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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. I get that crypto was created in response to the banking crisis, but, after over a decade, does it actually solve any of the problems with banking or will it in the next 5 years? If anything there are more problems... (1) It's extremely inefficient + bad for the environment (2) Government regulation is inevitable (3) It's too volatile to be used for banking (4) The platforms are not secure It's a speculation bomb like everything else in the economy right now...stocks, housing, commodities, etc. My vanguard index funds are up over 20% this year and it's required exactly zero effort on my part. Money is free flowing right now and crypto is growing because people are looking for every possible avenue to invest their increasing cash. When the economy inevitably blows up, crypto will go down with it. Again, I'm not arguing that there are not uses for some aspects of this technology, but that is all completely decoupled from the speculation bubble that we are all playing, myself included. We all know it's unsustainable and if things really start going downhill we're all going to pull our investments. As long as cash is free-flowing I would buy every dip.
  2. Has anyone here criticizing this play actually looked at a replay? The ball had already bounced once when Jeter intercepted it. When it bounced it looks like it may have hit the grass, it's hard to tell, but the bounce itself wasn't one of those skipping bounces, it bounced up (Jeter got to it on its downward trajectory at about knee height) and appeared to me to slow down quite a bit. I'm not sure the ball even comes close to arriving at the plate in time without Jeter doing what he did. I don't have a pitchfork but I think the play stands up as a pretty great play, iconic even, and I've never been a particular fan of Jeter's and am certainly no fan of the Yankees. Exactly, the whole reason Giambi didn't slide is because it wasn't a close play, they missed the cutoff man and the ball was skipping along, off-target. No way in a million years does Posada pick that skipping ball and make a tag. The funny thing is, nearly the exact same play happened to the Brewers in the first inning of NLCS game 6 in 2018. Manny Machado made the same move as Jeter when he saw that Puig overthrew the cutoff man, but the timing didn't work out quite the same with a speedy Braun running.
  3. Meh, it was borderline and it’s great entertainment to have the Cowboys fans up in arms this early in the year.
  4. Jeter didn’t do it on a random Tuesday night, he did it in an elimination game on the road that was decided by one run. It was a +0.35 WPA play. One that had never been seen before and hasn’t happened since. Was there some freakiness involved? Of course. But in terms of postseason defensive plays…it’s up there near the top of the list. Every hall of famer had some sort of iconic play that gets shown a million times. How many times have I seen Robin Yount stretching that one single into a double? Larry Walker throwing a guy out from RF? I’ll agree on “the catch” but it’s a fun one to replay. I’ll watch that highlight of Shaq diving into the stands any day as well.
  5. Yes, exactly, this team is built to win in October. They have been repeatedly willing to sacrifice regular season wins in order to increase the chance of success in the postseason...6-man rotation, mandated 1-inning reliefs stints, days off, etc. And yet, they find a way to win in the regular season anyway thanks to their tremendous depth plus Counsell's genius at putting players in a position to succeed. It's truly phenomenal what they have accomplished. And it's not like this team is just optimized to do certain things well, this is a complete baseball team. Defense, baserunning, patience at the plate, fundamentals, etc. You name it, they do it better than average.
  6. It's one thing to do a rebuild, it's another to be completely inept for year after year after year. People will eventually stop caring. You also have to keep in mind that attendance is down by 10,000 fans per game this year compared with the pre-COVID baseline. I believe the Brewers' 2021 average attendance is the second-lowest in the Miller Park/AmFamClam era, with only 2003 being lower. That said, Pittsburgh and Baltimore both have a higher average attendance than Tampa Bay and Oakland...so perhaps constantly theatening to relocate a team is bad for attendance as well...
  7. Is this what it felt like to be a Brewers fan in 1982? I’ve never experienced anything like this before. They win every game they should win and about half the games they shouldn’t win.
  8. I hope we aren’t hearing this three weeks from now Me too! If this was a postseason game Counsell would have already pulled him.
  9. To me that's the big mystery -- what problem is crypto trying to solve? Certainly not banking transactions since the current system processes a billion of them per day quite efficiently while crypto is doing a couple hundred thousand at a prohibitive cost per transaction. This is quickly apparent if you actually try and create your own wallet and buy bitcoin with cash. Almost nobody does this because it's easier to just "buy" crypto credits with Robinhood or Coinbase. Anyway, that's all totally fine, there is plenty of profit to be made and you just have to jump ship before the whole thing crashes down. Buy the dip and HODL!
  10. He's smoking everything lately and he's hitting it to all fields. I wouldn't change a thing with his swing or approach given his ability to run the bases and draw walks if opponents start pitching around him again. Meanwhile, Cody Bellinger is down in Jackie Bradley Jr territory on offense (sub .550 OPS) and he isn't making it up with his glove like JBJ is.
  11. I didn't watch the game but the box score didn't look that bad to me. Wisconsin seemed to follow the usual script -- dominated possession, more total yardage, and very close to a 17-16 win. Not a program-defining loss by any means. I think some of the recent comments are right -- they are limited at skill positions on offense and there's only so much you can do with an inside-the-box running game. Wisconsin has always struggled to acquire the talent to move away from their core strengths, and certainly Chryst is not going to be the one to change that, he's going to triple down on the usual formula. We'll see how they look against Notre Dame, that will be the real measuring stick.
  12. I'd love to see Braun throw out the first pitch in the NLDS. A nice, slow lollipop toss.
  13. Agreed... The Phillies have an awful rotation besides Wheeler, but they finally have a decent bullpen which historically was a problem for them. In a best-of-5 they can use Wheeler twice (assuming they don't need him in game 162 or 163) and try to win a bullpen/multiple starter game. And hope that the opponent is dumb enough to pitch to Harper. Atlanta is better than their record, they have 4 starters they can confidently use in a postseason series, and they are at least an average offensive team although less scary without Acuña. Plus the experience of a deep playoff run last year. On paper you want the Phillies, but if they make the postseason it means they played well in September and are coming in with momentum. The best case for the Brewers is that the two teams have to fight it out to the last game and burn their best pitchers doing so.
  14. As an out-of-town fan, I've always targeted the pennant clincher. 2018 worked out really nicely because games 6-7 fell on a Friday-Saturday and game 6 was guaranteed a few days ahead of time. So I was able to get ahold of face value tickets and a cheap flight without much difficulty. I still think game 7 would have gone the other way if Taylor hadn't made that absurd catch to rob Yelich of a game-tying double in the 5th. This year NLCS games 6-7 are on a Saturday-Sunday which is perfect, but it's probably going to take a miracle upset of LA to get the games in Milwaukee (assuming the Brewers survive the NLDS). And I really don't want to go to LA as a visiting fan in the postseason, although I think the tickets will be easy to acquire. I have less interest in the World Series, the tickets are too expensive and it invites too many casual baseball fans. My wife went to a Nats World Series game in 2019 and described it as a "typical baseball game", although that might be more because of the location and the poor performance in the game by the home team. Milwaukee will probably have better WS crowds but I suspect it will still be hard to get in for under $500, while the NLCS was going for the mid-$100s in 2018.
  15. Not quite yet, they’re 0-5 against the Phils coming into tonight. Better hope the Braves win the NL East...
  16. I thought I was the only Seattle person on here! Agreed, one of the nicer ballparks in baseball + some of the lowest ticket prices for nice seats. There will be a San Diego-like resurgence in fan interest if they can ever make the playoffs. But yes, you go to a game and look at the lineup and wonder how this team can possibly be where they are in the standings. Ty France is probably the guy who has quietly done the most other than Seagar/Haniger.
  17. I know the MLB playoffs can be random, but this is a complete team that is going to win the pennant. It just needs to be said.
  18. The AL is getting a bit interesting as well with the Astros stumbling a bit and a pack of teams sitting 3-4 back of the wild card. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Blue Jays sneak in ahead of the Red Sox or Yankees. The Mariners are an enigma but at this point one has to assume they are for real and are a threat as well. I have no idea how a team with one of the worst offenses in baseball can also be one of the most clutch teams in MLB history. It’s absurd.
  19. Easy save for Hader. Giants’ long run in 1st place comes to an end.
  20. Shows the Dodgers fans who were criticizing Counsell for not using Williams in the 8th. LOL.
  21. I can’t believe Alvarez didn’t even get the obvious makeup call opportunity on Yelich.
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