rluzinski
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Everything posted by rluzinski
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You saw Fielder missing a home run by 2 inches? Maybe he meant that he knew Counsell would get an RBI in the 7th while also ending the inning trying to stretch a double into a nearly meaningless triple.
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This Silver lining is that at least the Cubs' best starting pitcher is out of the way.
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Maybe Suppan's breakfast was a little burnt this morning. Must be why he's getting shelled again.
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On average starting pitchers lose about a run from their ERA moving to the pen. If Suppan is a 5.5 ERA starter, he'd be a 4.5 reliever. That has a little value.
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According to pitch fx, it was a little outside of right down the middle and it was a changeup. And I think the notion that lefty batters kill low, inside pitches is mostly a myth.
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You mean a 78 MPH pitch right down the middle can end badly? It's getting painful to to listen to EVERYONE make excuses. Announcers, Melvin. Come on.
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That was not a HR. You can see the padding get depressed by the ball.
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BUNT BUNT BUNT BUNT BUNT BUNT BUNT. If that really is the best thing Gomez can do there, he should be betting 8th.
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A real on base percentage should include the Fielder's Choice and Reached on Error If HBP counts, I think ROE should. Fielder's choice is a neutral play anyway, so there's no value to reward to anyone.
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First year he outhits Fielder?
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Hoffman's courtesy inning theory vs Macha
rluzinski replied to AdvantageSchneider's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I thought it was interesting that Hoffman threw nothing but fastballs today. 11 fastballs to be exact: Batter 1: 83, 83, 84, 84, 84, 86 MPH Batter 2: 85, 86 Batter 3: 85, 85, 85 -
The Pirates were projected to win around 72 games, so it's not like they are going to win 40 games or something. Winning a series against any team by a combined 36-1 score is absolutely amazing.
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Here's a discussion about the value of ROE (reached on error): http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/doug_glanville_times_on_base/ There's some skill involved with ROE, but we aren't talking about 20 extra a year or anything like that. Gomez adds extra offensive value with his speed (ROE, steals, advancing bases, etc..) but I think people tend to overestimate the value of that stuff. If Gomzez finishes with a .300 OBP, he was bad no matter how many things you throw in there.
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I was reading all these Pirates articles before theis series started, talking about their great start and hope for the future. Yeh, who cares that you are projected for maybe 72 wins and even with a 7-5 record, had been outscored by a billion runs. Nothing wrong with being optimistic but it was bordering on delusional. Welcome to reality.
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The base running is nice but it pales in comparison to his positive value on defense and his negative value at the plate. Baserunning in general comes in a distant third, in terms of value (based on average run value estimates, at least). Cooincidently, Dan Fox did a good job attempting to quantify baserunning and now works for the Pirates. Some of his work: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/circling-the-wagons-running-the-bases-part-i/ http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/circle-the-wagons-running-the-bases-part-ii/ http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/circle-the-wagons-running-the-bases-part-iii/ Now, if we are looking at the fanometer, speed on the basepaths is very exiting.
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God, is Gomez a hacker.
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I don't care how bad your relief pitching. You get the most innings you can from your best pitchers. It's kind of like taking a good hitter out of the starting lineup because your pinch hitters suck.
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It sure isn't underrated by the average baseball announcer.
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Zaun's OPS is now below .300. Not the way he wanted to start with a new team...
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Wow, you weren't exaggerating: http://img15.imageshack.us/img15/8276/gomezi.jpg He got one strike in his second AB and bunted it foul.
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They are moving Zambrano out of the rotation to keep Silva in there? Are they insane!? The NL Central has some of the most poorly run franchises in the majors.
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I don't think average middle relievers are ever worth that kind of money. Many starting pitcher rejects can put up a 4.0 ERA in relief. And not signing mid tier players to long term deals in no way protects from the risk of a player underperforming.
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And that superstar may be already getting paid what his production is worth, making him worth very little in a trade. In contrast, a minor league prospect is going to be getting paid much less than his future projected production for many years to come. In summary: Value of production - Salary = Net worth in trade.
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Who's complaining? Just an observation that Bush didn't seem to be pitching as well as the results might suggest. It's only one start, so it's not significant, either way.
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I know some guys just look at earned runs to decide if a pitcher did well but I have to agree with End, Bush was getting hit pretty hard. There were at least 3 pitches that were crushed that died near the warning track. I think he got a little lucky and 4BB/2K suggests as much.