"Of course, a little more risk in Escobar's bat than Hardy's. But given that Escobar derives so much of his value from his glove, and defense basically doesn't slump, the chances of him not being a good solution at a key position are slim. " I see this mentioned all the time---Escobar might be better than JJ on defense (debatable) but that difference isn't going to cover 100 to 150 pts. of OPS...I know there's the idea that we are emotionally attached to JJ, but truthfully, I think JJ's going to be the better player for the next 5 years, and since we are clearly in the playoff window right now, that's how the brewers should approach it.. The guy to be traded should be fielder...it's clear you can get a low average high obp guy with 30+ hr's a year pretty cheap right now, so why spend lots of money on him? I would guess their initial plan is to resign JJ and trade Escobar...simply because, from an offensive and defensive perspective, JJ is the second best player on the team...Fielder's likely going to be a heavy negative on defense by his late 20's, and JJ's increasing walk rate indicates he will be a better hitter long term than Corey Hart...which means, JJ is the guy to build around...especially since he has been so consistant the last two years. If I was Melvin, I'd let the year play out and then offer Hardy a 4 year 40 million extension if he plays at current level again...JJ's entering his age 27 season right now, and would probably be a decent bet to hit at a similar level in 28, 29, 30, and 31 years as well...I think he's easier to project than Fielder...who will probably cost more, and Hart, who we still have lots of questions about. escobar, on the other hand, still has lots of questions to answer about his offensive potential. he really doesn't have much power and his Batting average last year was greatly inflated by a Babip that he's unlikely to reporduce. Escobar is probably going to be a .700 to .750 OPS guy in his peak years...but he could just as easily be Rey Ordonez for a few years first...he's a great prospct, because we are all hoping he's turned a corner...but it's really too had to project. here's the dilemma: do you keep Hardy and try to contend year in and out, accepting that you are going to lose other players in the meantime, or do you clear house after 2009 and hope you bring back some good stuff...I think the brewers want to do something in between...they obviously plan on keeping some of the young all-stars, and frankly, now that Braun is locked up, Hardy should be next...he should provide more long term production than Fielder, hart, and weeks because of his defensive abilities...and frankly, his offensive abilities...also, since his skillset is so well rounded, it's not likely he's going to completely fall apart like those other guys... So, I think they should trade Escobar---possibly at the trading deadline for Roy Halladay...or after the season for something more long term...