What prospect with comparable numbers to Gindl has "flopped"? Matt LaPorta, I guess. "Decent numbers" is a big generalization -- I suppose you could say Eric Farris has had "decent numbers" if you wanted to. But if we're trying to be more precise than that, what Caleb Gindl precisely did is OPS .862 in AAA as a 22 year-old. You're acting like that's random, meaningless information. I think it's very significant information. Of course past performance is no guarantee of future performance, but that's equally true of major league performance. This generic dismissal of rookies based on nothing more than broad generalizations doesn't make any sense to me. First of all, not all rookies are created equal. Of course age matters. Older players, wherever they have been playing, are more experienced and (presumably) more mature. Aoki is in a completely different category; as someone pointed out, he has been playing under MLB conditions in Japan. Yes, all of the guys we're talking about will need to get acquainted with better breaking stuff than they've ever seen on a regular basis, and that's important. But they all have well-developed approaches, and they've made adjustments already at multiple levels. People often act as if doubting rookies is some kind of safe assumption. It isn't. Going with a veteran can be every bit as risky as going with a rookie. The fallacy is that, if you go with a rookie and he flops, you can look at the foregone veteran and assume that he would have performed up to his past standards. But that just isn't reliable -- look at McGehee and Kotsay last year. It is quite possible that the Brewers could doom their chances this year by not giving enough PT to Aoki, Gamel, Green, Schafer, and/or Gindl. No safe assumption is available, so we need to make smart decisions instead. I'm not saying that Gindl is sure to be a bust. It's probably in the 50/50 range. As I've said, the Brewers have had a lot of guys like this fall flat on their faces in the past. I will give Gindl props for his young age and ability to produce as he's moved through each level of the system. Based on that, he could very well turn out to be a very good player, but even if that happens, odds are that he will struggle some at first. My major issue with bringing him up for Opening Day is that I don't believe that they would let him play everyday during the 50 game window (rightly or wrongly). More likely, he would sit on the bench a lot. I think that it would be better to let him play everyday down in AAA. However, my opinion on this is subject to change if he tears up the Cactus League.