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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. adambr2
    https://www.brewcrewball.com/2018/12/26/18150946/milwaukee-brewers-travis-shaw-2018-breakout-deserved-runs-created-plus This is a pretty good article that shows why Shaw ran into a fair share of tough luck in 2018 and actually made some improvements which could leave us expecting even more in 2019. IMO, one of the most underrated and least talked about Brewers.
  2. adambr2
    While I think there's a place for therapy animals and that finding creative ways to cope with stress is a good thing, I think much of finals stress for many students is self-induced from procrastination and a lack of preparation.
  3. adambr2
    To be quite honest I barely even bat an eye at Milwaukee based speculation for any player at this point unless something really seems imminent. We've been down this road with Darvish and Archer last year -- can't even remember if we were connected to Arrieta or not but it would not surprise me. For whatever reason, maybe in some cases to smokescreen our actual targets, we seem connected to just about everyone. Most deals that actually come to fruition aren't speculated on much in advance and when they are they come together very quickly.
  4. adambr2
    I agree, Broxton is traded or makes the roster. He isn't going to be flat released. He could be someone who is part of an early season trade too if another team has OF injuries. Part of the advantage with Gamel is the option and I'm sure there will be a regular shuffle between Gamel, Spangenberg, Saladino, and Dubon. They have a lot of roster flexibility available on the bench and I'm sure they will take advantage of it. One guy who would be a good shuffle candidate is Thames. He is an interesting case in that he has options but needs to give his consent for us to option him. I wonder if they talked to him before the season if they would tell him they want to keep him here and not trade him but that it would be very beneficial to the team if he would agree to shuffle between MLB and AAA as needed in 2019. I doubt he would be thrilled but maybe he would be on board, he wouldn't lose any money.
  5. adambr2
    Availability is a very important component of value. It doesn't make sense to say a player hasn't been a problem and then in the very next sentence say you wish he could stay healthy.
  6. adambr2
    But if Broxton makes the roster you're not counting on him for offense. You're counting on him to be a late defensive plus replacement, or a pinch runner type. He's not going to get Hernan Perez type ABs.
  7. adambr2
    This is simply not true. Braun has had health issues, but when he's played he's remained a 30 HR, above-average offensive threat from a corner OF. But your reference to Braun cursing us with his "cheating" shows you have separate reasons for disliking him. Braun hasn't hit over 20 HR since 2016, and only cracked 30 once in the last 6 seasons, so to call him a 30 HR guy is a stretch. He's not wrong to say that a 2016 deal for Puig+McCarthy+prospects would be advantageous for us now while also affording us more payroll flexibility.
  8. adambr2
    Certainly a valid point of view. The Cubs have a LH dominant pitching staff, too. I get it. Still, MLB is something like 70% RH Starting Pitchers, and Stearns specifically mentioned wanting to get another LH bat. Now, maybe he is just saying that and the main reasons he wanted Gamel is because of being able to option him and the lower cost/more control. adambr, I always enjoy your point of view. You are right, we need more RH bats, too... In general we would benefit from more offense all around if we are going to take that next step. I think this is a small step in that direction. As much as I liked Domingo he really was a bit of a liability defensively, too Hi 3and2, thanks for the kind words, I almost always agree with your POVs. You are right to say that as far as the regular season goes, typically we get matched up against RHP. With that said it seems to me that we struggle to match up against LHP heavy teams. It really hurt us in the NLCS in my opinion, and I'd like to see us with a better chance if we get back. I guess my point is -- our best bat, Yelich, was a 160 OPS+ guy, and Shaw is generally around a 120+. Aguilar might settle in around that same 120+, but other than that, our best RH bats, Braun, Cain, you're probably talking 110+ OPS bats. Above average, but nothing that is going to strike fear in a World Series caliber lefty heavy staff. Someone like Goldschmidt probably is a big difference maker, but he's obviously only a bandaid and that ship has sailed anyway. It's the main reason I really wanted Wilson Ramos, but it sounds like he had his heart set on New York anyway.
  9. adambr2
    We are/were just fine with LH bats. Our best bats are LH. For RH bats we have Lorenzo Cain and that is about it. Maybe Aguilar, but big if after his 2nd half drought. The trade does not bother me, but I don't understand the continuous clamoring by some for LH bats. We have enough lefty bats. If anything we could use a RH stick. Basically the reason we didn't go to the World Series is that the strength of LA was left handed power arms and we didn't have the RH bats to counter.
  10. adambr2
    I don't understand this from the Red's perspective at all. All these guys are 1 year rentals for a team that isn't quite there yet.
  11. adambr2
    The new Sogard.
  12. adambr2
    Holy smokes. 11M guaranteed for Matt Harvey? I'm leaning more and more toward sticking with our internal options for starters because the SP market seems a little nuts so far.
  13. adambr2
    Flexibility is a crucial part of our pitching model in Milwaukee. If Lyles had options remaining, there might have been more consideration given to bringing him back. Lacking that flexibility has consequences. Guys without options tend to get longer leashes, because it's usually either let them work through their problems or lose them. So guys who would normally be sent down to work on things when they struggle end up struggling at the MLB level instead when they can't be optioned (see Matt Albers). Having that flexilbity also lets us adjust our roster accordingly to our needs at the time, upcoming matchups, etc. It's pretty important to our operations and so I'm sure they prefer that their 20-30 guys on the depth chart be guys that can be optioned if needed.
  14. adambr2
    I would also tend to view his playoff performances as abberations and take a shot on Grandal. Putting too much stock in a small playoff sample is how we ended up with Jeff Suppan.
  15. adambr2
    I just don't get their infatuation with Kratz. Erik Kratz is not the only catcher in MLB who can handle a pitching staff. He's a fantastic story and I'm happy for him, but this should have been the end of it for him. He already isn't very good and at his age it could get a lot worse fast. Any opening day 2018 roster that involves Kratz starting more than 25% of games will be pretty disappointing to me. Catcher is a huge opportunity for an upgrade. I wish we had gotten Ramos, but it does sound like he wanted to go to New York so I'm not going to get too worked up about it. But the status quo isn't good enough.
  16. adambr2
    All of Linsley, Bahktiari, Spriggs, and Bulaga have cumulative 2018 grades of 'above average'. McCray and Taylor both have 'average' grades. https://www.profootballfocus.com/nfl/teams/green-bay-packers/12/roster While PFF isn't the end all be all, but it absolutely supports my argument that the O line struggles are really overblown and amplified greatly by Rodgers' indecisiveness. It isn't the worst O line by his career. Not by a long shot. Offensive lines in general tend to take a really unfair amount of criticism from fans across the board on an annual basis from fans of every team. They're immediately notified when they do their job poorly, but rarely when they do it well. Thus the ratings that don't at all reflect what the fan perspective usually is.
  17. adambr2
    The Dodgers only want to go 1 year for Grandal. I'm holding out hope we may make a play for him, but I doubt it.
  18. adambr2
    Don't agree whatsoever that this is the worst roster he's played with. That's something that becomes so easy to say when your record stinks, but he's done more with far less before. Adams is a true #1, and his O-line isn't nearly as bad as people act. Though he's been heavily underutilized, Jones is a very talented back. TD/INT ratio is also a terrible method of QB evaluation IMO, and I think this year more than any has exposed that. 5 of the 8 most intercepted QBs of all time are in the Hall of Fame. Frankly, I wish he were throwing a few more this year if it meant he was being more decisive, throwing into tighter windows and trusting his receivers more. I do agree that he'll bounce back. By no means am I saying Aaron Rodgers is done. I understand both Brady and Brees have been through this and I do expect both him and the team to improve greatly in 2019. My critique is simply with his play this year and those why won't admit that his play is a huge part of the problem this year.
  19. adambr2
    Ramos handled one of the best, most underrated pitching staffs in baseball last year. He also caught almost every game for the AL Cy Young Blake Snell before he was traded. He is not a defensive stud, but he's not bad. I don't get why people are under the impression that Ramos is a bat only hack who stinks at everything else.
  20. adambr2
    No, I think his play has changed, and that's a bigger problem than any of that other stuff.
  21. adambr2
    Of course it doesn't matter when they are winning. That's why Tom Brady has gotten a pass his entire career. I never cared about the commercials, the Hollywood side of Rodgers, and the arrogance about him when he was playing well. But he's not.
  22. adambr2
    The whole point was a preference to see Rodgers be more self-accountable. He's had a poor season. I totally get that not everyone was going to agree with it but calling it revisionist doesn't really make sense by the definition of that word.
  23. adambr2
    It's possible that 2/20 would have gotten it done and we stood our ground at 2/16. Or it's possible Ramos preferred to go to New York and would have needed 3/36 to come here. No way we'll ever know, unfortunately.
  24. adambr2
    "I've had two interceptions in however many attempts. I feel pretty good about the way I've taken care of the football this season. We just haven't made enough big plays over the year. That's why the completion percentage is what it is and yards per attempt is what it is and touchdowns are where they're at, so that stuff's disappointing. I've had interception streaks in the past. I had a long one at home -- 500-plus. Hopefully I'll start a new one." I know some will roll their eyes and think I'm reading too much into it, and that's okay. But it really rubs me the wrong way that every time he talks of something positive, it's "I." Every time he talks of something negative, it's "We."
  25. adambr2
    I'm sure he can, but it would be nice to address one of the black holes in our lineup now rather than in 80+ games, and that's more of a general argument for a catching upgrade in general rather than JT specifically.
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