, Dotel, etc. They sort of all fall into a big bucket. Doug will check on them all, and pick two. As someone said, please, no 3 year deals. All these types are older and should only have one year contracts. Maybe an option, but more than that is dangerous. Saito and Hawkins - both guys I'd like back - netted us a total of about 90 innings over the past 2 years. Not exactly a great return on $10 million.
  2. Matt Breen
    The team is already committed around $70 million to players with contracts and due arby raises. How much does that leave. I think it's better to spread out the resources. But if you sign ARam to a big deal, you severely limit options for the rest of the team. Which of the following would you want? OPTION 1 Ramirez - $12.0 million Gamel - .5 SS (Yuni, Gonzalez?) - 2.0 Relief Pitcher - .5 Relief Pitcher - .5 Hairston - 2.5 TOTAL: $16 million OPTION 2 Green - .5 Gamel - .5 Furcal - 7.5 Hairston - 2.5 Saito - 2.5 Hawkins - 2.5 TOTAL: $16 million I've rounded salaries to the nearest half million. And I've guessed on players salaries. Finally, you can swap out certain players - example, instead of Saito you could get a different reliever. I've just put in our own guys in the hope we could bring them back at a salary around what I've listed. Essentially, it comes down to Furcal, Green and two veteran relievers or Ramirez, Yuni/Gonzalez and two rookies/minimum relievers. I should point out adding A-Ram makes the starting lineup very righthanded. Only Gamel at 1B would be lefthanded. Also, A-Ram would require the commitment for several years - probably three. I think Furcal could be had on a two year deal.
  3. Matt Breen
    I totally agree with you on this, greeg35. I'd rather go with the guys we devleoped (at a low price) and get help elsewhere (SS, infield depth, relievers). Then have leftover for cash to make a move in season if necessary. I have always said that if the Brewers are convinced Green and/or Gamel are going to be bombs, then you have to make some kind of move like this. Why they would be convinced of that is another question. I just hate adding - for $10+ million - an aging, bad fielding player who has missed significant time in 2 of the last 3 seasons. If it was a for a year or two, sure. But for three and four years - that's big risk. Oh well, if we get him, I just hope he can stay healthy. He'll be 34 next season, so I worry that injuries will become more common. And then there's the inevitable decline due to age. On the plus side, if he plays 140+ games and his play doesn't slip too much, he's going to hit 25 HR. Maybe more. Hopefully he comes in excited to play, in good shape, etc.
  4. Matt Breen
    I believe the White Sox have a requirement that they have to carry a rag arm, slap hitting OF each season. Scott Podsednik and Pierre having carried the tradition bravely. Morgan would be a perfect candidate to carry on the tradition.
  5. Matt Breen
    Nakajima asked to be posted last season. Everyone knew he'd ask again this year. The Brewers knew Yuni was a one year guy (please, God, let it be so). I said this before, but it just seems foolish to not have scouted Nakajima in some fashion over the course this past year. Perhaps Melvin's recent statements about Nakajima are a smokescreen - just to keep people from competing for the player. If so, then nice job, Doug. But if we pass on bidding - even a small bid - just because we never took the time to find out more about Nakajima - it's a wasted opportunity. If the team really did scout Nakajima and found him lacking in some fashion - that's fine. I don't have a problem with skipping him. But to just dismiss him is a waste - especially because everyone knew he'd ask to get posted again this year, and the team knew it would be looking at an upgrade at SS this offseason.
  6. Matt Breen
    Good for Cappy. I always liked the guy. Glad he could come back like he did. He had a bad ERA last year, but his numbers indicate he should probably be better. Like I said, I'm happy for him. Good guy.
  7. Matt Breen
    Unless they play Ramirez at 1B and let Green/McGehee fight it out for 1B. I guess who does the team like more - Gamel at 1B or a McGehee/Green option at 3B?
  8. Matt Breen
    I suppose it just becomes a shot in the dark if you haven't scouted any of the players. Seems kind of stupid not to at least have someone watching the Japanese league. But it'll cost a few million to post, then a few more million to sign. And if you're not sold on the guy because you haven't scouted him, why risk it.
  9. Matt Breen
    actually, i could see adding Stewart if the cost isn't too high. I could see doug going into camp saying McGehee, Stewart, Green and Gamel will battle it out for playing time. it would be a cheap alternative (with a reasonably decent upside) than signing a bigger free agent. I just don't what it would take to get stewart. If it's blake dewitt, we're not talking anything great.
  10. Matt Breen
    Jim Breen at Bernie's Crew has probably the best info about Nakajima that I've seen. http://www.jsonline.com/b.../fanblogs/134888638.html Here's a quote from Patrick Newman from NPB Tracker: "A lot of scouts seem to be quite negative on him at shortstop, and I've actually cooled off a bit too. He's bulked up a bit this year and given up some mobility. This year, I watched him a bit more closely and saw some bad instincts ... I think he would do okay at third base, but he might struggle at shortstop." Read the entire article - he has some other info on Nakajima (as well as other SS candidates).
  11. Matt Breen
    Here's a write up on NPBtracker.com - a site that follows Japanese baseball. The site's authors are, admittedly, not pros, but they are pretty informed. Hiroyuki Nakajima (SS, Seibu Lions) — Nakaji made multiple requests to be posted last offseason, all of which were denied by Seibu’s management, citing a desire to compete this season. It hasn’t really worked out, as the Lions are currently in last place in the Pacific League (despite my preseason optimism). Like most of NPB, Nakajima’s numbers have been suppressed by the new ball, but he still sports a .279/.339/.431 line. Sadly that .430 slugging percentage is good for sixth in the Pacific League. I don’t really see Nakaji as an MLB shortstop, but if he can come close his current .770 OPS at the MLB level, he’d be a useful second baseman. It should be noted that the article was written mid season, and nakajima ended up hitting .297. Also, he says something about a new baseball. Apparently the Japanese league started using new baseballs last year, which suppressed hitting. Sort of like adding a humidor to all the parks.
  12. Matt Breen
    Man, I just worry about spending $12-14 million a year for 3-4 years on an aging, poor fielding 3B. I guess you could move him to 1B, but I just don't trust the guy to be worth it.
  13. Matt Breen
    Dagumerubin - I like it. I think we should call him that all the time.
  14. Matt Breen
    Regarding Nakajima, he's got a more pop than a guy like Nishioka (the guy the Twins signed last year). Nakajima was 9th in the Japanese Pacific Coast league in HR in 2010, and 8th in 2009 - that's out of about 70 or so players. He hit 20 HR each year. He hit 27 one year. Nishioka's lack of any sort of power really made him vulnerable. I read a couple of comments that Nakajima has a longer stride and comes off the back foot more than a lot of Japanese players. It generates some extra power, but there was some concern as to whether he would be strikeout prone against better pitching (because of the bigger swing). I should say that I'm only going by things I've read - I haven't seen him bat. By the way, there are no 2011 stats details available. I know Nakajima fell off in average (.296) a bit (from .314 in 2010). He is 29 years old. I hope the team at least investigates him, but unless his glove is really good, I don't know if he profiles as being any more than average - at best. But then again, average at SS would be pretty awesome for us after the past couple of years.
  15. Matt Breen
    All good for the Brewers. The fewer crappy back up infielders on the market, the better chance we get someone we like. I'd rather spend $2-3 million and get a guy I want - like JRJ - or go with a young player at minimum. A crappy veteran is still crappy. I want someone you believe will be decent - or at least has a chance to be decent (such as a younger player). I liked that Justin Sellers kid from the Dodgers. Maybe these signings will help us add him.
  16. Matt Breen
    Eldred had a WAR of 2.7 his rookie year (1992). Only 100 inning pitched, however, so it's deceiving. He had a 3.3 WAR in 1993 (threw 258 innings that year), then flailed around after that, fluctuating between -0.4 to 2.1 WAR throughout his career.
  17. Matt Breen
    http://www.mlbtraderumors...sign-ramon-santiago.html Nothing huge here, but he was a guy some people thought could help out as a super sub or splitting time at SS. It also helps set the marketing for JHJ. I'm thinking 2 years / $4.5-5 million for Hairston will be what it takes.
  18. Matt Breen
    Tony Womack. .317 OBP and 36 career HR. Awesome.
  19. Matt Breen
    Yeah, this is so true. I was 18 in 1982, and I remember the season (even got to go to the 5th game of the world series). I wish, however, I'd have understood at the time just how amazing Robin and the team were. I friggin' 10 WAR season. Wow. You don't always appreciate it while in the moment.
  20. Matt Breen
    According to Fangraphs WAR calculations, here are the top 20 seasons by a Brewer. I don't think anyone realized at the time (or even now) how great Sheeters pitched in 2004. The 1980 team had three players with a WAR of 6.6 or higher. Wow. I thought this was kind of fun to share: Robin Yount - 1982 - 10.2 WAR Ben Sheets - 2004 - 8.0 Ryan Braun - 2011 - 7.8 Teddy Higuera - 1987 - 7.4 Tommy Harper - 1970 - 7.3 Cecil Cooper - 1980 - 7.1 Ben Oglivie - 1980 - 7.0 Mike Caldwell - 1978 - 6.9 Robin Yount - 1983 - 6.9 Jeff Cirillo - 1998 - 6.8 Robin Yount - 1980 - 6.6 Rickie Weeks - 2010 - 6.5 Prince Fielder - 2009 - 6.4 Paul Molitor - 1982 - 6.3 Paul Molitor - 1987 - 6.3 George Scott - 1973 - 6.3 Chris Bosio - 1989 - 6.2 Robin Yount - 1984 - 6.1 Paul Molitor - 1988 - 5.9 Sal Bando - 1978 - 5.9
  21. Matt Breen
    http://www.mlbtraderumors...-with-david-dejesus.html Solid player. Probably a decent buy low deal. Bit surprised at the 2-year deal. Also a club option for 2014. Probably means the Cubs think DeJesus will bounce back, so they are looking at him as more than a one year guy.
  22. Matt Breen
    It was fun going back to the original threads on this and seeing how the trade went down. Pretty crazy time. I remember sitting at my computer on Saturday night just hitting the reload button, waiting for the 'official' word to get out. I sat up to 1:00 a.m. before giving up - rushing to the computer when I woke up at around 8:00. Fun stuff.
  23. Matt Breen
    I bet few teams were willing to go as high as $4 million. More like $2 million and incentives. I'd have been good with that. But $4 million is a lot for someone coming off elbow surgery.
  24. Matt Breen
    http://www.mlbtraderumors...n-jonathan-broxton-.html I thought Broxton would have been an interesting guy to add on a one year deal. It is a one year deal for $4 million. Edit: added contract details.
  25. Matt Breen
    He's officially posted. Teams have until Friday to put in bids. I just don't see the Crew taking any sort of risk on a guy like this, especially after minnesota got burned last year. Still, it's an interesting option if they like what they see. http://www.mlbtraderumors...t-hiroyuki-nakajima.html
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