LouisEly
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Everything posted by LouisEly
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The key word in your last sentence is "our". Not everyone is an "our", and for us, these type of venues are valuable means for meeting people. Apps are nice, but they have plenty of drawbacks (old photos, catfishing, shopping type of behavior, etc.), and you're not going to go to someone's house without having met them in a public place at least a couple of times. Weather only allows for so many opportunities to meet at an outdoor venue and only during certain times of the year. Other than brief transactional interactions with someone when picking up take-out, I haven't had face-to-face interaction with anyone in four weeks. I also have several friends who are bartenders, and they're unemployed.
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Rebel Yell with a small splash of orange liqueur is amazing. Neat, rocks, or with a mixer?
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Walter is one of the worst draft predictors out there. He said Amik Robertson will be lucky to be drafted when he declared early; the consensus is that he'll be a 3rd round pick, and NFL.com has him as #66 overall. The one that has the simulator is almost as bad as Walter. I find NFL.com to be the best predictor/evaluator. They have the most access to NFL team scouts.
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I've tried a couple of apple flavored whiskeys, haven't cared for them. I do, however, like Jack Daniels Tennessee Honey. Over the last two nights I've put a good dent in a bottle of Rebel Yell bourbon whiskey. For taste/price (~$17/750ml), I think it's perhaps the best value out there.
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Read a story on JSonline yesterday about a 34 (I believe) year old who was originally from Brookfield. The young man was a runner, had even done ultra-marathons, so I am guessing he was not overweight and he was in very good shape. Anyway, he was working in New York caught and succumbed the the covid virus. If a person like that can't fight this virus who can. I've manned a cheer station around mile 22 of the Chicago Marathon the last three years and have watched every single "runner" from beginning to end. People who "run" marathons come in all shapes and sizes. I know two people who do ultras, and if you saw either of them you would think that they couldn't run 5 miles much less 50. Marathons and ultras are more about mental toughness, good knees, and being able to metabolize lactic acid than being in good shape. Highly likely that they don't smoke, but doesn't mean that they don't have underlying health conditions from poor diet habits.
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Over the past week the news has been showing pictures of victims of the virus who were relatively young. Small sample, but every person I saw under 40 was obese. We know about age and comorbidities, but have they done any correlation between obesity and morbidity/mortality with this? Many of the comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes) are direct functions of poor diet/exercise habits, which also leads to obesity. l've hypothesized before that smoking would be the #1 commonality between cases. Is it that people who live a healthy lifestyle and don't smoke are the ones who aren't at risk?
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BTN is having rivalry day, and today is Wisconsin vs. Iowa. Just showed UW football winning at Iowa in 2014. Wisconsin's 2019 win over Iowa is next.
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No need for a tinfoil hat, this is the THIRD novel virus to come out of China in the last 20 years. Once is an accident, twice is a trend, three times is a problem. I think cancelling the United States' bond debt to China would be a good start. China's been deserving of that for a while, given their rampant currency manipulation, but that's probably a topic for the political forum.
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Some in-depth reviews of the guys I have going to the Packers in the first and third rounds. Both agree with where I have them being picked: https://packerswire.usatoday.com/2020/03/27/prospect-for-the-pack-boise-state-ot-ezra-cleveland/ https://packerswire.usatoday.com/2020/04/07/prospect-for-the-pack-wyoming-lb-logan-wilson/
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https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29008797/players-managers-intrigued-mlb-all-arizona-option "What is the rule if a player's wife is giving birth or if he has a sick parent, spouse or child? Would he be allowed to leave? If so, would he be quarantined upon his return?" ""Just jump in and trust that we may not know when we'll reconnect with our families and trust that when health officials decide it's OK, we'll be able to do that," Matheny said. "But in the meantime, do something that would really help the healing process." "I don't know if I could look at my kids just through a screen for four or five months. Same thing goes with my wife," the pitcher said Tuesday. "That's a long time. But people have done it in harsh scenarios, I guess. I think there's a lot of figuring out to do." There are other players that have expressed a lot of uncertainty about this plan. Why can't the player's family live with them? Give them two hotel rooms that are connected with a door, yank the beds out of one and turn it into a living room. Hell, give them three rooms. Or rent a condo/house and have food delivered to the family so they don't have to go to the grocery store. If the player needs to leave for family reasons, just test him before he comes back. How many times does that happen in a regular season, much less a shortened season? If it's that or no paycheck, guys will start making sacrifices for six/seven digits.
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Fiers had a 0.5 bWAR/2.3 fWAR for the Astros. Houser had a 1.9 bWAR/1.6 fWAR for the Brewers last year and is under control through 2024. Houston has not won that part of the trade by any stretch. -
Honest question - the study that said that the virus can live in the air for three hours, from what I understand, was done with aerosols, which I understand to be particles dispersed into air in an enclosed space. Maybe the chemists and scientific researchers here can clarify. Do we know that's the same in the outdoors/open air as it is in an enclosed space? How do they account for wind/air currents, the sun, and other things in nature?
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First round picks have a fifth year option, second round picks don't - they are only controlled for four years. Moving down into the second round means losing the value of that fifth year option. I think many of these draft value charts were established before this was in the collective bargaining agreement, and thus underestimate the difference in value between a late 1st round pick and an early 2nd round pick.
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Not all of Cook County is Chicago. Chicago makes up only a little over half of the population of Cook County. Evanston, Des Plaines, Palos Heights/Hills/Park, Park Ridge, Orland Park, Park Ridge, and others are all in Cook County but are separate cities. Evanston hasn't closed off their lakefront trail.
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"May" doesn't necessarily mean May 1st. It could mean May 25th - Memorial Day - which, given baseball's recent history of strongly supporting the military and doing special things that weekend, could be a huge boost to national morale. May 25th is almost seven weeks away. I don't see why players have to be isolated from their families. I'll bet they all live with them now, and just about all of them are under 40 and most are unlikely to have significant underlying health concerns/respiratory ailments. Manager/coaches are of higher risk, but I don't see why the players can't live with their families. Get hotel suites or rooms with connecting doors for a little space, or rent homes. Drive to the stadium in your own vehicle. As for the players, it's either some form of isolation/distancing/living restrictions or they only get paid a fraction of what they had expected to get paid this year. For a couple hundred thousand dollars, I'd live out of a hotel room for 3 months. With a couple million on the line, I'd live just about anywhere for 3 months. I also don't see why it has to be 3-4 months. Maybe it's through June, and if things go well can be moved to their local stadiums for "opening day" on July 4th, another key date for national morale. July 4th is three months away; with the amount of resources being dedicated to this, I don't think it's out of question for baseball to be in local cities on July 4th. I think baseball without fans in the stadium could be fun. I'd love to hear all the things that players say to each other during games that you can't hear because of fan noise.
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Technically Peppers was a Packer for three seasons. Some reactions from writers said they would have put Sitton in at guard instead of Jahri Evans, who technically was also a Packer for a season. Jimmy Graham had an almost identical career as Rob Gronkowski both in years and counting stats, but, of course, Gronk was on Super Bowl teams.
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Is this correct? My family and I just went on a hike this weekend in a City Forest Preserve. I thought it was just the Lakefront, 606, and Riverwalk? Which one? I don't believe there is such thing as a "city" forest preserve from what I can tell. They may be in Cook County, but they are not in the City of Chicago. Also heard that Waterfall Glen closed off access to non-locals (DuPage County residents only) due to overcrowding coming from the city.
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All of those things apply to basketball too. My response was countering your opinion that fan-less basketball was easier than baseball. It isn't.
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Much more player-to-player contact in basketball though. In baseball they rarely touch each other, and other than the batter/catcher/home plate umpire (of which one isn't necessary), are rarely even near each other in a game. Tagging is done with a glove and an extended arm, not a body or bare hand. Natural social distancing in baseball. If there are no fans, the players can space out in the stands instead of being in the dugout. I think there's a better chance of baseball than finishing basketball.
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Honest question, does your doctor/health care system not have an on-line portal/system where you can request refills? Can your pharmacy not request refills for you? Seems strange that you have to call and speak to your doctor's office to request a refill, but maybe that's due to the type of medication you are taking. Everything I've heard about medication availability, with exception of a few specific drugs, is that the main issues have been insurers initially not granting early refills or not granting extended supplies (3 months).
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Many of the wrong people are being blamed and punished though. In Chicago, the mayor shut down all of the walking/running/biking trails in the city along with the parks and playgrounds because of "congregating". In response, people have been asking the mayor to shut down some city streets so that people have room to run/walk/exercise and be able to distance from others. The mayor said she has no plans of shutting down streets, and that she "isn't against exercising, (she's) against congregating." Yes, there were some people gathering in parks and on beaches. But what "congregating" was there on the actual walking/running/biking paths? People aren't standing around on the paths, they are moving. And did it ever occur that most of the people who aren't distancing themselves from others and are walking/running with other people on these paths are couples/families/roommates who live together? Kind of pointless to distance yourself from someone you live with. And if you're telling people to exercise, which experts are, but are shutting down some of the exercise outlets, you're just pushing people to fewer areas where there will be more people. The trails outside of the city have been packed. Are enough people taking the right precautions? No. Is there also some proverbial "throwing the baby out with the bathwater"? Yes.
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They absolutely can cut production. They took hundreds of oil rigs off-line in 2015/2016 the last time oil crashed. There are 200 fewer functioning oil rigs in the US than a year ago. In a two-year time span they went from 1600 rigs in late 2014 to 318 in May 2016. https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_oil_rotary_rigs
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The solution is the implementation and expansion of the rapid tests so that we know who to isolate and who doesn't need to be isolated. The problem is that they need to make 5,000,000 of those tests a day, not the 50,000 that Abbott said they can make.
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With expanded testing, once the rapid tests increase the ability to identify who has it and who doesn't we can begin to selectively isolate and not blanket shut everything down. Hopefully there is more than one manufacturer of the rapid tests, as Abbott Labs said that they can make 50K per day. Will need a lot more than that.
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Fishing could be argued as a food source. Some courses in Iowa are opening, but they aren't putting out flags or ball washers and they're raising cups so that people can pull their ball out without touching anything else. But the way the weather has been, I don't think that many people would want to be out right now anyway. On principle, though, I agree - I'd love to walk a course right now. But the way I play doesn't really boost my morale...
