Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic
  • Brewers News & Analysis

    The Brewers Can And Should Keep Willy Adames In Milwaukee


    Harold Hutchison

    Many Brewers fans dread Willy Adames's pending free agency, thinking his departure is inevitable. But the Brewers could, and should, do what it takes to keep Adames in Milwaukee.

    Image courtesy of © Jovanny Hernandez / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

    Brewers Video

    Spotrac predicts Willy Adames could land a six-year, $152.2 million deal in free agency. It’s a lot of cash, but it’s not impossible for the Brewers to keep the heart and soul of their team in 2025. Adames has said he wants to return, and Mark Attanasio has said the Brewers will make the best offer they can to keep Adames in Milwaukee.

    So, it isn’t a situation like that of Corbin Burnes, who would chase a big paycheck no matter what and for whom Milwaukee was already in the rear-view mirror. The big question isn’t if the two sides want a deal; it’s about how to make the money work. In this case, the Brewers can take inspiration from the Mets. To wit, their celebration of Bobby Bonilla Day.

    Every July 1, the Mets get mocked for paying Bonilla slightly more than $1 million a year, even though he last played in 2001. Burnes had the talent that made this an option to consider for the Brewers, but the mutual desire for Burnes to have a long-term stay in Milwaukee wasn’t there, at least on Burnes’ part. However, with Adames, it appears that there is a mutual desire. The question is how to make it work.

    By copying the Mets’ tradition, keeping Adames in Milwaukee for the rest of his career becomes much less of a long shot. But is Willy Adames worth it?

    To date, his on-field performance has been well worth it, and he earned Brewer Fanatic co-MVP honors with William Contreras. Since his acquisition for two talented but injury-prone but talented pitchers, he has posted a .780 OPS with 107 home runs, while adding excellent defense. The figures dropped some in 2024, but Gold Glove-level defenders flanked him in Joey Ortiz and Brice Turang – and both will be around for a few years as well.

    But on-field performance is only part of what Adames brings to the table. He has not just been good on the field; he’s also been an excellent clubhouse presence and leader who received a lot of credit for helping Jackson Chourio adjust to the major leagues.

    Since the Brewers are relying on the farm system to provide a lot of prospects, it is a safe bet that there will be other prospects who may need that help. Adames has been the heart and soul of the team, and that sort of loss cannot be readily replaced on the free-agent market.

    Sure, the Brewers can hope that a free agent like Ha-Seong Kim could provide some sort of leadership to fill that void, but the team knows that Willy Adames has and can. Given the known quantity that Adames is in the clubhouse when you consider that his presence could help prospects Cooper Pratt, Mike Boeve, Yophery Rodriguez, Jesus Made, and Jeferson Quero make the adjustment to MLB that much quicker, and the example he will provide, he adds even more value than the just the numbers on the field.

    The Brewers will obviously be giving Willy Adames the qualifying offer when free agency starts. If Adames rejects the deal, which he probably will, he’d likely head elsewhere. There is the chance he could sign the deal, giving the Brewers at least one more year of his services, but it could be time to iron out the extension as well.

    So, how do the Brewers pull this off? It’s straightforward in one sense: They offer Adames a six-year, $150 million deal with a team option for a seventh year that has a decent buyout (say, $10 million, like the contract Brandon Woodruff signed this past offseason). Then they defer $60 million of the money ($10 million per year), to be paid out over 30 years at $2 million each home opener if they wanted to copy the Mets, but the point would be to have Adames around in Milwaukee.

    Adames will be in his age 34 season when the contract ends (assuming it’s done before the qualifying offer is made). But to date, that still gives the Brewers 3-4 years of peak performance, and the last two to three seasons will still be very solid. The deferred money itself wouldn’t be back-breaking for the team. MLB’s minimum salary continues to creep upwards, and it’s just a little less than what the Crew paid Chourio in 2024.

    Willy Adames has been the heart and soul of the Brewers for three-plus seasons. His production has already had to be replaced, but what he does in the clubhouse may be irreplaceable. He’s worth breaking the bank for.

    Follow Brewer Fanatic For Milwaukee Brewers News & Analysis

    Recent Brewers Articles

    Recent Brewers Videos

    Brewers Top Prospects

    Brandon Sproat

    Milwaukee Brewers - MLB, RHP
    Sproat had a rough first appearance in a Brewers uniform (3 IP, 7 ER, 3 HR). On Thursday, he gave up one run on 4 hits and a walk over 6 2/3 innings. He struck out six Blue Jays batters.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    Featured Comments

    Nah, take the pick for our excellent domestic draft-department and move on.

    With Made-Pena-Pratt coming in 2-3 years and Boeve-Wilken possibly before then, the team just needs a 1-2 year stop-gap at 3B in order to stay the course with their mostly homegrown, lower payroll, financially-flexible roster moving forward.

    Ortiz should be an incredible defender at SS and with more experience, improve in the box and become a 4-5 WAR SS in his own right.

    Save the money and use it to extend the best and youngest of the special young talent (Quero?Made?Pratt?Pena?Payne?) currently stabled in our farm system.

    • Like 11

    This is one of those essays that very ably clarifies why the opposing view is right. You don’t get 3-4 years of peak value at Adames’s age. Defense at shortstop doesn’t stop mattering because you have great defense at 2b and 3b. The Mets’ Bonilla deal gets mocked for excellent reasons, and the Brewers don’t have Mets money.

     

    Maybe most important, Adames’s intangibles — which I agree are huge — don’t make him the one person on the planet without whose leadership the Brewers will collapse. The team needs to trust its culture.  You don’t pay a player superstar money because of his value as a coach, and you don’t buy a middle infielder’s 30s for what his 20s have been worth.

    • Like 10

    I almost feel like this must be satire. Every time the Brewers have a 3+ WAR player hitting FA, it seems like a certain poster tosses out the idea of 30 year contract deferrals and brings up Bobby Bonilla day, right on cue. 

    • Like 2
    10 hours ago, gregmag said:

    This is one of those essays that very ably clarifies why the opposing view is right. You don’t get 3-4 years of peak value at Adames’s age. Defense at shortstop doesn’t stop mattering because you have great defense at 2b and 3b. The Mets’ Bonilla deal gets mocked for excellent reasons, and the Brewers don’t have Mets money.

     

    Maybe most important, Adames’s intangibles — which I agree are huge — don’t make him the one person on the planet without whose leadership the Brewers will collapse. The team needs to trust its culture.  You don’t pay a player superstar money because of his value as a coach, and you don’t buy a middle infielder’s 30s for what his 20s have been worth.

    Actually, the Bonilla deal gets mocked for bad reasons. That transaction turned out well for the Mets. They saved the ~6M dollars, they went and got Mike Hampton, they made a WS, then the comp pick they got for losing Hampton turned into Wright...

     

    Now...this suggestion is...ridiculous, but that Bonilla thing worked out well for the Mets. 

     

    Clancy...LOL...I thought we were past this bud!

     

    If you're going to come up with a silly deal, why not use Strausburg or Scherzer or any of the deferred money that the Player would agree to... taking that 60M that you'd be deferring it and if this was ACTUALLY like the Bonilla deal, you'd pay out 300M over 30 years. 

     

    Willy would also be 35 at the end of the deal, the position we're MOST stacked at right now is SS. Turang, Ortiz, then you've got guys like Pratt, Made, Pena, Di Turi, Quintana, Areinamo, EBJ as well as...so many other young prospects like Baez plays the three IF spots...Adamczewski, Bitonti might be a SS yet if not for the half of a dozen talented young SS already playing there. Of course we've also got plenty of 3B as well and that may be where Adames is best suited to play...if he were to spend another 6 years with the Brewers. 


    But mostly bud...the Bonilla deal working out for the Mets was based initially on a literal pyramid scheme and then it has been deemed successful because the Mets went to the World Series(with the player they got because they DIDN'T pay Bonilla that year) and because of the draft pick they got for him.

    Otherwise...it is generally mocked and Bonilla only took it because it paid him out 30M for the 5.9M.

     

    Finally, just because Spotrac projects 6/150 doesn't mean he's getting 6/150. If we offer 6/150, the Dodgers will probably go 7/180. If we foolishly want to pay until he's 37, they'll likely go a little higher. 

    You think you have this silver bullet and it...just doesn't make sense. If Jackson Chourio is the player we THINK he is going to be and he's 27 years old with 3 years left on his deal, he's got 300 HRs and he's been healthy and you think you may get to see him hit 500, 600, get 3,000 hits and really want to extend him, lets MAYBE then, with 7 years from now address giving Chourio a massive extension where we'll pay for millions of dollars for a player that we know is going to see a sharp decline during that period, but at least we'll get the Tigers experience of watching a player from Venezuela hit HOF type landmarks...but until then, let's keep the 30-year Bobby Bonilla deferred money plan in the back pocket!

    • Like 2

    Brewers could arguably have three or four better players than Adames at 3B/SS in 3 to 5 years….paying them the minimum.  If he would do 2 or 3 years at 20 to 22 million, sure…..maybe.  Otherwise, it seems pointless to talk about.  

    Brewers would have to get a huge discount for 4-5 years of Adames to even consider it.  And even then, I wouldn’t.

    13 minutes ago, Doug B said:

    No. Just no. We don't need to repeat the Braun and Yelich blunders. 

    Were the Braun and Yelich extensions really blunders though?

    Braun got paid $95M once adjusting for the COVID shortened season to put up a 117 wRC+ and 8.2 WAR from 2016-20 on Brewers teams that went a combined 373 W - 336 L with three playoff trips and one just missed during what were supposed to be the early years of rebuild.

    Sure, from a pure dollars per win standpoint they overpaid, but Braun was still a contributing member to teams that exceeded expectations at the time.

    Yelich's extension started in 2022 so he has gotten paid $78M to put up a 123 wRC+ and 8.9 WAR so far. In 2023 the average price at the top of the market was around $10M per win making Yelich a slight bargain to this point. 

    • Like 2

    Absolutely not.   Payroll if anything is going down.  I wish we had gotten enough for Adames to trade him before this year and we certainly can NOT sign him now.  No small market team can.  The system is rigged completely in favor of the big market teams.  If we can get enough in return Williams with his one more year of control needs to go too.   Small market teams must always be looking to improve their team every way they can because they CAN'T do what the big market teams can do.

    • Like 1
    8 hours ago, sveumrules said:

    Were the Braun and Yelich extensions really blunders though?

    Yes. 

    Braun because of his PED thing, otherwise he looked poised to be a Molitor/Yount type Brewer.

    Yelich because...you can't say we shouldn't commit the money to Adames while advocating the Yelich extension. Yelich is 32, just had back surgery, and has 4 more years left, then they owe him...what, 2.7M for 12 years. 

    I don't blame the franchise for either, I was in favor of both, but you don't make either deal with the benefit of hindsight. And I hope Yelich can come back and give us a good year next year, but nobody is pushing to give him 88M the next 4 years and then another 30M deferred. 

     

    7 hours ago, Trax said:

    Absolutely not.   Payroll if anything is going down.  I wish we had gotten enough for Adames to trade him before this year and we certainly can NOT sign him now.  No small market team can.  The system is rigged completely in favor of the big market teams.  If we can get enough in return Williams with his one more year of control needs to go too.   Small market teams must always be looking to improve their team every way they can because they CAN'T do what the big market teams can do.

    I agree, no, this is a terrible idea.

    I do think some small market teams can but they have to be selective. I think the Twins signed a good deal with Correa. 

    So if you're going to do it, get the prime years....but that's REALLY rare for a small market team. 

    I also don't think the payroll is necessarily going down(though...probably). This team is set up to be REALLY good next year. Even if Williams is dealt, I think the Pen will be better. The Staff should be better. If ever there was a time to spend on another bat, it'd be this year...but for a short-term bat. 

    I'd bet Attanasio and this FO would pony up 4/200 for Soto(in some reality in which that was realistic). 

    • Like 1


    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...