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  • A Way-Too-Soon Evaluation Of The Deadline Deals


    Harold Hutchison

    The Brewers were involved in a flurry of deals as the trade deadline hit. With the team coming off being swept by the Braves and a heart-wrenching loss to the Nationals as of Tuesday morning, how did the team do? Here’s a way-too-early evaluation of the moves.

    Image courtesy of Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

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    Last year, then-President of Baseball Operations David Stearns’s biggest move was to deal Josh Hader to the Padres for a four-player package. It didn’t go well, with the Brewers missing the playoffs by one game. No such major deal happened this offseason. But the five smaller deals may matter a lot. Let’s look them over.

    Brewers trade minor-league SS Jhonny Severino to Pirates for 1B Carlos Santana
    Severino was falling behind Juan Baez and others in the ACL, and while he flashed power, his OBP skills were a little iffy (one walk in 48 at-bats). Getting Carlos Santana to bolster first base in return was an excellent return for what was, for all intents and purposes, a bench player in the low minors.

    Grade: A

    Brewers trade RHP Justin Jarvis to Mets for OF/1B/DH Mark Canha and cash
    Jarvis had a breakthrough season in 2022, and the early part of 2023 saw him continue to dominate in AA before falling off in AAA. Canha filled the need to bolster right field with the lack of offense from Blake Perkins, Tyrone Taylor's struggles this season, and Rowdy Tellez’s freak injury that set his return back four weeks. Dealing Jarvis, who at one time was among the Brewer Fanatic Top 20 Prospects, may sting, but Canha fills a need, and none of the top prospects in the system were moved.

    Grade: B

    Brewers trade RHP Peter Strzelecki to Diamondbacks for LHP Andrew Chafin
    Chafin gives the Brewers a second reliable left-handed pitcher, a need given Justin Wilson’s injury setback. With eight saves already, Chafin has some late-inning experience that could help the team out when Devin Williams needs a day off. Strzelecki, whose four-pitch arsenal helped the Crew put an early-season dagger into the Cardinals, is a relatively high price to pay given his team control and solid 2022, though.

    Grade: B-

    Brewers trade C Alex Jackson to Rays for RHP Evan McKendry
    This deal likely clears the way for Jeferson Quero to head to Nashville, following a superb offensive season. Quero’s defense has drawn rave reviews, but his bat has also been superb (.871 OPS, including 31 walks in 233 at-bats), even if overshadowed by Jackson Chourio’s rise. Getting McKendry gives the Brewers a replacement of sorts for the traded Justin Jarvis.

    Grade: A

    Brewers trade IF Luis Urias to Red Sox for RHP Bradley Blaylock
    One-time extension candidate Luis Urias had his season derailed by an Opening Day hamstring injury, and he never really recovered. The development of Andruw Monasterio made a trade the best thing for both Urias and the Brewers, with Urias getting a fresh start, and the Brewers getting another potential rotation piece, given the struggles of Stiven Cruz and Cameron Wagoner.

    Grade: B-

    Overview
    The Brewers may not have made big splashes at the trade deadline, but they also avoided the twin pitfalls of emptying the farm system and blowing up team chemistry. While the results for the 2023 season are yet to be determined, these deals could already be improving the Brewers for the medium-to-long term.

    Overall Interim Grade: B

    You've had four or five days to take it all in, see a few more Brewers games, and decompress. It's still too early to evaluate, but what are your early thoughts on what the Brewers did at the deadline? 

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    The worst deal is the one that Arnold didn't make. Candelario was available and a strong offer would have brought him in. He'd arguably be the best hitter in our lineup without even stinging the system much. 

    Given what he went for and who he ended up going to, hard not to say that not being more aggressive for Candelario was a bad miscalculation for Arnold that could very well end up costing his team the division.

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    11 minutes ago, adambr2 said:

    The worst deal is the one that Arnold didn't make. Candelario was available and a strong offer would have brought him in. He'd arguably be the best hitter in our lineup without even stinging the system much. 

    There was a strong offer for Candelario the rumored deal for Jimenez wasn't for Jimenez it was for Candelario.  The Brewers offered Adams and Lara for Candelario but the Nationals preferred the Cubs prospects over the Brewers. 

    Just what I have heard from the people I know who have given out information like this in the past.  I trust them but take this with a grain of salt. 

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    DuWayne Steurer
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    Santana and Canha are both old, OPS-ing under .600 as Brewers, and don't offer much more than what they already have on their roster.  Rating these as A and B moves at this stage (or D or F grades) is premature at best. I understand that there's a want to analyze the trades, but neither guy has performed yet. 

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    My initial reaction to the deals, which hasn’t changed from this week’s games, is that the Brewers effectively stood Pat while making a few minor deals that they could try to tout as helping the team. 
     

    On rhe surface it looks like they didn’t give away anyone who figured in furure plans and did nothing to improve the dreadful offense.

    The Brewers hope for winning the division is pinned on Woodruff and Miley coming back and pitching effectively and for the bullpen to be nearly perfect when they have a chance to win a game 2-1 or 3-2. IMHO the offense is what it is and is never going to produce 4 or 5 runs a game on any consistent basis. 

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    4 hours ago, brewers888 said:

    The Canha deal is a D at best and probably an F considering he can't hit.

    Are you that high on Jarvis, or just the very fact that he traded for him made it a failure? He did have 3 hits yesterday, so apparently can hit.

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    35 minutes ago, Team Canada said:

    Are you that high on Jarvis, or just the very fact that he traded for him made it a failure? He did have 3 hits yesterday, so apparently can hit.

    His OPS is under .600 with the Brewers(as is Santana's). 

    How much time are we gonna give these guys!

     

     

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    Can't hit ia a little strong but he is average at best at hitting this point in his career. Just not good.enough. I would love a 30 year old Canha but he is long gone and not coming back.

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    10 hours ago, Team Canada said:

    Are you that high on Jarvis, or just the very fact that he traded for him made it a failure? He did have 3 hits yesterday, so apparently can hit.

    That $3 million buyout on his contract will shrink next year's payroll. That should be figured into these deals too. Same with the Chafin deal. 

    We didn't get an actual hitter, and hurt next years team. It was another disappointing deadline. 

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    1 hour ago, Never Outhustled said:

    That $3 million buyout on his contract will shrink next year's payroll. That should be figured into these deals too. Same with the Chafin deal. 

    We didn't get an actual hitter, and hurt next years team. It was another disappointing deadline. 

    Aren’t the Mets paying for his buyout?

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    clancyphile
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
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    15 hours ago, nate82 said:

    There was a strong offer for Candelario the rumored deal for Jimenez wasn't for Jimenez it was for Candelario.  The Brewers offered Adams and Lara for Candelario but the Nationals preferred the Cubs prospects over the Brewers. 

    Just what I have heard from the people I know who have given out information like this in the past.  I trust them but take this with a grain of salt. 

    In that case, I think the Crew dodged a bullet. Adams is not a bad corner IF/LF prospect, and Lara is a legit topp-of-the-order sparkplug. Would hate to deal them for a rental.

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    Big surprise, the below average band aids they acquired are below average for us.

    Yes it’s only been a week but I have no faith. 

     

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    15 hours ago, Team Canada said:

    Are you that high on Jarvis, or just the very fact that he traded for him made it a failure? He did have 3 hits yesterday, so apparently can hit.

    I just don't see the point of adding yet another guy that can't hit. Unless Hiura is just a terrible person and we have seen nothing to suggest this him being passed over for yet another bad hitter is disgusting.

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    As I mentioned in the game thread it really says something that we trade for a guy with an average around .220 in Santana and he immediately hits third in the lineup.

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