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joepepsi

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Everything posted by joepepsi

  1. joepepsi
    I've been an Oriole fan since I was 6. I still follow them closely, regularly read the Baltimore Sun online, regularly visit two Oriole discussion boards similar to brewerfan.net. I think your suspicions are correct; fans of other teams have many of the same perceptions of their team as Brewer fans do with the Crew. It's a very long season. The difference between the best player and worst player, or best team and worst team isn't really that much. The Nats may lose 100 games, but there will be relatively few where they don't have a chance at some point in the game, to pull ahead and win. The w/l records doesn't reflect how close almost all individual games are in the majors. The difference is really small when you compare an average team to an above average team. Toronto isn't going to the playoffs, but they've taken 4 of 6 from the Red Sox. They just swept Baltimore in a 3 game series last week. But they've also lost 5 of 6 to the Rays, and 4 of 6 to the Mariners. It's the same with individual players. A 6-ish ERA pitcher might match Sheets pitch for pitch through 5 scoreless innings. Then in the 6th a couple non error misplays, a weak hit and one bad pitch in the zone, and it's 4 earned runs. The box score looks like the Brewers dominated, but watching the game you know it was closer than that.
  2. joepepsi
    I think you can keep Parra within limits by using off days and limiting him to 5 innings a start every once in a while. McClung should go to the pen. Actually, Suppan should, but that's not going to happen. McClung has done a nice job filling in as a starter, but I don't think he's really pitched as well as his numbers might indicate. He ran off a string of 6 inning quality starts in early-mid June, but since then he's walking more batters and seems to be pitching in and out of trouble a lot, in a Vargas sort of way, only better. He's a nice guy to have on the team and has certainly earned the opportunity to compete for a rotation spot next year. But for now, I think he's the 6th man in the rotation.
  3. joepepsi
    I think if a player goes on the 60 day DL any insurance on the contract will kick in. But there are some limitations. I don't think you can get insurance beyond a 5 year contract and of course, it's never 100% coverage. I believe when Albert Belle went down the Orioles had to keep him on the 40 man roster for the length of his contract, 2-3 years after he could no longer play, in order to collect insurance on him. As far as CC's body type, he's built more like Ortiz than like Prince. Prince is really short! CC carries his weight better on that 6'7" frame. He still probably won't last 10 years, but history is rife with fat pitchers who are effective well into their 30's. As far as the days of long term contracts being over, Santana's is for 6 years with a 7th year option; Arod's is for 10 years. Both signed this past offseason.
  4. joepepsi
    Loretta had an MPV caliber season one year with the Padres. He's had a solid career and always been one of my favorite players, fundamentally sound, smart, gets on base. They tried their best to ruin his career in 2002, something I will never understand, but he bounced back and had 2 career years in San Diego. I don't feel sorry for Brady Clark or Pods. I've always believed the minors are full of useful guys like them who deserve a shot. Melvin gave them a chance and they made the most of their talents. I always look at guys like these as having great stories to tell the grandkids, and I hope they invested well during their playing years. I think of Joe Dillon in the same way. Jenkins is probably done. Sexson has a road split that's not far off from his career numbers. Put him in a more hitter friendly park and he may enjoy a bit of a rennaissance.
  5. joepepsi
    And Sheets will be in Boston. That's been my prediction for two years...
  6. joepepsi
    Because of injury history and age you could probably get Sheets for a year or two less than CC. Sheets might sign a 5 year with an option. Sabathia will get a 7-9 year contract.
  7. joepepsi
    Greg Vaughn and Gerald Parent for Ron Villone, Bryce Florie, and Marc Newfield. Vaughan hit 175 home runs over the next 4-1/2 seasons. I guess he was going to leave anyway, but they sure didn't get much for him.
  8. joepepsi
    By my count the Yankees will have $85+ million off the books at the end of the season. Giambi, Abreau, Pettitte, Pavano, Mussina, Hawkins, Farnsworth, and Betemit are only signed through this season. There are a few options in there they can renew, but in all, they'll have a ton of cash. Plus a new stadium.....
  9. joepepsi
    The 1996 Orioles fielded a lineup during the playoffs where every player had at least 20 home runs for the season. B Anderson CF 50hr T Zeile 3B 25 R Alomar 2B 22 R Palmeiro 1B 39 B Bonilla RF 28 C Ripken SS 26 E Murray DH 22 B Surhoff LF 21 C Hoiles C 25 In addition they had a Pete Incaviglia, a late season pick up, who hit 18 homers between Philly and Baltimore. Zeile and Murray were also mid season pickups. Neither hit 20 for the Orioles, but both had over 20 combined between two teams.
  10. joepepsi
    Yeah, CoCo even intimated he might "owe" the Brewers for putting him back in the closer role and letting him succeed. Once the bidding got under way he gladly went for the money even though it came from a less competitive team.
  11. joepepsi
    Even though he's not a lefty the Red Sox should pick him up to DH. Here's his away splits for this year: .260/.363/.512. Here's what they were away from Safeco in 2006: .271/.353/.515. In 2007 he was terrible home and away. Nevertheless it's worth a shot for some team to see if he can become Rickie Sexson Home Run Hitter once he's away from Safeco forever. The Orioles need a 1B.
  12. joepepsi
    Yes you are right. My wife is in sales and about this time last year was told her company was turning a profit, sales were up, big things were happening and she'd be rewarded at the end of the year. At the end of the year, after several meetings between the President and his accountant, she was told the company had actually lost money and there would be no bonuses this year. It is in every company's best interest to not show a profit in any given year. A friend of mine works in the business office of a company that has annual sales in excess of $40 million. At the end of each year they funnel money everywhere to hide the profits from the tax man. The principal owner has several smaller "phantom" companies to absorb profits from the main company. By the time all the fund shifting is done, the company pays almost nothing in state and federal tax. There is little advantage to showing a profit on the books.....that doesn't mean people aren't getting wealthy off a business.
  13. joepepsi
    I noticed several years ago: whenever you see shots of Mike Hargrove in the dugout he is picking his nose. I pointed this out on an Orioles board when he started managing there and grossed out quite a few posters. But they soon realized it was true. He carried that habit right through his days in Seattle.
  14. joepepsi
    I live in La Crosse. WKTY carries the Brewers on the radio. They are part of a group that owns nearly every station in town. Years ago they'd switch Brewers games to a different station and carry the Packers on WKTY. They didn't do that the last couple years. Even when they did I often had to call the control room of the other station and remind the intern working to switch off the satellite programming and switch on the Brewers. Actually, there have been plenty of Sunday afternoons in the summer when I call WKTY and remind them the Brewers are on, so please switch to the game. You have no idea what it's like to live in a rinky dink media market until you've lived through it. It's especially bad when one media group owns everything, the competition, therefore the incentive to be competent, is eliminated.
  15. joepepsi
    In the last 46 games, since the end of the Boston series, the Crew have lost by more than 3 runs only 8 times. I take that mean they have been close enough to win in 38 of those 46, having actually won 30 of them. 83% of the time they have had a reasonable chance of winning, right down to the last out. As someone who still remembers Jason Bere or Everett Stull coughing up 6-10 runs in the 1st inning, I take special delight in how well they have done keeping close when behind on this last run. The July 3rd game hurt; but at least with this team there's no sense they are on the verge of an extended losing streak.
  16. joepepsi
    If they make the playoff this year, season ticket sales for 2009 will skyrocket. Plus, payroll could go down significantly. Any or all of these players may gone next season: Sheets, CC, Gagne, Mota, Torres, Cameron, even Kendall. That's $40-45 million of this year's payroll.
  17. joepepsi
    I know they used to do this back in the 80s and prior (before Cable for the most part), but not in today's age. However, Bob and Jim would still be on the radio, as XM broadcasts the national feed and both the home and road radio feeds during every post-season game. Of course Sunday playoff games will be pre-empted on most radio stations in the state so the Super Important Packer games can be broadcast. I find it hard to believe any baseball team is truly losing money. As an investment they are always making money. Plus there are so many revenue streams that go unreported or are hidden through related companies, such as team owned cable networks. Even if the books don't show a profit you can bet lots of people are making a fortune in the form of salaries, perks, dividend payouts...
  18. joepepsi
    It bugs me when people say the Brewers are too dependent on the home run, as if it's a bad thing to hit a home run. Hey, the Brewers are 3rd in the league in home runs....would you rather they were last in home runs but first in sac flies? Teams who hit home runs score a lot of runs; teams that play small ball lose a lot of game 3-2.
  19. joepepsi
    Even better when they spend what feels like five minutes trying to read the ticket since they have been alive since the Cubs last won the WS and you want to scream "I know where my seat is but thanks!" That was my scenario when I went to the Brew/O's game a couple Saturday's ago. Let me add there was a drunk guy right behind me yelling stupid things all the time. He was kinda funny, but only borderline. I was with my kids, they're teenagers so it wasn't too shocking for them but it made me cringe every time he yelled an F bomb. Which was every sentence. He was funny but only because he was stupid. Everytime a called looking strike sailed past a Brewer batter he screamed, "Swing at the *F*****ng ball". When a Brewer got a hit, he'd say, "that's what I mean, swing at the F******ng ball". After one of these sequences the nice older lady next to me leaned in and said, "I'm so glad he came, otherwise the Crew might not ever get a hit." You know maybe people who don't have kids just don't realize it, but as parent I just can't tolerate cussing when lots of kids are around. I may have been just as boorish back in my single days, but guys yelling about some girl's boobs and dropping f bombs every sentence when you are sitting with your 15 year old daughter is really maddening. I suppose it's fine at the Tavern, but some guys just don't realize not every venue is a dorm room.
  20. joepepsi
    I like Uecker and Powell. I like it when they talk to each other and Bob makes Jim laugh. I think Uecker is great and it makes me sad when he misspeaks. The character of the Milwaukee Brewers will be changed for the worse when he is no longer broadcasting the games. Miller Park has grown on me; I like it now. The fans are in general a happy, friendly bunch. One trip to the Metrodome and you'll realize that's not the case everywhere. I do wish there was more variety to the food; basically it's penis-shaped things in a bun, hamburgers, and greasy pizza. How about a nice barbeque sandwich? Parking isn't as big an issue if you arrive close to game time and park in the back of the cheap lots. The extra 10 minute walk before and after the game is good for working off that brat. I started the season expecting the Brewers to win the division and be the best team in the NL by the end of the season. I see no reason to change that belief. These are my confessions. I am sorry for these sins and all my sins.....
  21. joepepsi
    "Minnesota Nice" is a myth. Twins fans are rude and unfriendly. Try to get out of your seat and everybody in their chubby Minnesota bodies are furious if they have to slide their legs out of the way or even, God forbid, stand up. Earlier in June I went to a Twins-Orioles game in the afternoon. The Orioles were ahead 3-2 in the 7th, a tight, well played game by both teams, both having surprising seasons. In the bottom of the 7th the Twins had a runner on 2nd and failed to bring him home. Soon as the inning was over half the fans got up and left. It was 2:45 in the afternoon. Where did these people have to go? In both the 8th and 9th the Twins had runners in scoring position. It was a tight, winnable game for them. But the fans couldn't be bothered to stick around and cheer for their team. I mean why even bother to go to the game if you are leaving 2/3rds of the way through? All the fans seem to really care about is seeing their smiling faces appear on the video screen between innings.
  22. joepepsi
    Very sad news. My heart goes out to his family and all who's lives he touched. I heard the Uecker interview midway. I thought Bob did a great job with the little fella.
  23. joepepsi
    My prediction: Gange blows at least one lead in Arizona, the team slips into a bit of a funk over the next couple weeks and don't pick up ground on St. Louis or the Cubs; and Ned loses his job over the All Star break.
  24. joepepsi
    Delivered to a locker at the Amtrak Station.
  25. joepepsi
    I think Detroit will win it. They are 20-12 since May 20th (by my count). Verlander is pitching well, Rodney is back to help in the pen, (though he hasn't been sharp yet), and that offense is just outstanding. I think they'll be in first place by the first week of August. The Twins are having a nice season.
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