LouisEly
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Everything posted by LouisEly
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Sort of. If they cut him in March and designate it as a June 1st release it counts $3.7M against the 2019 cap but $7.4M against the 2020 cap, whereas if they release him in March it counts as $11.1M against the 2019 cap. There is no avoiding the $11.1M remaining on his signing bonus - it's just a matter of what year it's applied to. -
According to SportTrac: https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/green-bay-packers/nick-perry-9838/ If cut after 2018 the Packers will only save $3.6M in 2019 - his cap hit for 2019 is $14.7M and the dead cap space they will incur is $11.1M. SportTrac says the out is in 2020. They also say there are implications for a pre/post 6/1 release - pre-6/1 they will incur $11.1M in dead cap in 2019, post-6/1 they will shift $7.4M of that to 2020 with $3.7M in dead cap for 2019. It appears the question is if they want the dead cap space in 2019 or 2020. The question then becomes, can they get a better player for $3.6M? That I don't know.
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I think it's the reverse - the offense is wearing down the defense. If the offense can't move the ball (64th in scoring offense this year, 117th in passing yards/game) the defense has to keep coming back on the field. Eventually the defense will wear down. What hasn't been talked about is field position and penalties. They've had so many penalties on offense and special teams that they have had to move the ball farther. I also wonder about how much distraction - and possibly divisiveness - the Cephus situation has had on the team and the locker room. You know that he's in contact with teammates, and if he's suing UW then you have to wonder how much his friends on the team are questioning the university. It's Title IX policy they are following, not UW's, but players may not see it that way.
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This is a question that always plagues me as well. There are many other teams that are run-oriented offenses that still manage to have quality quarterback play, but the Badgers just are stuck with guys that are mediocre at best. I keep hearing about Graham Mertz but we'll see when he gets here. They're not mediocre though - over the last 10-15 years the only school to put more QBs in the NFL is I believe USC. They've put more QBs in the NFL in that time span than Michigan, Ohio State, and Alabama. This is impressive given that their best QB recruits - Houston, Phillips, and Budmayr - all got hurt early in their careers and never really recovered and never played in the NFL. Last year Hornibrook was 27th in the nation in passer rating; not a star, but not mediocre by any stretch (it was better than Sam Darnold's passer rating). Other teams look like they have better QBs, but that's because they play in a spread hurry-up scheme against mediocre defenses. When they actually play a good defense they look worse than the Wisconsin QBs; defenses outside of the SEC and Big-10 are almost laughable. Shea Patterson is a mediocre QB who benefits from being surrounded by 4 and 5-star WRs. Their problems have historically been injuries to said players and a lack of WRs/targets. Until this year. Now it's scheme and play-calling. They still have a lack of depth at WR; they only have one upper-classmen at WR (Taylor, a true junior).
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When you have a career night like Lopez did and go 8-13 it tends to lead to overconfidence and the false belief you can do that every time.
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You don't fire a head coach after one 7-5 season. You do demote an offensive coordinator who is in charge of an offense that ranked 64th in the nation in PPG and 117th in the nation in passing YPG. The question is whether they have the balls to demote a former player. Their offensive scheme and game plan is not working.
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Fixed. Since his concussion he's 29-49 with 2 TDs and 5 INTs. He obviously isn't 100% and shouldn't have been starting.
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Harrison - so far - has struggled big time with the jump to AA. 37% K rate this past season, only 7.5% BB rate, and a somewhat generous (but not egregious) BABIP. Thus why I give more weight to production at AA or above - the jump from A to AA is arguably the biggest jump from level to level perhaps with the exception of AAA to the majors.
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It depends on what you value and relative value. Ray could be higher on some lists simply because they aren't as high on the others, and one of the problems with rank is that it doesn't tell you distance. Rank order is about relative value and they have to place someone at that spot. Some people make these lists simply on upside. Others place more weight on risk or distance from majors. I personally give more weight to production at AA or above, and will rate guys at AA/AAA who may only project to be bench/bullpen guys higher than DSL/rookie/low-A guys who have a higher upside but high risk and mediocre production; I've seen too many guys flame out at AA (or even A+) to get real excited about the upside of HS draft picks or high bonus international signings. The Brewers don't have a strong track record of developing either (Lara, Grisham, Walters, Medeiros, Gatewood, Harrison, Devin Williams, Neuhaus, Coulter, Tyrone Taylor, etc.). I also give more weight to how difficult it is to find good players at that position (C, SS, 3B I value more than corner OF, 1B, 2B). This isn't the place to debate individual prospects, but despite Lutz being younger, looking at stats (K%, BB%, wRC, wOBA, ISO) and factoring in level of competition (AA vs. low-A) and defensive value (Ray has a chance to stick at CF whereas Lutz is a corner OF), it's not unreasonable at all to rank Ray higher than Lutz, depending on what people value.
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He made $219M in his career. I can't even fathom that.
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Probably a combination of rookie receivers not being on the same page/knowing how to read the defense (like the play where ESB was open over the middle but Rodgers expected him to sit in the zone instead of cross through it) and Rodgers' knee sapping some of his strength. When you have an injury the tendency is to overcompensate for it which often messes up other things. Last night he was 21-30 for 311 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs - that's really good for any QB for a prime-time road game, especially in that environment with only one veteran WR.
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Who else are they going to bring back off of IR? Wilkerson, Ryan, and Allison are out for the year. They get to bring back one more player off of IR - why not see if Kumerow is anything?
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They were inside their own 35 yard line - you don't make it, you likely give up points. Scott then hit a 67 yard punt (why they drafted him - six punts for 47 yard average, zero returns). However, it is kind of foolish to expect your defense to stop the #1 rushing attack when you are without Daniels and Clark. And Wilson ALWAYS keeps in on one of the RPO plays at the end of games to seal it. Every. Time.
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The replay showed it was an obvious incompletion - what makes McCarthy's non-challenge even worse was somebody was dinged up on that play so they had even more time than normal to look at replays before throwing the red flag on the field. IIRC, it took a while before they found a camera angle that showed that the ball came loose - not until after the next play. The replays that they showed on TV initially were blocked by players on the sideline (great camera work, almost as bad as the New England game). I don't know that McCarthy had that angle - I think he had to guess and had no solid evidence that it came loose. If someone still has the game on their DVR (I deleted it right away), it would be nice to confirm/deny that.
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I don't know if it was here or at Acme Packing Company, but all those knowitalls who said that Fackrell should've been cut are pretty quiet right now. And looking pretty stupid.
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Throw a curveball and make sweet chili. Add some creamy peanut butter to the mix. Or sweet & sour sauce. They'll have no idea what hit them.
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And their opponent shot 47% from three, almost going toe-to-toe with them. Takes quite a performance to beat a team that shoots 47% from three.
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With so many rookie WRs you knew there were going to be growing pains. They, particularly MVS, seem to be picking up the offense lately. Aaron Jones' suspension not only cost him the first two games of the season, it likely cost him some of McCarthy's trust and he had to earn it back. Rodgers got hurt, they had some cancers in the locker room... I'm not surprised at how the first half went. We all need to remember, if not for a couple of bad calls they would have won at least one more game, possibly two. This is a team that essentially spotted the first place Bears 20 points and came back to win in 30 minutes. Rodgers is getting healthier, the young receivers are starting to learn the offense, they got rid of a couple of guys who weren't on board... they're ready to make a run, and it's not surprising. That, and it's football - other teams have injuries piling up too.
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Sort of. He only had 15 carries, and the Packers had a 18:34 rush to pass ratio.
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I just wonder how much of it is Hornibrook's/Coan's skill and how much of it is the offensive scheme and play-calling. Coan has looked eerily similar in his first two starts as Hornibrook did in his first two starts - Coan looked equally bad at Penn State as Hornibrook did at Michigan. Coan has looked OK in the hurry-up offense; why doesn't he look OK the rest of the time? They ran one misdirection play against PSU - a jet sweep to the short side of the field for no gain. I can only recall them running that play a handfull of times this year, and when they have it has been to the short side of the field. Stupid - the point of the jet sweep is to get the "jet" out into space and 1:1 with defenders. There is no space to the short side of the field! They tried running a few screens, but the execution was terrible - that's coaching.
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I wouldn't say that Woodruff is less overpowering than Hader. In the playoffs Woodruff was consistently hitting 97-98 for 3-4 innings. Hader tops out at a max of 97 and starts losing velocity after 25-30 pitches. Hader definitely hides the ball better, which makes his 94-95 look like 100. But he can't sustain his velocity as long as Woodruff can.
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Surprised the number of lists so far without Braden Webb. 1 Hiura K 2 Brown Z 3 Ray C 4 Turang B 5 Erceg L 6 Lutz T 7 Webb B 8 Dubon M 9 Nottingham J 10 Houser A 11 Supak T 12 Diplan M 13 Stokes T 14 Gatewood J 15 Grisham T 16 Henry P 17 Ashby A 18 Harber C 19 Feliciano M 20 Lemons K 21 Gray J 22 QT-C 23 Kirby N 24 McClanahan C 25 Rodriguez C 26 Sanchez M 27 Ponce C 28 Bickford P 29 Bello M 30 Roegner C 31 Derby B 32 Vassalotti M 33 Abreu P 34 Taylor T 35 Wilson W 36 Ward J 37 Castillo LG 38 Olczak J 39 Jankins T 40 Silva E 41 Melendez Andres 42 Matulovich J 43 Zhao Lun 44 Andrews C 45 Ernesto L 46 Brown Daniel 47 Hager J 48 McDowell M 49 Herrera C 50 Owenby D 51 Williams Dev 52 Orf N 53 Neuhaus T 54 Hummel C 55 Segovia J 56 Clark Z 57 Lillis B 58 Fry D 59 Uhen J 60 Greip N 61 Barker L 62 Lazar M 63 Mediavilla M 64 Ramirez Dant 65 Egnatuk N 66 Williams Jess 67 Fernandez Ed 68 Jaraba B 69 Garcia E 70 Castaneda V 71 Taugner C 72 Luna C 73 Coca Y 74 Pinero A 75 Olson R 76 Beasley W 77 Salaya B 78 Familia A 79 Bullock J 80 Hintzen JT 81 Murphy B 82 Rasmussen D 83 Jarvis J 84 Bettinger A 85 Biasi S 86 Howell K 87 Valdez A 88 Leones O 89 Sibrian J 90 Chirinos J 91 Salaman W 92 Bautista Er 93 Sano E 94 Robinson C 95 Watanabe V 96 Walters N 97 Martinez EW 98 Morales K 99 Garcia G 100 Hall Alex
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How many of the names did you end up looking up on Baseball-Reference or elsewhere? Shocked that Eddie Silva isn't on your list.
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Peralta struggles in the first inning. When you put your team behind early, it forces the manager to make decisions. Peralta's 1st inning ERA this year was 7.98. He needs to work on getting out of the gate better. Overall, I think Woodruff has better command (right now). Peralta has things to work on, and I think should work on them in AAA to start 2019. With as much as Woodruff was yanked back and forth between the majors and AAA and between starting and relieving, I take his time-through-the-order stats with a grain of salt. He never had a consistent role. And they're small samples with both guys.
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Game thread: Green Bay at New England Patriots, 11/04/18
LouisEly replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Other Sports
After the Patriots scored off of the turnover the Packers were down 24-17 with 10 minutes left. Rodgers proceeded to go 2-7 for 15 yards after that point. The turnover didn't doom them; it was the inability to respond and move the ball. A big part of that was the left side of the OL. Bak looked lost in the 2nd half; he and Taylor to a lesser extent were getting beat left and right by Claiborne and Flowers. At least Spriggs looked good - by my count he only gave up one pressure, no hits, no sacks.
