If you can't understand that 84 games is a small sample size when talking about things (especially starting pitching) and that over half a season a teams record can be extremely volatile based on a few players performing way above or way below expectations, I'm not sure what to say. Take the 2004 Brewers for example. After 81 games they were 43-38, on pace to win 86 games. The next 81 games they went 23-58. I don't think either of those 81 game records is where the "true talent" of that team was. They would've been hard pressed to win 86, and hard pressed to only win 46. I'd say they were about a 65 to 70 win team overall, and that's where they finished. This season, thus far, the 'Crew has been extremely unlucky, and have had a majority of their poor performers come from the same spot -- the pitching staff.