Most of the experts seem to, as almost all have agreed the Cubs are the heavy favorite to win the Central. But why? Rotation: The Cubs rotation is highly regarded, and I'm not exactly sure why. Zambrano is a true ace, no question. But after that, it gets pretty average. Lilly is a good #2 if he pitches like his '07 form, not so much if he pitches like the rest of his career. He's likely to at least slightly regress. Gallardo is head and shoulders above Lilly as a #2. I still don't think converting Dempster is the answer, although that remains to be seen. Hill is pretty decent, but a middle of the rotation guy at best. Marquis is an alright bottom of the rotation guy, but I doubt he'd crack our rotation. Although Parra isn't proven, I'd definitely say we have the better rotation when Gallardo returns, for now it's pretty close. Bullpen: This one is pretty close. I'd say Marmol is probably the best reliever in the Central, or at least one of the best. Both the Cubs and Brewers both have bullpens made up of pretty good, proven relievers with at least some reliable years in the past. The better overall bullpen may boil down to Gagne vs. Wood and who ends up being the better closer. Lineup: I think the Brewers lineup has a pretty apparent advantage. The Lee/Fielder battle is close, but Prince will put up superior offense. Weeks is preferable to DeRosa in the lineup, same with Hardy over Theriot. I'll take Ramirez over Hall, at least on offense. Soriano is solid, but he's just not going to match Braun's production anymore, especially being on the wrong side of 30 and maybe older than we think. Cameron is elite defensively in CF, and gets the nod over Pie until Pie can show signs of production at the MLB level. Fukudome and Hart are pretty evenly matched in RF, and that's being pretty generous to Fukudome, given Hart's already proven production in 2007 in the MLB. Soto is still a question mark, but I'll say Soto over Kendall. Kendall so far appears to be just what we needed at catcher, though. I'd say Pinella is a better in-game manager than Yost, but I don't expect that to be the deciding factor in a pennant race, and I do think Ned will learn from some of his '07 mistakes. So what am I missing here? Top to bottom, I don't see how the Cubs are a superior team. I know I'm biased, but I don't see any obvious reason that they should be a near-unanimous pick to win the Central.