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Posted

And to think, this was with Ohatani mainly DHing.  Wait until he is pitching too. 😬

  

15 hours ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

Jackson Chourio with a single tenth place point!

It will go up from here!

  • Like 3

"Rock, sometime, when the team is up against it, and the breaks are beating the boys, tell 'em to go out there with all they got and win just one for the Uecker. I don't know where I'll be then, Rock but I'll know about it; and I'll be happy."

Posted
2 hours ago, CheezWizHed said:

And to think, this was with Ohatani mainly DHing.  Wait until he is pitching too. 😬

It's interesting to consider what the future of Ohtani could look like. For as amazing as he's been he hasn't double peaked yet...

2021 (8.9 tWAR)
3.9 pWAR | 5.0 hWAR

2022 (9.8 tWAR)
6.2 pWAR | 3.6 hWAR

2023 (10.3 tWAR)
3.8 pWAR | 6.5 hWAR

2024 (9.1 tWAR)
0.0 pWAR | 9.1 hWAR

Over his four prime MLB seasons his worst as a batter has coincided with his best as a pitcher (2022) and vice versa (2024). He could conceivably approach a 15 WAR season if he double peaked.

One thing holding him back from cracking nine WAR as hitter again is I would guess he runs less in future seasons once he's back to pitching and he got essentially a whole extra win on the bases this year (+9.8 BsR) compared to a combined +7.0 BsR from 2017-23.

So the big question is how much might he be able to pitch moving forward?

From ages 18 to 21 in Japan he put up 80, 155, 162 and 140 IP for a total of 537 innings.

From ages 22 to 25 between Japan and the USA he threw 79 combined innings around his first TJ and other injuries.

From ages 26 to 28 he came in with 428 IP (50th over that stretch) with an 82 AVG+ (3rd) | 138 K%+ (4th) | 67 ERA- (4th) | 75 FIP- (9th) | 13.9 rWAR (6th) | 10.9 fWAR (11th) before the second TJ.

My best guess for his thirties would be another couple two tree years as a starter before maybe transitioning into a closer role to try and extend his lifespan as a pitcher.

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