Regarding the Brewers long term financial commitments and there ability to sign Grienke long term. To preface this I am by no means a baseball economist, simply a fan who has to much time to think about stupid [expletive deleted by mod (1992)] at work. Lately I've been thinking about where average payrolls are going to be in 3-5 years and then going forward. Personally I think we are going to see a heck of a lot more money being thrown around. It seems like baseball is an ascending sport. It also, IMO, seems like the new rules in baseball are pushing more money into the ML rosters. TV deals seem to be exploding, foolishly so. (Have the Brewers released details on their deal?) That right there is going to push more teams towards the Luxury cap threshold. It is reasonable to assume that in 3-5 years that the Yankees, Red Sox, Angels, Dodgers, Rangers and Phillies all could be pushing up near the luxury tax. Texas is the only one that might be a reach. After that there are a few complete wild cards whose payroll could bottom out in a rebuilding process or skyrocket in an instant, including the Cubs, Mets, Mariners, Tigers and Nationals. With more teams spending more money the value of players should skyrocket. I think we are in for a whole lot more $140 - $240 million dollar contracts. On a smaller scale it seems like the new Draft rules seem to be taking away the approach that a few teams have taken to recently which is to try and build long term strength by going extreme in spending in the draft and in the International markets. With that avenue being taken away owners should theoretically be able to put that money back into the ML rosters. So for a team like the Brewers might be in a bit of a tough spot. They will never have a TV deal that will be competitive with major markets. They also won't be able to do what the Pirates and Nationals have done over the last few years and spend foolishly (don't mean that as a negative just that they spend crazy money in the draft, I wish the Brewers would have when they could have). So Mark A might have to decide is it worth it to boost payroll into the $120 million + range to stay in the top 12-15 for payroll or try and compete payroll wise. The positive is that if Baseball is ascending as much as I think it is then team values should skyrocket also. So can/could the Brewers afford $120-140 million dollar payroll and come out with a profit over a 5 year time frame? Probably not, but hopefully an owner like Mark A would look at it as a long term investment. Perhaps taking a bit of a loss each year but keeping the value of the team ascending. So after my thoughts that are probably half incoherent and half flat wrong, my impression is that Grienke should be affordable by the Brewers at roughly $20 million a year. The cost of elite talent will not be going down so sign it while you can. It would push the Brewers core of long term commitments past $70 million as stated previously but it should allow for enough roster flexibility to stay very competitive. If Gamel is having an impressive season try and get him to sign a $10 million 5 year deal with 3 option years. Look at doing something similar to at least 1 of the upcoming pipeline of pitching. Peralta, Thornburg, Jungman, or Bradley. Getting a few cost controlled young players would obviously be key to the Brewers being able to afford so many high salary players.