TooLiveBrew
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Everything posted by TooLiveBrew
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You made this exact same argument last season. It was wrong then, and it's wrong now. Cameron is not your typical 37-yo ballplayer, and any Brewers fan can see that. And once again the problem is you can't sign this 4 ERA pitcher to a one or two year deal.
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I don't think that is even close to a fair comparison. Hall had huge holes in his swing while Casey has a tighter, compact swing and makes much better contact. EDIT: ...not to metion much better plate discipline. mletto summed things up nicely. However, I should acknowledge that your points here are right-on, gobrew. I also should've realized what a loaded term "Bill Hall v.2.0" is. For the record, unlike the odd assertion that some people dislike McGehee because Macha wasn't intelligent enough to find the (easy) way to play both Casey & Gamel, I really like McGehee. He's a fine player, but in terms of talent, he's just nowhere near Gamel... and a lesser-talented player should never block or be valued more than a more talented player.
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I think Sheets was "basically hated" by the same group that hated him when he was still under contract. If he'd have been healthy, I'd really hope the Brewers would have re-signed him.
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The problem once again is that one year of $10M probably doesn't translate to a SP. If you're talking FA pitching, it's at least $10M over 3 or more years.
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Be careful with UZR -- it's a stat that can fluctuate quite a bit. One good or solid season of UZR doesn't say much about true talent. Iirc three seasons of UZR data is roughly comparable to one season of offensive data, in terms of reliability. Prince certainly looked improved in the field this season, but I wouldn't call him good. He doesn't cover much ground, and is about as short a 1B target as there is in MLB.
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High five for sure. I'll just be another one to add that I think this is one of the best thread titles ever.
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It just feels like some people on this forum almost resent Casey McGehee (and consequently Ken Macha) for taking Gamel's job. I think that is kind of pathetic. What's more "pathetic" is betting that a guy who had success out of nowhere in a prime-aged season will continue that success. Gamel has a track record of top performance in the minors, and even showed flashes of that brilliance even though he never got a fair shot at playing time thanks to the good ol' boy Macha. Honestly when you analyze things objectively, McGehee just doesn't hold an edge over Gamel. Mat's younger, far more athletic, faster, has a higher ceiling & a better glove. Sure McGehee had a good year at the plate, but he was bad in the field (with no tools to suggest he'll ever be better than average -- even when healthy, unlike Gamel). If this guy doesn't scream Bill Hall v2.0 I don't know who does. Do you really need to see him turn in a .750-ish OPS on an annual basis to believe that's what he's likely to do? The trouble is if Gamel is traded away, you have to watch him turn in mid-800 OPS seasons & better for the rest of his career. It's not only that Gamel is more likely to outproduce Casey next season -- it's that he's more likely to outproduce (offense & defense) Casey for the entirety of their careers.
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Branyan and Beltre are both free agents and Seattle probably wants to go younger and cheaper should they extend King Felix. The only way I'd like to see Gamel sent to Seattle is if it's in an offer for Hernandez, although I certainly agree that the M's have a spot for Mat. I also think you're right to point to Seattle trying to build around Felix, not deal him.
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The Brewers need to first determine if Gamel is really and truly a third baseman. There are still many doubts Imo the only doubts come from the fanbase. The Brewers committed to Gamel at 3B prior to 2009, and feel his one wart (footwork in throwing mechanics) is correctable through coaching. I agree with them, and don't want to see Gamel devalued by moving him off a far more valuable defensive position -- one at which he has the skillset to be a very good defender. Not to mention that his bat is much more valuable at 3B.
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Trading McGehee away is like partially firing Macha. Sort of.
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I know BA noted this relatively early in the season, but it looked like Yo developed a nicer changeup this season. Not sure whether or not that's related directly to Hoffman, but even if he wasn't the influence on Yo dabbling more, it can't hurt to have him around for Yo to ask questions.
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Rays fire hitting coach, stat crowd will love why!
TooLiveBrew replied to DuWayne Steurer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Productive outs really just mean your teammates were productive in getting on base. I don't think any weight should be placed on any kind of 'ability' to make outs with men on base. -
Just another reason to trade the healthier, more athletic, younger, higher-ceiling Gamel! Oh, wait...
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Gamel is far from terrible on D. I think he's going to be a better hitter & fielder than McGehee at 3B, and genuinely believe that could happen as soon as 2010. If the Brewers deal him, it'd better be for a young, cost-controlled, stud SP... preferably from the American League. Brooklyn sums it up for me, really, with his post #123. The organization has already botched Gamel pretty big-time. I just hope they don't make things worse by dealing him over McGehee (unless it's completely necessary).
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Macha has already said 3B is McGehee's to start next season Macha is a knucklehead, and if Melvin isn't able to take away Ken's shiny new Casey by trading him, I will be even more disappointed with Melvin than I am with Macha.
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So DM wants to get two starting pitchers and Suppan is not guaranteed a spot in the rotation. Allelujah! Oh man, is that part about Suppan great to read. I guess we'll really get to see whether or not Melvin is able to identify the 'right' kind of pitching this offseason. I agree with those that have predicted one trade (which imo will be big) & one FA pickup like Duscherer or Davis, etc.
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Is it too late to petition for Toby to replace Melvin this offseason?
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If I had to pick a sleeper we'd deal, I'd go with Brett Lawrie. I'd hate to see that personally, but it seems the scouts love him, and he's delivered in terms of production thus far. Even Patrick notes in BF's latest Power 50 that there's "a distinct possibility [he'll] play for the big-league Brewers at some point in 2010." He's the kind of bat that could make teams consider dealing guys they might otherwise view as too valuable. He's young, but very close to being MLB-ready relative to his age. As a general example, Seattle wouldn't want to deal Felix Hernandez with Hardy as the main piece, but I'm sure Jack Z. would have to at least stop to weigh things if Lawrie were included in the offer. Again, I don't want to see Lawrie dealt, but imo he's a decent sleeper.
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That's true... and what I get for trying to be funny.
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Next Power 50 in Mid-Autumn
TooLiveBrew replied to TuesdaysWithRillo's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
I'm not sure where to reliably find Gamel's service time, but the marker there is > 45 days on the 25-man roster... but September days don't count towards rookie status (even though they count in terms of overall service time). EDIT: So, per Rotoworld's player page... -5/14/09: Brewers recalled third baseman Mat Gamel from Triple-A Nashville -7/20/09: Brewers optioned infielder Mat Gamel to Triple-A Nashville Al was correct, even though Mat was only called up for September in 2008. That's over 45 service days in 2009 during the 25-man roster limit. -
Arizona Fall League -- Javelinas Win Championship
TooLiveBrew replied to battlekow's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Is it realistic to think that Lucroy could be on the 25-man in 2010? -
I need a beer after that game.
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How to manage a 5-5 game in the bottom of the 12th, by Jim Leyland. 1) Has your closer thrown 2 innings already? That's fine... he threw 3 innings last on 8/5/08. Leave him out there -- he'll be fine. 2) Do you have a RHB out-machine batting against your closer? Good -- now IBB him, so you can set up the matchup with the speedy LHB that follows him. 3) You haven't won the game yet? Crap, I'm out of ideas. But at least Chip Caray will still call this season your greatest managerial job ever!
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I cannot put into words how obnoxious the Twins are to me.
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Wow. Pitching around the out-machine Young to get to a LHB--RHP matchup (where the batter has speed)? Dear me, Jim Leyland.