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Tbadder

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Everything posted by Tbadder

  1. Tbadder
    I'm a pretty big Peralta fan - but other than injury history, I have no idea how you can't have Braddock as the top pitching prospect. This season, between A+ and AA, he has 13.9 SO/9 and 1.9 BB/9 as a 21 year old. Those numbers are better than when Gallardo pitched at Brevard and Huntsville - although Gallardo was also a year younger. My rating of Braddock at number 3 is strictly based on injuries and nothing more.
  2. Tbadder
    1. Peralta 2. Scarpetta 3. Braddock I can't see much impact after these guys. Depth is not a synonym for quality. I will say that if the Brewers decide to put most of these guys in the pen they could develop a lights out pen and guys like Odo and Lintz and Fredrickson might form a dominating, inexpensive bullpen. I absolutely love Wooten's make-up but can't imagine him as anything but a long shot. I no longer think that Jeffress should be rated in our top 50 prospects. If he makes it great, I'm happy for him, but working up any kind of hope or giving the guy attention is just wasted at this point. Arnett could definitely rate among these three guys, but lets see him pitch just a little first. When I saw Peralta pitch I thought his ball was really heavy. I could totally see him as a #2 someday.
  3. Tbadder
    I don't get the All-Star game at all and would like to see it disappear. I'd also like to shorten the season (154) games. No Wildcards. Then we wouldn't have to play baseball in the snow.
  4. Tbadder
    I totally don't get this thread. Why would people who believe Prince should be traded think any differently just because he is putting up MVP type numbers? In particular he should be traded when his value is exceedingly high. And if we were offered a stud young pitcher and one or two high ceiling prospects that could fill other holes why wouldn't we trade him? I'm confused.
  5. Tbadder
    There are only long term solutions for small market teams, and those solutions start with starting pitching. We've got one and a half pitchers in the bank (Yo and Parra). Nobody is on the horizon. If the Brewers don't make moves for young starting pitchers less than 2 years away, they shouldn't be moving players with the possible exceptions of salary dumps. If they try and contend this year everyone will be sorry; it will create a downward spiral that will take longer than Braun's contract to fix. Stand pat, take our lumps this year, and keep hunting for long term solutions. I can't believe that upper management has too much confidence in Salome or Lacroy, so I expect one more year of the current combo. There's no replacement for Hart, so I think they'll stick with him, though I doubt he'll turn it around--whadda gonna do? Cam should be back ( at this point Cain is a none player and maybe not really suited for center anyway). I'd say they need him for two years minimum. We could probably move Hall if we pay his contract; Heether deserves a shot, so why not. Casey, I love the dude, but his body is weak. The guy has Mr. Mister Funny written all over him, you know the guy we had last year with the ridiculous swing and the numbers that were way outta whack. What was his name--Mr. Beefcake--just awful, but got Huricane Hazel lucky. I think Casey is that kind of long term solution. So I suppose Hardy is the guy that has to go for young pitching.
  6. Tbadder
    Greatest Clash-Baseball reference ever--way to go man! Seriously, neither Yo or Hoffman deserves to go.
  7. Tbadder
    Can we just respect his decision to tank his career. Lots of people do it on a daily basis. There are literally millions of people just like him, so what. If there are other things more important then I just don't see why it's so frustrating.
  8. Tbadder
    I don't want the Brewers to be buyers. I think that's a poor long term strategy, and small market teams live and die with their farm systems. They need to trade for the very best young players: Bucholz, Baumgardner, etc. The Brewers may be still "in it", but it is also true that the Brewers may only appear to be "in it". 1.5 games behind only means something if the make up of the team is able to sustain and improve on that level of performance. I don't think they'll be able to sustain it, and the Cards, Cubs, and maybe even the Reds appear to be more capable than the Brewers of maintaining a playoff posture. And who's to say that selling wouldn't make them better? I think any team selling Bedard will almost immediately become better. And sometimes being negative is being negative, but sometimes it's being realistic, and a team that correctly analyzes the situation, and figures out they are out of it sooner can sell higher than a team that waits too long.
  9. Tbadder
    Yes, there was a real reason to expect Parra to fall apart--close direct observation, like a scientist watching an experiment. Many people who watched Parra are not surprised he imploded. Close observation would also conclude that there are many reasons why he may recover and be effective again.
  10. Tbadder
    I think this is one of those years where we just have to ride it out. We've had our hot streak that kept us in first, and that was great, now we're in a cold spell with the starters which was to be expected. If not for injuries to players on other teams we be at a far more realistic 3rd or 4th place by now. Sure Looper, Suppan, Bush will make a correction but we still have the weakest rotation of the four top teams in the NL Central if Carpenter stays healthy. We never were a playoff team; we were just in 1st place for awhile. And as others have pointed out, pitching has dried up around the league with injuries, and there's squat in the minors, so I wouldn't expect any thing on the trade front other than a wing and a prayer (which Melvin does get lucky at sometimes--I'm not totally hopeless at all). No, the only thing that bugs me is the continued presence of Gamel as we waste service time on a team that's not gonna make the playoffs. In the end I think it's okay. We've still got an exciting team to watch this summer. Long term the organization continues to move in the right direction--lets have fun and not get too down just because we're in a slow fade. I couldn't imagine being a Nationals fan.
  11. Tbadder
    Count me as hyper-cynical about the next agreement. The loser will be the small market teams. It's going to be the players, the agents, and the big market teams against the small market teams (if the big market teams are smart). If I'm a big market team why do I want a hard slot? No, I want signability issues so I can pick off talented prospects that the small market teams won't draft. Why would I want an international draft if I was a big market team? I don't want one. Because I can simply pay more if I really want a player, or watch small market teams spend themselves into non-competitiveness signing players I don't think are going to make it. If I'm a player, agent, or big market team I want to eliminate all compensation for signing free agents. And I want to see players under control of their original team for four years, not six. Arbitration should begin immediately after a player has logged one year service time. Now, in a I'm-hoping-life-is beautiful-mood, what I'd like to see is a five year waiting period. That is players submit their names to MLB for the draft at any time. If they are drafted they have 1 year to hammer out a deal. If not signed the teams lose their rights to the player, and all future rights to that player, even on the major league level. The player on the other hand cannot apply for draft status for another five years. The draft would be a Western Hemisphere draft only. Players could submit their names for the draft beginning their Junior year in high school.
  12. Tbadder
    The bullpen is only as good as the starters will allow it to be. The cracks in the dike are beginning to show. Luckily we've still got Dillard in AAA; he should be serviceable. If Capuano was on the horizon I might feel better.
  13. Tbadder
    If this kid gets 50 mil outta the box we better pray he burns out his arm or everyone who gets told their special by Boras is gonna get 50 mil. Once the precedent has been set...
  14. Tbadder
    Yeah, I'm talking stuff. Benny's curve and his fastball were better than Gallardo's. Sheets was more of a classic ace than Yovanni, but obviously he was all unfulfilled potential. I am baffled at Yo's inability to throw strikes lately, especially his curveball. It's a good curve, effective no doubt when on.
  15. Tbadder
    Understood. Just agree to disagree. (insert thumbs up)
  16. Tbadder
    Because they don't describe the mental side of the game--stats are pure physical accounts. They in fact ignore them. Find any number of the pitchers with similar stats as Manny Parra. Do they each have the same disposition? Do they react or praise or pressure in the same way? Of course not. Now, you're saying that's my point, that's what I just said. Not really. Because it doesn't provide a solution to the said stats. And it's that variation and that subtlety that stats will never tell. That's where a good coach, who can understand his ballplayer, can affect a shift in disposition that will enable the players OPS or WHIP or whatever to skew physically in a positive direction. For Manny Parra's sake and the sake of the Brewers who have a huge stake in Parra they need a solution that is mechanical, and mental, and productive or they're chances of going to the playoffs have been decreased.
  17. Tbadder
    Okay, but the mental part of the game gets short shrifted around here because it's not quantifiable. That's a bias we have at Brewerfan.net--so be it. There are a ton of intelligent people around here compared to most other sites which can be almost purely emotional. But again, it works both ways. If anything the mental approach is radically disregarded here, much less a crutch. BABIP and WHIP and OPS and etc. rule supreme here if anything.
  18. Tbadder
    For me, it's great stuff plus great location plus great demeanor. That's why in my book Gallardo will never be an ace. He's got two outta three. But boy oh boy what a #2 he is.
  19. Tbadder
    This is the central argument of this forum. Stats vs observation. When these two viewpoints lack balance the truth gets lost--and it goes both ways. Stat guys howl for proof; observation guys claim "it's plain as day". In this case I think the observation guys knew a lot sooner that despite all the stats that Parra has been heading for a fall, that he lacks confidence, and the ability to handle pressure. He's been short-arming his pitches for a long time now and the guy's just shell-shocked plain and simple. Now having said all that there have been plenty of times that the stat guys have pointed out "don't get too euphoric or too depressed, the numbers say..." And they've been dead on, and I'm glad for their input, it's invaluable. It's rationality vs. empiricism, DesCartes vs. Locke argument and it's never gonna stop. Lets get used to it.
  20. Tbadder
    Whatever the reason for his implosion it wasn't a lack of fortitude mental or physical. I'd have Dave Bush talk to him.
  21. Tbadder
    I'll take anything that's cheap. Penny doesn't scare me. I liked the Dye idea quite frankly. I'm less thrilled by Peavy. But in the back of my mind I always envisioned something like Hall Suppan Hardy Parra and Hart for Cain and Zito, but that was nothing more than a brain-fart methinks.
  22. Tbadder
    Exactly! I wonder if my doctor can give me anything.
  23. Tbadder
    Yeah...I always thought it was despicable the way the West Wisconsin skewed for the Twinkies.
  24. Tbadder
    I fear the midget. I FEAR THE MIDGET. I-I FEAR-FEAR-THE-THE-MIDGET-MIDGET. Seriously, every time he gets up I expect him to bang one in the gap. Irrational? Yes. But short players really creep me out. They're baseball's version of carnies. (insert shiver)
  25. Tbadder
    I've said it before; I'll say it again--strict platoon at RF, 2B, and 3B. Gerut/Hart. I think Gerut will come around with more regular playing time, and he maybe a small upgrade defensively. At this point I think the bloom is off the rose with Hart; he had his moment of glory and it was truly exciting--who didn't love it? But it's time to move on.
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