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joepepsi

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Everything posted by joepepsi

  1. joepepsi
    I wish they were playing Colorado in Miller Park. The Orioles have been strong at home and pretty bad on the road. The Blue Jays have really good starting pitching and are on somewhat of a roll right now. Brewers don't do so well against strong starters. Probably true with most teams, eh? I'd be ecstatic with 15 wins.
  2. joepepsi
    57% of Cub games have been at home. 43% of Brewer games at home. 61% of Cub games have been against teams with losing records. (yes, that includes the Brewers.) 59% of Brewer games have been against teams with winning records. The Cubs have played well. The Brewers, not so much. Lets wait and see what happens after some of these ratios even out a bit.
  3. joepepsi
    I've never been clear on this either, jeffyscott. So, if he reaches on an error it's scored as an 0 fer 1 as far as at bats? It actually hurts your batting average to reach base on an error?
  4. joepepsi
    They do when Russell is at the plate!
  5. joepepsi
    Ironically, his career splits aren't really that bad: .814 OPS vs. righties; .764 vs. lefties. His HR rate against lefties is actually slightly better.
  6. joepepsi
    I too am a 3TO Apostle.
  7. joepepsi
    The Cubs are a good team, I don't disagree. Maybe better than I thought; sure was impressive they swept Arizona and the Dodgers. It's true you have to beat up on the weak teams if you hope to be compete for a playoff spot. I just don't think they are unbeatable. Seems as though the Brewers have played a bit tougher competition so far. The Cubs are closer to .500 against better competition. I'm still not convinced they are a better team than the Brewers. I thought the "experts" were wacked at the start of the season, but I guess so far, they have been correct. However, in the end I still think I'll prove to have been right.
  8. joepepsi
    The Astros went on an 11-2 run but have been 6-6 since. Berkman is on pace for the 19th best OPS in history. He's a great hitter, one of my favorite players, and has been carrying the team, along with solid help from Tejada, Lee, Pence, and Wiggington. I doubt he can maintain this pace.
  9. joepepsi
    I think it's significant at this point in the season that the Cubs are 12-4 against the Pirates and Padres.
  10. joepepsi
    For me the All Star is just 3 days in the middle of the summer when there's no good baseball. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/frown.gif
  11. joepepsi
    The Brewers still have a very good chance of taking the division, as do most of the teams right now. They've played 31 road games while the Cubs are mostly home every game: 57% of games at Wrigley, .577 winning pct. The Cubs have played the Pirates 12 times (9-3) and Padres 4 times (3-1). They've also played 11 games against the Reds, Rockies, and Nats. That's 27 games against the 5 worst team in the league.
  12. joepepsi
    I hope Gagne never pitches another inning for the Brewers.
  13. joepepsi
    I am over 40 and think he's the worst baseball broadcaster in history. I hate him. Everyone I know hates him. He doesn't know a thing about baseball and is an embarrassment to the game and espn. I'm embarrassed for them whenever I hear him. When espn started he was a colorful guy that brought attention to the network. I imagine for them he's now like a drunk uncle that shows up for Thanksgiving dinner every year and you have to tolerate him because he took you fishing when you were 9.
  14. joepepsi
    I can't stand it when hitters run all the way to the next base on deep, but catchable fly balls. I think Rickie did this last night or the day before......ran purty much all the way to second on a fly ball, then stood there to watch the fielder catch it, then sprinted back to first. How come they don't wait for a tag up and advance more often?
  15. joepepsi
    I think the story of the first 50 games for every hitter in starting lineup is the opposing pitchers decided they would stop throwing cheesy fastballs down the middle of the plate, cuz the BrewKids will swing at anything. One by one they have been making adjustments.
  16. joepepsi
    While it would certainly be time consuming, it's not that hard to figure out how many plate appearances Hardy has had this year batting 7th without the pitcher batting 8th. He's had 121 plate appearances overall batting 8th, with a .262 average and a .364oba. One would have to check each game box score to see how many of those 121 plate appearances were not followed by the pitcher in the 8 hole.
  17. joepepsi
    I like K:BB ratio as a predictor and also as a general evaluator of performance. Like hitters who don't walk a lot, pitchers with bad K:BB ratios can rarely sustain their success. K/9ip is about as useful, but it's important to note some successful pitchers, like sinker ballers, may not strike out a lot of batters. But successful sinker ball types usually have good K:BB ratios; at leat 2:1 or higher. ERA and *ERA+ are still useful and handy, but you do have to be aware of factors beyond the pitcher's control that can affect ERA. Slugging pct against a pitcher has value too. It's one thing if the pitcher is giving up a bunch of ping singles, but quite another if every hit is bouncing off or sailing over the wall.
  18. joepepsi
    What naysayers forget about this strategy is on average it only happened about twice a game. Kendall has played 43 games batting 9th. The overwhelming majority of those games the starting pitcher only made 2 plate appearances. After that he was replaced by a pinch hitter or a double switch partner. So if you believe in lineup protection, you argue late in the game Hardy (or whoever was batting 7th) enjoyed an advantage as the next batter would be a player who had been picked to face that pitcher or for the particular situation in the game. I like it when organizations think out of the box. Kendall is getting on base at a .352 clip. Expect him to be stranded a lot more.
  19. joepepsi
    I missed the middle innings but early in the game he looked to be throwing lots of pitches up in the zone right through the middle of the plate. Anything he tried to keep down against righties went outside. I've always liked the guy so I'm glad the game went well for him. Still, it sure seemed like it could have just as easily been 5-0 after 2 innings. He had a little Vargas Magic going on, methinks.
  20. joepepsi
    I don't see how that can be true. Maybe theoretically, but in practice the away team in an extra inning game must be at a disadvantage. That said, I don't think Kapler's hit saved the season, but it might have saved Ned's job. They are playing better since that awful road trip to Houston and Florida. They're 9-9 since then, including the series at Boston. They actually played better there than they did at Houston and Florida. They were in all 3 games, in the end only let down by faltering pitching that couldn't hold a lead the last 2 games.
  21. joepepsi
    I think in general, bunting is a stupid strategy. Most likely, if Rickie bunts in that situation the result will be runners at 1st and 3rd, 2 outs. Last two weeks he's posted an .826 OPS. Last 7 games he's put up these numbers: .286 .400 .536
  22. joepepsi
    for what it's worth Braun is only a year older than Rickie. On a perennial contender it's probable rickie would be just a rookie this year, or maybe in his second season.
  23. joepepsi
    This has happened at a game before.....sometime in the last two years. It's terrible.
  24. joepepsi
    I'll be happy if Kendall can maintain his current rate stats over the course of the year. .268 / .348 / .352 / .700. They have to play better on the road, and avoid those obnoxious sweeps. Even though "strength of schedule" is less important in MLB than other sports, it does seem they've been playing some pretty tough competition so far. They need to take advantage and go on a tear when they finally get the chance to play the struggling teams this year.
  25. joepepsi
    The reverse of this is true also. Kendall's hot April has given him a free pass, apparently for the season. Most Brewer fans think his signing has been a great move. I'm not down on Kendall at all; I like him too. But in May he's hitting .228/.323/.298. No one complains though because he was hitting .424 two weeks into the season. I agree Parra's last 3 starts have been very encouraging. He's quietly performing like Yovani-Lite.
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