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rluzinski

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Everything posted by rluzinski

  1. I love the IDT template as much as the next guy but we never seem to have IGT until 10 minutes before the game. Time for the Brewers to get back on track!
  2. I hate getting mad at Gomez for hitting in the 2 spot. It's not his fault.
  3. Because the game was effectively over. Perfect time for a terrible pitcher to eat some innings.
  4. Has San Diego gotten the ball out of the infield while scoring 5 runs?
  5. Hey 0 extra innings pitched! No way! Who saw that coming? Fail. Major League Baseball is such a good ol' boys club. They are stuck in the 60' and it's pathetic.
  6. And we can call for Macha's head for stuff like that but his replacement would do the same thing because they are all Lemmings.
  7. Get one more inning out of an averagish pitcher when down by 4 and 2 on? It's the book to let him bat but it's wrong.
  8. What is Braun's fascination with 3B when there's 2 outs? Not worth it!
  9. Ha! Davis thought that was a HR. Cursed the long flyout.
  10. Managers become scapegoats for most teams No matter how good a manager is, a significant portion of his moves are bound to fail. And so unless the manager was lucky enough to be on a team with a perennial $100+ mil payroll, the team is going to inevitably have some rough years. When that happens.... see ya! Same is pretty much true for the majority of GMs as well. The mob rules. Hired to be fired.
  11. Yeh, it's important to have a good reliever to have when the game is on the line. If you can plug in an elite reliever into the game when a run saved is worth more, his value is higher. Teams just aren't good at selecting those times. Managers use easy to follow rules simply because they don't have to worry about being criticized if it doesn't work.
  12. My goodness, someone doesn't like the statistical analysis of baseball. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Let's set the record straight: Sabermetrics attempts to estimate the dollar value of performance by each player. Closers are asked to perform in higher leverage situations and sabermetrics adjusts for that. A run saved by a closer is worth more than a run saved by the the long relief guy. I think everyone agrees with that. The disagreement comes with estimating how much more that run saved is worth. It appears that the average GM places more value on 9th innning performance than current analytical analysis does. So, it's not "dumb to put money in the bullpen," it's just not advised to put MORE money in the bullpen than is justified. With Hoffman, though, the problem wasn't just with overestimating leverage, it was also (IMO) overestimating his true ability. If Melvin was expecting another sub 3.0 ERA from Hoffman, he was problably expecting too much. I won't pretend that Hoffman is an easy guy to project though, so there's a lot of room for disagreement.
  13. $80 mil salary and Melvin hasn't put up a perennially contending team? Unbelievable. Look, Melvin makes plenty of moves I don't like. Some I hate. But there are enough TERRIBLE GM's that find employment in the majors that I can't advocate dumping Melvin without knowing what the alternatives are.
  14. Do people have to justify how they feel? If you feel demoralized, you can't be "wrong" can you? Now, if people want to suggest that the Brewers are obviously terrible and it's clear that they will win less than 70 games, I would say that it's WAY to early to make those kind of claims. Over a 162 game schedule, there are bound to be very rough patches for the majority of the teams. It sucks but that's baseball.
  15. Chone projected him for a 3.75 ERA before the season started. If he had done that over 50 IP, no way he's worth even close to $8 mil. That said, Hoffman is not an easy guy to project (not exactly like just about any other pitcher) and he had a great walk and strikeout rate. Even if he was closer to a 3.00 ERA reliever, he might be worth half of what he actually got. Melvin, like so many other GMs, is willing to pay an "established closer" tax in order to attempt to placate the fans who think they are invaluable. I would have much preferred spending that $8 mil on someone that wasn't projected to have 46 IP.
  16. You are predicting a .300 WP at best? It certainly could happen but no way it should be expected. If you don't believe me, just add up the Vegas lines for the trip.
  17. People can just go on and on about how TERRRRRIBLE the Brewers are. Last year, the Brewers were the worst team to ever play the game and they won 80 games. I can't imagine the type of terrible names they would have been called had they won 75! http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Baseball can be a terribly frustrating game to watch but it's a LONG season. Try to enjoy it!
  18. I have no problem taking Hoffman out of the closer's role to make sure he's OK. To declare "he's done" with such certainty is just silly. Half this team would be DFAd if some people here were running the show. Hoffman has been terrible but slowwwwwww down.
  19. Usually not a good sign when the third out of the game is the pitcher. I thought Parra should have beem the 5th starter to start the season and I still do.
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