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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    Can’t imagine what Braun would be doing to it then. #RyanBraunForever Exactly. Any AAA stats should be taken with an enormous block of salt this year. I love that Grisham has seemingly started to figure it out, but let's slow our roll a bit on making room on his mantle for an NL MVP award. Especially considering that the guy being benched already has a NL MVP award.
  2. LouisEly
    If you see a couple of teenagers looking to hitch a ride, keep right on going and call the authorities.
  3. LouisEly
    In 2020 the rosters expand to 26, so they can keep a 5th OF. I could easily see a soft platoon with Braun to help Grisham get acclimated to the majors and set him up for success. Braun will miss enough games where Grisham will get plenty of PAs, and I could see the Brewers moving on from Aguilar and have Braun play a handful of games at 1B too.
  4. LouisEly
    What evidence do you have that he was better than the pitchers who pitched instead? Barnes and Williams had much lower career FIPs (and still do), and cost a lot less (and still do). I can see keeping Lyles if he had an advantage in one area (expected/historical production, cost), but he didn't have an advantage in either IMO.
  5. LouisEly
    Had a tick on my body about a month ago for the first time in my life. On my back, had just latched on. Went to scratch my back, felt like a skin tag or something stuck to my skin, slowly pulled it off, looked at what it was, and couldn't have been more surprised. I say that because I spent the entire day in Chicago and in the suburbs, only having come close to one tree all day. And I had two shirts on - a dress shirt, and an undershirt, and it got under both of them.
  6. LouisEly
    I was looking at Stammen the other day. Has pretty big home/road splits though. That being said, he plays a lot of road games against the Dodgers, and at hitter-friendly parks (Colorado, Arizona), so maybe that's the cause. He's a guy who wouldn't cost more than a Segovia or Gatewood with maybe a Griep thrown in.
  7. LouisEly
    A piece from the MLB roster being involved would make the Ruben Amaro Jr. report from 10 days ago make a little more sense. For Grandal and Grisham I'd need more than Ramos and Yates. Grisham has a lot of years of control left.
  8. LouisEly
    Generally I agree with this, but it might not be as far-fetched as you think. If neither of Grandal ($16M) nor Moose ($7M) come back, that's $23M right there. Add in Chacin ($6.75M) and Perez ($2.5M) and you are at $32.25M coming off the books. Plus Albers ($2.5M), Spangenberg ($1.2M, not sure if he has a split contract), and my guess is that Jeffress isn't back at the $4.3M team option (another $3.1M). Nelson ($3.7M) is another possible cut, and they could trade Anderson or Davies if they pick up Greinke. But it really depends on Grandal coming back. My biggest concern with Greinke is his age - he's about to turn 36. I don't want to pay him $35M for his age 37 season.
  9. LouisEly
    Either Barnes or Williams. Both had options. Also would have made the Alex Wilson experience unnecessary. If you foresaw Knebel and Jeffress getting injured during spring training, requiring the need for the Alex Wilson experience, I'd like to know what Wednesday's Powerball numbers are. Split it with you, 60% you, 40% me.
  10. LouisEly
    Yeah, he would have been DFA'd and would have wasted that money!
  11. LouisEly
    The Packers have claimed Darren Hall, who was waived by the Bengals.
  12. LouisEly
    The thing that scouts have to do is project what kids could do with better coaching (and sometimes whether those kids are open to coaching). Sometimes they assume that college players are finished products, but if they take to coaching, make a couple of adjustments, they become legitimate prospects.
  13. LouisEly
    Or that Diekman's is overrated by most fans because his K rate is offset by his walk rate (5.0, 5.2, 8.4 each of the last three years).
  14. LouisEly
    Last night I watched a little of the Cubs broadcast after the game. My goodness, the broadcasters calling for bullpen help... and they need bats after getting only four hits if they are going to beat the teams behind them... was worse than this thread.
  15. LouisEly
    His ERA isn't pretty, but Bickford has struck out 23 in 13.2 IP (15.1/9)
  16. LouisEly
    Have always been wondering how that was going to shake out. At this point, it's a three horse race between Braun, McCutchen, and Upton. Zimmerman and Gordon will certainly get bought out of the last year of their deals and may or may not get picked up for 2020; Zimmerman likely doesn't. Upton has a ways to make up, but he's the youngest and the most productive. McCutchen was the favorite, but will he be the same player coming back from ACL surgery? It's one thing to rehab a knee injury in your 20's, it's another in your 30's. If it saps him of his speed and some power, he's an average LF at best. Braun may only have one more year to add to his number.
  17. LouisEly
    +1. Woodruff is 26, Davies is 26, Houser is 26, Burnes is 24, and Peralta is 23, and the last two are far from a finished product. Hell, Peralta has had eight starts of 6IP or more with 1 ER or less. Eight. Not time to give up on him as a starter. So did Taylor Jungmann, or thereabouts. I mean that's just kind of a very arbitrary stat to use. Peralta also has about the same number of really, really bad starts. The upside is definitely there but the inconsistency is probably something they just can't afford right now. Counsell has already pretty much said he prefers Peralta in the role he's in right now and the pen could definitely use him there. If it gets revisited in the offseason, which it likely will, that's great. But not this year. I'm not talking about right now, I'm talking about the near future not being a rebuild.
  18. LouisEly
    The #14 overall pick should be able to fetch more than a 2.5 month bullpen rental. The #5 overall pick should be a top 100 prospect, and shouldn't strike out 30% of the time in AA - doesn't project well for the majors. I challenge Lutz being a borderline Top 100 prospect. A K rate that has increased each of the last two years (and now almost 30% in A-ball), an ISO that has decreased each year, and a wRC+ of slightly above average; slightly above average in A-ball doesn't project well. As for "taking a month to adjust", he had a very nice OPS for May but June and July have regressed and he's under a .700 OPS for July with a 3:1 K:BB rate. I get that he's 2.5 years younger than average for his leagues the last two years, could quite possibly have a Grisham-like jump in the next year or two, and I am not saying that he's a bust by any stretch of the imagination, but right now he is much closer to #250 than #100. I have him as the 4th best prospect on his own team, behind Turang, Ashby, and Feliciano (who also K's a lot, but has had better offensive production at a more premium position and is a couple of months younger than Lutz), fifth if you count former teammate Rasmussen. I'm talking about right now, not what they could be in the future.
  19. LouisEly
    +1. Woodruff is 26, Davies is 26, Houser is 26, Burnes is 24, and Peralta is 23, and the last two are far from a finished product. Hell, Peralta has had eight starts of 6IP or more with 1 ER or less. Eight. Not time to give up on him as a starter.
  20. LouisEly
    People here were pretty excited in 2014 when the Brewers drafted all of those sky-high upside HS players in Medeiros, Gatewood, and Harrison. And in 2015 when they drafted high upside in Grisham and Kirby (you know, because everybody comes back from TJ surgery). And in 2016 when they drafted uber-toolsy Corey Ray. And in 2017 when they drafted Lutz. They have gone high-risk, high reward, and the risk reared its ugly head.
  21. LouisEly
    The agents for Eric Hosmer and Manny Machado are ROTFL.
  22. LouisEly
    I mean if that was their intent, why not just wait until Sunday to call him up before the Oakland series?? They are facing two lefties against the Cubs..now makes ZERO sense, UNLESS there is something else going on that forces him to be in the lineup. Cubs bullpen is almost entirely RH - Kimbrel, Strop, Cishek, Kintzler, Chatwood. Kyle Ryan the only LHRP of note, and he's been mostly used as a LOOGY. First game is against a RHP (Hendricks) though. Anything can happen after that game.
  23. LouisEly
    Tulowitzki retired today after playing in only five games for the Yankees this season. Would have been worth the gamble for league minimum, but ultimately it's called a gamble for a reason.
  24. LouisEly
    With the significant raises that the Smiths, Adams, Rodgers, Clark, Turner, and others are due, you can almost guarantee that Graham gets cut after the season to free up $8M in space. Right now the Packers are at $190M for 2020. Probably a safe bet that Lane Taylor gets cut too ($4.55 cap savings). Would not be surprised if Linsley gets cut ($8M in cap space), which could explain the drafting of Jenkins.
  25. LouisEly
    This I agree with 100%...if you are going to buy, you must buy big, otherwise, what's the point?? Might as well just stand pat then. Not necessarily. Buying big means acquiring players with multiple years of control. A couple of Swarzak/Cedeno bullpen types who are impending free agents will not cost valuable prospects and can help with a playoff push. Same with selling - they don't have to sell big. They can just sell impending free agents (Grandal, Moustakas) and look to the offseason to improve the ballclub to compete in 2020.
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