2020-08-14: Brewers (Woodruff) at Cubs (Chatwood) [Brewers win, 4-3 -- Yelich 3-run HR proves the difference]

[yourout]

Good time for the best slider of the night from Hader

[Eye Black]

Per Harry Pavlidis: Devin Williams is clocking 2800 rpm on his change-up this year. Which is about 300 rpm more than anyone else

[sveumrules]

Are we past the point of saying how early it is and starting to realize we just aren't a good team.

 

No. 19 games is a next to meaningless sample with very little predictve value. While it might be about a third of this pandemic season, it is still less than 12% of an actual season.

 

Before he got hired by the Rays, Jeff Sullivan wrote an article at FanGraphs examining which of actual 1st half results, pythag 1st half results or projected 2nd half results did the best job of predicting actual 2nd half results.

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/how-best-to-predict-the-seasons-second-half/

 

Even after 80 games (4x more than we've played) the projected 2nd half results still did a better job of predicting the actual 2nd half results than either of 1st half actual or pythag results.

[Oxy]

Are we past the point of saying how early it is and starting to realize we just aren't a good team.

 

No. 19 games is a next to meaningless sample with very little predictve value. While it might be about a third of this pandemic season, it is still less than 12% of an actual season.

 

Before he got hired by the Rays, Jeff Sullivan wrote an article at FanGraphs examining which of actual 1st half results, pythag 1st half results or projected 2nd half results did the best job of predicting actual 2nd half results.

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/how-best-to-predict-the-seasons-second-half/

 

Even after 80 games (4x more than we've played) the projected 2nd half results still did a better job of predicting the actual 2nd half results than either of 1st half actual or pythag results.

 

Yep. Basically we may or may not be a good team, but that doesn't mean we can't win the World Series this year.