A question for the hardcore stat guys: player is good for X wins a season

[Nottso]

I often see where someone will post "______ is good for X wins a season," or "_________ is good for X run differential ." I don't know how you guys do it, and probably couldn't understand it if I did know how, but I have a question. Can any of you guys figure out how a team would project out with all 9 batters having the stats of any given player? For instance, would 9 Craig Counsells beat 9 Bill Halls? How about 9 Gabe Kaplers vs 9 Prince Fielders? Can this be done, and do any of you have the time and/or inclination to do so?

Go easy on me, guys n' gals... I'm a fragile, senile old man.

[joepepsi]

Hey Bill James used to do this, didn't he?

[owbc]

I recall the Scott Hatteberg chapter in Moneyball argued that a team of 2002 Scott Hattebergs would have scored something like 900 runs in a season. Not sure how that is calculated, though.

[DuWayne Steurer]

AB X OBP X SLG % is about 97% accurate for how many runs a player (or team) creates. There's better and more accurate forumulas, but that's a good one for quick and dirty math.

[DuWayne Steurer]

I recall the Scott Hatteberg chapter in Moneyball argued that a team of 2002 Scott Hattebergs would have scored something like 900 runs in a season. Not sure how that is calculated, though.

Using ab x OBP x SLG, and given 5800 ab's you come up with 937 runs.

[Nottso]

Thanks guys. I looked up a few people using that formula. Counsell beat Hall and barely got by Fielder, but not Braun (no surprise there). That's as far as I really went. It kinda all started with me thinking (when I'd see Counsell hatred posted) "I bet 9 Counsell's would be a pretty good team." Ehh... it was fun, and I'm old and bored.

[1992casey]

Divide runs by 10 and you get wins.

[rluzinski]

Using ab x OBP x SLG, and given 5800 ab's you come up with 937 runs.

 

You have to be careful though, since total season AB are a function of OBP.