based strictly on stats, it's Kemp. plus he plays a more demanding position. however, some people will discount him because he's not on a winning team. whether that's right or wrong is beside the point. some voters will look at the numbers and see two players fairly close across the board, and they'll look at that person's team, and they'll pick braunie because he's lead his team to the playoffs. again, whether that is how it should be doesn't matter. it will simply be the fact. the key will be how many of these kinds of voters exist. but i think enough of them to give the vote to braunie. if ryan can win the batting title, that might do it for him. on the other hand, if kemp could continue his tear and win the triple crown, it would be hard to ignore him.