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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. owbc
    How about the HR derby? You have to think if Braun makes the game, he will be invited.
  2. owbc
    Wouldn't it be interesting if at the end of September, the Cubs have the division clinched and we have to play them the last weekend of the season with our Wildcard hopes on the line. Would they quietly rest some of their starters or make an full effort to ruin our chance at the playoffs?
  3. owbc
    I've always been a big Bill Hall fan. I know he wasn't a big prospect, but he could play all over the field and put up solid offensive numbers. He hit to the opposite field (or at least he used to). He never complained when he was forced to move positions several times. He's clearly not as good as his 2006 numbers, but why fault him for that? I also don't think a Branyan/Dillon platoon is the solution. Why should I believe that Dillon will continue his success? Between this year and last, Joe Dillon has 35 hits with the Brewers and about 1/6 of a season worth of at bats. If we're going to be in a playoff chase, do we really have time to find out if Dillon is going to keep it up. He looks like he has a great approach, but so did Brady Clark, it doesn't guarantee long term success. Bill Hall has been successful for season after season against lefties. He is a solid defender. He is under contract. We're not going to get anything decent in return without packaging a good prospect. Bill Hall would be a better shortstop than JJ Hardy or a better 2B than Rickie Weeks, assuming neither of them decide to wake up and play like last year. Weeks has a history of injuries, what happens if we trade Hall and he goes down? Just play him in the platoon. He doesn't have a choice. It doesn't say in his contract that he has to start. We can't risk and injury or 3TO falling back to earth.
  4. owbc
    That 3-run HR makes it interesting, at least. I'm sure the Cubs will hang on. I still think we can catch the Cubs, but they are really going to have to help us out. We haven't even played them at Miller Park yet, so if we can pull off a sweep, half of their lead could evaporate.
  5. owbc
    If we keep playing like this, we'll be well within reach in time for the Cubs' annual choke.
  6. owbc
    On a related note, I saw that the Cubs' outfielders are now doing the high five jump after victories. Jenkins/Hall/Hart started a trend, I guess.
  7. owbc
    Yes, it's a small sample size and I'm tempted to say that he just gets lucky. However...although I don't have any evidence to back it up, I suspect that other "slap" hitters like Counsell may be more likely to have success with the bases loaded than similar players who hit for more power. It seems to me like many home run hitters (from lesser ones up to Prince Fielder) tend to over swing with the bases loaded and thus have less success. Counsell just seems to be gifted at not putting pressure on himself in big situations--maybe his postseason experience has something to do with it. So, there is probably some statistical noise, but I suspect that Counsell's approach has something to do with it.
  8. owbc
    It's really hard to follow a ball moving at the speed of light with a camera. Cut them some slack.
  9. owbc
    The only way it might work is if the public announcer is in on the plan and announces Rickie Weeks to the crowd.
  10. owbc
    3TO has 2 out of the 3 true outcomes today. Hopefully he gets the third. Adding to the Hardy topic, I don't see him getting good jumps or reads. In fact, from my observations and the stats, I would say that he is not very agile and is rather slow for a shortstop. There are many ground balls that at least 2/3 of MLB shortstops would get to that go under his glove. His vertical leap isn't nearly as high as Weeks or Hall. He doesn't make throwing errors, but people remember errors, not balls that weren't even touched.
  11. owbc
    That game today...I felt a punch in my stomach when I saw the highlights. As much as I want to argue that the season is only 1/3 over, we are in about the worst possible position at this point. They're hot, we're not. We have key injuries, they don't. They have the money to make a huge move at the deadline, we might be selling. But besides that, the things that really seem to matter like home vs. road splits and strength of schedule suggest that they will give us a chance. Plus, that big offense isn't going to help them in the playoffs when the warm summer winds are gone.
  12. owbc
    I'm in as well--thanks much!
  13. owbc
    JJ Hardy has one of the worst range factors in MLB. Have you ever seen him make a diving stop and throw? Hardy has an above-average arm that is very accurate, but overall I would consider him to be average or below-average defensively.
  14. owbc
    Great point. Sheets always seems to perform best after the Brewers lose, so by dumping tonight's game, they will ensure a victory tomorrow. In fact, some random play during tomorrow's game could be that one single event/moment that makes all of our flaws disappear, sending us on a 10 game winning streak and turning around the season.
  15. owbc
    I thought the two longest HR hit by Brewers at Miller Park both hit the signs located in the RF power alley. The Branyan one (not related to Opening Day) hit the top part of the sign. The Prince Fielder one from May 12, 2006 against the Mets hit the roadrunner sign. The Branyan one hit the Cingular sign, which is located slightly farther away from home plate since it is to the left. Thus, I firmly believe that Branyan's HR is the longest. I don't think any home runs that hit the CF scoreboard can qualify. The scoreboard is only about 405 feet from home plate. The HRs have it it maybe 30-40 feet up at most. So I don't see how anything that hits the scoreboard can be more than 440. Furthermore, the back wall at Miller Park is much farther back than the scoreboard, as the ball has to clear the opponents bullpen and a large concourse. I don't know enough about the Dew Deck shots to comment, but I have never personally seen a ball hit there. The farthest HRs came during the home run derby in 2002 when Sammy Sosa hit one completely over the LF bleachers and out the window, which was estimated at over 500 ft.
  16. owbc
    I'm not sure why they chose today (Forecast: 65 and cloudy) for the first roof open game. There have already been several home games with better weather than this. It is definitely pre-rainy outside. It just started raining in Madison, but it's a leftover MCS from last night and the humidity in Milwaukee is only 33% so I doubt it will hold together. Tonight, it will rain.
  17. owbc
    No big deal if he only goes 3-4 innings. Villanueva can usually pitch 4 effective innings before he collapses, so that covers the first 7-8 innings.
  18. owbc
    I agree that Smith, Berman, and Scott are the 3 most annoying ESPN anchors. Let me just add that Barry Melrose is excellent, even though he isn't an anchor.
  19. owbc
    Wow! I think Miller Park's dimensions help him out. The left field corner is 344 ft away from home plate, and as far as I can tell, that is the 4th deepest LF corner in MLB. Only Wrigley (355 ft), Coors (347 ft), and Comerica (345 ft) are deeper.
  20. owbc
    Speaking of Robin Yount, he helped to design the outfield dimensions for Miller Park and one of the things he pushed for was for deep outfield corners so there would be lots of opportunities for triples. I believe he also wanted CF to be farther back but it wasn't possible due to design constraints.
  21. owbc
    It's been ten years since the May 30-31, 1998 Derecho, who remembers it? I was only 11 years old at the time and I was woken up by my parents because they were concerned about the weather. I looked outside to see the strongest and loudest winds that I have ever experienced (to this date). The wind was whistling very loudly and when the gusts peaked, it sounded like a loud train, which I imagine is similar to what people hear in strong hurricanes or tornadoes. In Greenfield (where I'm from), the peak measured wind gust was 103 mph, which coincides with a Cat. 2 Hurricane or an EF-2 Tornado. The result was that two of the radio towers near our house were snapped off like twigs, along with trees down everywhere of course. The whole thing only lasted about 15 minutes, but I definitely won't forget it.
  22. owbc
    Ok, I stand corrected. A bicycle can go through a red light, but they must wait 45 seconds first. Red Traffic Signal: [346.37(1)©4] allows a bicyclist facing a red signal at an intersection, after stopping as required, for not less than 45 seconds, to proceed cautiously through the intersection before the signal turns green if no other vehicles are present at the intersection to actuate the signal and the operator believes the signal is vehicle actuated. The bicyclist shall yield the right-of-way to any vehicular traffic when proceeding through the green signal at the intersection. However, I was told by a UW Police officer that it was legal for bikes to go through red lights as long as they stopped first, with no mention of the 45 second time limit. So I doubt that would be enforced as long as there is no cross traffic (which I know is usually not the case).
  23. owbc
    Actually, bicycles ARE legally allowed to go through red lights, as long as they stop first and there are no cars coming. Also, there has been some enforcement of running stop signs in Madison. My roommate got a ticket for going through one and had to attend a safety lesson or pay a ticket.
  24. owbc
    I guess that's the part I don't understand--why these fronts are rare compared with the lake breeze that occurs virtually every spring afternoon. I guess technically, the lake breeze line is a cold front, but the pneumonia front originates to the north and shoots rapidly down the lake in the late evening hours. They also seem to be associated with large, synoptic scale cold fronts, as all of the Midwest was much cooler today. However, while Mitchell had a 29 degree temperature drop in one hour, Truax in Madison only dropped 9 degrees, and this drop occured from 10 to 11 PM. La Crosse did not experience any rapid decline, but still dropped 30 degrees--but it was over a period of about 8 hours, like you would expect with a normal cold front. So, I think the pneumonia front originates from the normal cold front, which extended from about Green Bay to Minneapolis yesterday evening. The combination of the strong temperature difference across the front, the east-west orientation of the cold front, and the specific geography of Lake Michigan creates these rapid temperature drops which are only found along the west shore of the lake. I'm kind of curious about this now, maybe I will ask one of my professors.
  25. owbc
    Yeah, there have been several sharp temperature drops along Lake Michigan this year. The term for this is a "Pneumonia Front" which refers only to fronts that drop along the shore of Western Lake Michigan. According to the definition, the one-hour temperature drop must be 16 degrees or greater. Yesterday, the temperature at Mitchell at 8 PM was 78 degrees and one hour later it was 49 degrees, so that 29 degree temperature drop would definitely qualify. There doesn't seem to be much research on these (at least on the Internet), but I imagine the cold waters of Lake Michigan help to create cool, dense air that accelerates down the lake due to the lack of friction and spills inland.
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