I think it's much more than 50/50 he stays. I think it's 95/5 and honestly it might be stronger than that. He's said he doesn't want to fraternize with other superstars because he doesn't want their influence on his decisions. He turned down an offer from LeBron to be in Space Jam, he won't practice/work out with other superstars in the off season, he avoids all those situations. He's said he's turned down many endorsement opportunities, I think mainly because he values his time and his normal routine over the distraction of flying out to different places to shoot commercials. I think he also is being careful with the products he wants to represent. It would take a huge shift in his thinking to leave IMO. Is it possible? Of course, people change their minds all the time. I think the 2 biggest factors in his decision will be his family and whether he believes the Bucks will continue to chase championships. I think the Bucks are taking care of their end. The unknown is if his family wants to stay in Milwaukee as badly as he theoretically does. I read a story about Kobe meeting with Giannis, it sounded like Giannis came super prepared to the meeting and quizzed Kobe on all sorts of in-game situations where Giannis thought he needed to improve. It certainly fits the general theme of him chasing a championship above all else. I think the equation could change significantly depending on if the Bucks win a championship or not. As long as Giannis does not have a championship he is going to do whatever it takes to get one and if a team puts together a compelling proposal there is reason to think Giannis would leave Milwaukee. We know that Giannis likes Milwaukee and if he thinks he can win championships here, and does, he will probably stay. But maybe after winning one he will start thinking more about other aspects of his career, endorsements, movies, etc. Who knows.