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TooLiveBrew

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Everything posted by TooLiveBrew

  1. TooLiveBrew
    I don't even know what to say aside from, "Oh no." I'd guess Disney will be churning out a lot of animated stuff for TV in addition to *shudder* Episode 7. Recasting Luke, Leia, Han, etc... yikes. Now, if Disney somehow can release the cleaned-up but non-special edition original trilogy, then they'd have my attention.
  2. TooLiveBrew
    I like the idea of having Gomez play out his contract while getting Schafer some good big-league action, and then transitioning to Schafer as the CF in 2014 (possibly platooning him).
  3. TooLiveBrew
    Nerdy response: they're actually opposites on the color wheel, which is supposed to mean a perfect pairing of colors. Link. Lots of movie posters in recent years have gone with some variation of a blue/orange color scheme... almost to the point of epidemic.
  4. TooLiveBrew
    Pretty much everyone that watched the NYY-DET series knows that.
  5. TooLiveBrew
    If the Brewers thought 1) Haren is healthy, and 2) his back stiffness/issues directly affected his performance in '12, then I'd like to see them go after him. Otherwise, I'd pass on a guy that lost quite a bit of FB velocity last season. I'm not a big fan of Santana... not sure he'd be better than anyone the Brewers already have.
  6. TooLiveBrew
    Here's the SI.com story, and a relevant excerpt: The winning bid for the BPL rights was $250M for three years. Wow.
  7. TooLiveBrew
    The Rangers logo was the first thing it made me think of as well. And I agree with jerichoholic that I like the simplicity of the logo.
  8. TooLiveBrew
    I think you capture 'what it is' about them with that last sentence!
  9. TooLiveBrew
    Wow, so two in three seasons for the Giants. Wow.
  10. TooLiveBrew
    While there have been some good picks, the high-round whiffs on pitchers have been pretty bad for the Brewers. Melvin's a solid or good GM, but I certainly don't share the opinion that he's a savior. The organization is definitely not top flight right now.
  11. TooLiveBrew
    Iirc Melvin himself has said he doesn't have much, if any, input on draft choices. Great work Rams, fun to read.
  12. TooLiveBrew
    Soriano also put up a cumulative OPS of .768 from 2009-'11 (paid an AAV of $18.33M for those seasons), so let's not pretend he hasn't been ridiculously overpaid for most of this contract. He also didn't play full-time in '07, '08, '09, & '11, further cutting into the value he produced. Soriano's career arc is a good example to use of a player aging, especially since Soriano was far more durable through his age-31 season than Hamilton has been. Soriano's cumulative OPS for his age 32-36 seasons is a slugging-heavy .800 (109 OPS+). Not bad, but not particularly good for a left fielder... & certainly not worth the $87M the Cubs have paid him for those five seasons. They spent on him like they'd be getting the ~.900 OPS guy he was in his walk year with Washington for years to come, and they only got that caliber of hitter for 244 games in his first two seasons with the club. Since then, a cumulative .783 OPS. Hamilton is a tremendously talented hitter right now, no doubt about it, & he's probably going to command around $20M AAV as a FA. I could easily see him getting 5 years from some club; I just hope beyond hope that it's not the Brewers. I don't want to see them paying him a payroll-crippling amount in the future for how well he used to be able to hit. I'd much rather see this kind of money spent on more in-house extensions down the road/used to improve the scouting staff/etc.
  13. TooLiveBrew
    Sooo... Josh Hamilton...
  14. TooLiveBrew
    I just don't think any team will get production to match the value of the contract Hamilton is going to get. I like the idea of moving him to 1B to help keep him on the field, but Hamilton might well not want to make that switch. If he were amenable to the move, then I think TC07's estimates on missed playing time would be pretty overstated. With that said... I love the bat, but I just think $20M/season for his age 33-36 seasons is a colossal risk for the Brewers. I think Raw Biz's 4/$80M number is a good low-end estimate for the contract Hamilton will get. I could also see AL teams being the main pursuers since they could shift him to DH as he gets older; as a wealthy AL club you could probably justify a 5th season in your offer.
  15. TooLiveBrew
    Holy crap, I hope Fister winds up being ok. That was freakin' scary.
  16. TooLiveBrew
    Keep in mind you're talking about the #17 overall pick. That's pretty high up in the draft order for a team as talented as the Brewers. If forfeiting the pick somehow got the Brewers a good discount on the FA market price, then I might be somewhat interested... but it really doesn't, so you're paying market price (read: expensive as bleep) and forfeiting the best chance your org. has at landing an impact player in the next draft. I don't like that scenario. It's an interesting facet of his career, no doubt about it. It could be something behind the scenes. But maybe it's just that he has the kind of arm & stuff that make scouts' eyes bug out, but ultimately his results are lg-avg. or lg-above-avg. In other words, enticing enough for teams to want, but 'meh' enough that teams don't wind up viewing him as a centerpiece.
  17. TooLiveBrew
    I'm assuming the Nats will make a qualifying offer to Jackson, so it'd cost the Brewers their first round pick unless I'm remembering the new CBA rules incorrectly.
  18. TooLiveBrew
    Even if the Brewers didn't have to give up any talent to get Lincecum, $22M is a massive number for one season. To put that number into context, the dollar value FanGraphs assigned Yovani Gallardo's 2012 campaign is $12M. Even in his 2010-'11 seasons (3.47 ERA, 2.74 ERA), Lincecum wasn't valued at even $20M. To justify paying that entire salary, he'd have to produce as one of the top 5 or 10 pitchers in the entire league. I actually assume he's been pitching hurt this season. All the Giants have done since drafting him is use & abuse his arm. He jumped from a collegiate-high 125.1 IP as a senior to 209 IP in his very first pro season. Since then & prior to 2012, his lowest innings total for a season was 212.1 IP. In '11 & '12, he also started throwing his slider (notoriously tough on a pitcher's arm) twice as often as he had previously. And of course his FB velocity was way down in '12. Seems to me like the Giants just pitched this kid's arm off, or tried to. Lincecum's FanGraphs page
  19. TooLiveBrew
    I have no context for this image, and honestly I've forgotten where I even saw it... but it needs to be shared http://i.imgur.com/nYCLL.gif
  20. TooLiveBrew
    Would you play him ahead of Weeks, Segura, or Ramirez?
  21. TooLiveBrew
    The sky is not falling at 3B for once, and there still seem to be people out there that don't like the pick-up and trying to make themselves believe that he is going to suck during his time as a Brewer. Can you point to where anyone has said this?
  22. TooLiveBrew
    This is a good piece from Baseball Prospectus on the arbitration process. It's from 2005, but still worth a read.
  23. TooLiveBrew
    MLBTR's post on the topic: "Edwin Jackson to Join Legacy Agency"
  24. TooLiveBrew
    Johnson v. LHP: 2012: .311/.354/.444/.798 2011: .305/.330/.467/.797 Career: .311/.367/.461/.828 That's the interest. A 4th/5th OF that specializes against LHP (since Schafer will likely be the v. RHP backup) & can play all three spots, for scenarios where Gomez and/or Hart aren't with the team in 2013 & the OF is more left-handed.
  25. TooLiveBrew
    The attack looked great yesterday, which was nice to see -- especially without Donovan. The defense continues to be suspect, though. If Klinsman can't sharpen up the defense, the US won't last long in Brazil.
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