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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. adambr2
    I would have been quite happy to get him at that price. Too bad.
  2. adambr2
    Could be. I sensed there was a little bit more to the Ramos talk, but it's been pretty quiet since then. It is indeed hard to speculate ahead of time on what moves we might actually make because it really is true that we kick the tires on almost everyone, so at some point it's hard to tell what is serious and what is just due diligence. Quite a few of our moves happen very suddenly and without too much connection or speculation ahead of time.
  3. adambr2
    I think acquiring Claudio in a way was a payroll preservation move to get that caliber of arm without paying going FA rate. Thames and Anderson trades could free up a pretty good amount, Santana and Davies to a smaller extent. If Lowrie and Ramos could be acquired for say $20M annually combined and we stuck with the pitchers we have, I'd be pretty thrilled with our offseason, and I think that is doable. Another trade for a pitcher would be fine with me too, but I think it bears repeating that the Brewers in the Stearns' era have always been on a different wavelength than the mainstream belief as far as what their pitching needs are, and for the most part they have been right.
  4. adambr2
    I think the main things that destroyed Boone Logan were walking a batter an inning and a hilariously bad 1.354 OPS by lefties against him, a lot more so than the way he was used. Obviously you can't shield lefties from righties entirely but the effort was there initially to have him be your guy against lefty batters. He was just really bad at it.
  5. adambr2
    Yeah I don't want to sell low on Anderson simply for the sake of clearing salary and a rotation space. By no means is his salary cost-prohibitive. If you can get a fair return, I'm on board. I'm not totally convinced yet that there's more fire than smoke in regard to trading Chase. His numbers and control look like a guy we would be looking to buy low on if he were playing elsewhere.
  6. adambr2
    It's hard to think of a better fit for the way we do business than Jed Lowrie. - Most importantly obviously, he's really good -- about a 4 WAR average player the last couple years. - He can play all over the IF, so though we'd obviously be signing him for 2B, we have the flexibility that we love to have if and when Hiura is up. - He's a solid defender. Don't need to try to hide his glove. - He's a switch hitter with nearly even career splits from both sides, so forget about trying to neutralize him with a LOOGY and you can start him with confidence against LH rotations like the Cubs and Dodgers, or standard RH heavy rotations. There's no need to try to play matchups. Obviously, age is a concern, but for a short-term investment that should be within the budget, it would be hard to do better. I hope we can make it happen.
  7. adambr2
    Taylor Williams could be another guy paired with Claudio and rotated in and out. Very extreme splits. I wonder if they have that exact sort of thing in mind.
  8. adambr2
    I appreciate very much what Miley did for us last year and would welcone him back at the right price, but this franchise can't survive long-term doling out $18M for one season to the Wade Mileys and Gio Gonzalez's of the world. QO would have been a huge overpay for either.
  9. adambr2
    Someday someone will try it. Using two ground ball pitchers to hide the defensive shortcomings and it might even work. Or, it turns out to be Kotsay in center. It's already been tried quite a bit. Well, some. Joe Maddon did it against us last year, for one.
  10. adambr2
    I don't hate the trade, but I think if the shoe was on the other foot, and we tendered say Cedeno and traded him for the #39 pick, many of the same people who love this would love that too.
  11. adambr2
    Diplan is an option. Probably not on opening day, but throughout the course of 2019? Sure, I can absolutely see him making his debut at some point. Will we have a listed 5 man rotation on opening day for the purposes of filling out a depth chart? Probably, maybe, I don't know. Does it really matter? Will we remain flexible on this in terms of callups, roster management, pitch counts, matchups, etc? Yes, it certainly appears so. The amount of innovation going on here is subject to interpretation, I guess, but I think there's pretty clearly a lot more going on than just carrying some extra middle inning relievers.
  12. adambr2
    Hasn't been legal very long.
  13. adambr2
    Mildly confirmed / alluded to today by Stearns. Mildly confirmed...that's some kind of stretch. I saw the same quote, he didn't even remotely confirm anything. The only thing he did was leave open the possibility of any of those guys either starting or relieving. But he DID literally say that they will continue to blur the line between starter and reliever.
  14. adambr2
    I'm with you right up to the end there. I don't think this organization has any future use for or desire to employ a LOOGY. I don't know that that's necessarily true. I understand that Stearns mentioned Claudio's ability to eat up innings when needed, but he may just like that flexibility-- it doesn't for sure confirm they plan to employ him that way. I understand that there's a lot of bullpen innovation going on in Milwaukee but specialization is still necessary at times -- not everyone needs to go multiple innings. In my opinion he'll be pretty limited to LOOGY duty. I think Alex may see full innings when a lefty heavy inning is due up. I don't think he's going to be a multi inning reliever in the mold of Burnes or Woodruff at all. I think the only time he'll go multiple innings is garbage time.
  15. adambr2
    The #39 pick has yielded some pretty decent picks over the last decade. Corey Knebel, Joey Gallo, and Lance Lynn were all #39.
  16. adambr2
    I understand why you'd feel that way looking at the splits but the GM of the Brewers just stated the exact opposite. "We are excited to add another talented left-handed reliever to our bullpen," said general manager David Stearns said in a statement. "Over his young Major League career, Alex has proven to be one of the most consistent and durable lefty relievers in baseball." Unless I missed a quote that directly pertains to Claudio I don't see any confirmation from Stearns that he's going to be a multi-inning guy.
  17. adambr2
    A guy who is lights out against LHP and gets hammered by RHP isn't a great fit as a multi inning guy. I'm all about innovation in the pitching staff but IMO he's going to be a LOOGY.
  18. adambr2
    He's better than those three guys but he's going to shuttle between AAA and Milwaukee? I doubt that. Yes, he probably will, because we place a high value on roster flexibility. Barnes was optioned repeatedly last year, Santana spent most of 2018 in AAA, and even Corey Knebel was optioned. Others would have been optioned if they could have. All of those things would have seemed inexplicable at this time last year but will probably become more the norm. Simply put, there will be 10 day stretches where an extra bat or longer arm is needed more than a LOOGY. Rotate up was probably the wrong term, I think he'll spend most of 2019 with the MLB club but may go down for short stretches.
  19. adambr2
    I hate giving up the pick, but for career #'s versus lefties, he's far better than Logan, Cedeno, or Jennings. He's going to be a LOOGY only type who probably spends time between Milwaukee and San Antonio, rotating up when we face lefty heavy teams or a dangerous lefty like Harper or Rizzo.
  20. adambr2
    Could you explain this statement? I've never seen anything that says he's really bad - generally around average. I'm just wondering what you are using to arrive at this assessment. Please note that I haven't seen much of Ramos - so I don't have any pre-judgements other than the stats I see and some assessments I read. I'd be curious to what people are using to judge Ramos. Thanks. Seconding this, I've never seen any metrics that show Ramos as one of the worst defenders in MLB. He's not going to win any gold gloves, but he's far from being an albatross. I'll gladly take 'slightly below average' defense with his bat. I actually take back my not going to win any gold gloves as Ramos was a finalist for a Gold Glove in 2015. For however much that means about defense which is very little.
  21. adambr2
    True, although I would say the difference between 1 and 1+ is bigger than the difference between 2 and 1+. If a team trades for Realmuto in July, they still have him for 2 pennant races which is the most important thing. Lucroy is a good comparable here. Remember when he made the comments about wanting to play for a contender? That was pre-season 2016, with 2 years of control remaining. Lucroy was coming off a down season. We could have sold then, but we didn't and he rebounded, and we did better at the deadline than we probably otherwise would have with 2 years control. If Realmuto has the 1st half he had in 2018, I think they'll be fine waiting til then if they don't get the offer they want. Of course the risky flip side is he could have a bad down year or get injured and then your last good window to cash in your trade chip is gone.
  22. adambr2
    I'd agree on Hiura, I'd expect him to be somewhere in the ballpark of #15. Just not sure how much the AzFL performance will help him and how much the arm concerns will hurt him.
  23. adambr2
    I guess that depends how high you're subjectively valuing Hiura. Top 10 prospect like Tucker, Whitley, Robles? Probably not. But, you never know. It only takes one team to overpay which is why I think the Quintana discussion is relevant here. Jimenez was a top 5 prospect at the time. No one gave the White Sox what they wanted for Quintana pre-2017, but the Cubs caved later. So if that could happen with Quintana, why couldn't it happen with Realmuto? Prospect more in the 25-35 range is still a good likelihood IMO or a young emerging MLB player. Hiura's value is still kind of not something universally agreed upon. Some rankings may have him in their top 10, others may have him around the #30 spot that he currently occupies for MLB Pipeline.
  24. adambr2
    That's not really a bad comparison Keith. They don't compare now, but you can't look at now, you have to look at the time Quintana was traded. He had extremely high value and Yelich wasn't at the level he is now. Given the headliner you could easily argue the White Sox did far better for Quintana than the Marlins did for Yelich. "Declining established mid-rotation arm" is revisionist history, that's not how he was perceived at the time. If that was what the Cubs expected to get, they certainly wouldn't have given up Eloy Jimenez for him. And we have no way of knowing what kind of a headliner will be needed for Realmuto just because it hasn't happened yet. Trade markets fluctuate for a variety of reasons. Andujar may be going to Miami for Realmuto and if so that's a pretty solid headliner.
  25. adambr2
    Anderson + Thames for Castro is probably an overpay, but the proposed deals with Ray as a headliner for Realmuto aren't nearly enough IMO. Would take a miracle to get it done without Hiura, and if that happened it would definitely take Burnes.
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