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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. In seven innings this year versus the Cardinals, Barnes has given up one hit. He's owned them this year.
  2. On Gameday it is out of the zone. Molina's usually a low-ball hitter, not up in the zone.
  3. The reason that DeGrom and Syndergaard cost so much to acquire is the reason the Mets are holding on to them - how often do you get that much pitching talent on one team? It rarely happens. I think it's easier - and a heck of a lot cheaper - to plug the holes with position players and in the bullpen than starting pitching. Sure, there's a chance DeGrom might regress. But there's a chance that the Braves will regress, and the Nationals especially if they lose Harper and Strasburg gets hurt (again). A healthy Cespedes plus a decent 1B (not hard or expensive to find those) and a decent 3B (Moustakas?) plus a couple of bullpen pieces and they have just as much of a shot as anyone in the NL East.
  4. Is it possible that Moncada was overrated by the ranking services because he signed for so much money? He played one full year in the minors split between two levels, so a somewhat small sample at each level. Just because he's young for his league doesn't mean he's going to get better. I liken Moncada's half-season in AA in 2016 to Dubon's half-season in AA - in fact, not only were both on the same team, but both posted an almost identical OPS - .910 (Moncada, 207 PAs) to .909 (Dubon, 262 PAs). Dubon is 10 months older, but the point is they produced roughly the same over roughly the same PAs at roughly the same age. Looking deeper at Moncada's numbers that season, he hit 11 HRs but only 6 doubles - how often does a player hit twice as many HRs as doubles? Almost never. Seems unlikely to sustain.
  5. Highly unlikely they gave up what they did to jettison Schoop and Soria. If they win the WC game and get into the NLDS I think they'll have more than enough revenue to carry a $100M payroll next season, maybe a little more, and Shaw is the only arby guy who should get a significant raise. I think Vogt won't be back and Anderson will be traded, freeing up basically enough to pay Schoop. They need Schoop next year as a bridge to Hiura, and Soria is the type of reliever you look to acquire at the trade deadline so why not keep him? That being said, as good as Knebel has been since returning from AAA, I could see them letting Soria go and keeping Lyles instead. Lyles has been pretty good as a reliever - walks much higher than career average so those should come down, but much higher K rate and 3.07 FIP.
  6. There was some type of leak into the roof of our building. The roofers are here and fixed the roof, but the water caused significant damage to the structure of the building - the beams and rafters were damaged/rotting. The roofers said that the damage was caused by the original builder not installing any vents or insulation to the roof. With no vents, the moisture had nowhere to go and sat trapped between the roof and my ceiling. The roofers have finished the roof and they had to add a bunch of new wood to it (about 500 2x6 and 2x4 boards). The pounding of the roof exacerbated the cracks in my ceiling and we had to cut out a big section of the ceiling before it collapsed. When we cut it out, I found that there were still some rotted/bowed/partially broken beams, which as they are will prevent a flat ceiling from being installed. I asked the roofer about this, and they said that is not part of the roof (I guess they're correct about that) and that it would have to be fixed from the inside. I had a drywall company come in and look at it today, and he said that he is concerned about the beams and rafters and advised me not to pay the roofers. The roofers said that it is something that can only be fixed from the inside and whoever does the interior would have to repair it. Not sure who to believe. The roofer did a great job, was in constant communication during the job, sent me pictures daily, has great reviews on Yelp/Google, and A+ rating with the Better Business Bureau. Beams aren't really part of the roof, they are part of the structure. Another interior guy said to get a structural engineer, and I have one coming over, but he doesn't do the repairs - he only advises what needs to be done. If anyone has any experience with anything like this I'd greatly appreciate any advice.
  7. I don't think there will be any reduced need for bank stress testers any time soon, but what's important isn't the programs that you know but, like Samurai Bucky said, it's knowing the concepts and principles behind what you are trying to do with those programs. If you know statistics and what you are trying to do with statistics, it's just a matter of leaning the interface and application which only takes a couple of months. Hiring managers will understand and look beyond that. It's about knowing how to solve the underlying business problems behind what you are using statistics and analysis for. Hiring managers look for people who know how to solve problems, work through others, can continuously learn, and know how to find someone who can help solve the problem if you can't. Knowing how to code doesn't provide any advantage if those people always need to be told what to do. One thing I'd recommend if you already know those statistical software programs is to learn R. PLENTY of analytics jobs out there where you are using R and/or SPSS.
  8. That's why they started the game at 7:17pm instead of the usual 7:05pm.
  9. Let's see if neck tats are baseball-proof... I dislike Molina as much as the next Brewer fan, but really, guys? We know his cup isn't baseball-proof. Might as well test other things.
  10. Hicks is like Edwards Jr. - nasty stuff, but he'll walk guys. Have to be patient.
  11. Remember, the Cardinal's bullpen is nothing to write home about. They've blown plenty of games this year.
  12. Sure looked like it. I think the plan was for Shaw to distract them and draw the throw.
  13. I remember that game from 2011 when Rock went off on them: "The Cardinals fashion themselves as the keepers of all things..."
  14. Just noticed that Braun is standing closer to the plate than he usually does.
  15. Seeing Saladino was a surprise no doubt. Flaherty's best pitch is his slider. Maybe Saladino was the guy out of that group who they felt had the best chance vs the slider. He did put in a pretty good at bat. Also, any one of those other 5 listed could be someone they have ticketed for a specific reliever. Again, they know and look at a lot more data then we do. Might have been Saladino because it was a last second change to go with the PH. If there is nobody on, the plan was to leave FP in. No time for one of their better PHs to warm up - had to grab a bat and get to the box.
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