Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

LouisEly

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    12,041

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    14

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    For once X and I agree on something! Yeah Gallardo was a 2nd round pick. But in addition to the guys X listed, you can also add Josh Murray and Brent Brewer. Some people around here bag on drafting college players, especially after the first round, saying they have "low ceilings". But if you look at the 2001-2004 drafts the top 5 players picked in the 2nd round each year are way more heavily weighted towards college players. Point being, guys like Gallardo are the exception in the 2nd round, not the rule. For all that people ripped on the TGJ pick as having "no upside", in reality he was probably the 6th best pick in the 2nd round that year behind Ethier, Baker, Gorzelanny, Sweeney, and Schierholz. All college players except Schierholz, who was JC. There's roughly a 50% chance that Lopez never makes the majors.
  2. LouisEly
    If and when this gets to "0", if anyone posts a picture of Franklin Stubbs I will reach through my ethernet cable and throttle them.
  3. LouisEly
    I just figured it out. HHH and Punk have a long, brutal match... HHH puts Punk in a submission move... ... and then Stephanie comes down the ramp with an official and orders the bell rung even though Punk didn't submit, just like Vince did to Brett. Stephanie gets her revenge for Punk insulting her, Punk gets "over" by getting screwed, HHH stays as the COO, and the angle continues.
  4. LouisEly
    Peterson doesn't even have 92 career innings, and he was below average in those limited innings. His ERA+ was 100 in 1999, the pinnacle of the steroid era. Then he got hurt in 2000 and never returned to form. And his career ERA, all games as a starter in the steroid era, is 0.01 higher than Jeffress' this season. Limited ceiling? Yes. Below average? In 2001 after he got hurt, yes. In 1999, no, he was above average for a starter. And my point was that Gold, Jones, Rogers, and Jeffress combined don't have 92 career innings.
  5. LouisEly
    Say what you want about Kyle Peterson, while his upside wasn't the highest he pitched more innings in the majors than JM Gold, Mike Jones, Mark Rogers, and Jeremy Jeffress combined.
  6. LouisEly
    If they just wanted someone to throw simulated games to Weeks they could have called up McClendon to do that and not had to start Fiers clock or make any 40-man roster moves. They obviously want to take a good look at him. Also after the meltdown on Thursday I think they see the reason for extra bullpen arms. You can burn a relief pitcher if your starter gets in trouble and is the next batter up without trying to get him to make it out of the inning and risk giving up six runs.
  7. LouisEly
    Player A: 1.048 K/IP, 3.67 K/BB, .182 BAA, 0.66 H/IP, 0.94 WHIP, 126 IP, 34 G/18 GS Player B: 1.042 K/IP, 2.66 K/BB, .233 BAA, 0.84 H/IP, 1.23 WHIP, 150.2 IP, 26 G/26 GS I know that Peralta is the better prospect, but the award is Pitcher of the Year, not Prospect of the Year. Both very deserving, but I give the nod to Player A. Batter - Taylor Green. I think that one might be unanimous.
  8. LouisEly
    If anyone has any extra tickets that they plan on selling for games on 9/30, early game on 10/1 (going to UW-Nebraska that night), 10/3, or 10/4, please PM me. Willing to pay above face value/market rate. (Likely going to Packers-Broncos on 10/2.) Hawing, didn't you say you had two you planned on selling...? http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  9. LouisEly
    They have to bring up a couple of arms just in case they have an extra innings game. Also, if they have nothing to play for the last week of the season, no reason for key starters to throw a lot of pitches. Limit the starters to 5IP the last week of the season - that way they get their regular work but still are fresh for the postseason. Dillard, McClendon, Peralta; Gamel, Farris, and Weeks coming off the DL.
  10. LouisEly
    We don't say this nearly enough - I gigantic Thank You to Jim, Eric, Conor, and Toby for all of the work you put into the Link Report and the minor league forum. While we may disagree in our assessment of players from time to time, the time and effort that the four of you invest into making this what it is is tremendously respected and appreciated. Thanks for all of the information and entertainment you provide! Fiers... what more can you say. While he is my favorite prospect, I wouldn't be that heartbroken if they sell high on him and flip him for a young cost-controlled stud SS. My preference would be to trade Wolf or Estrada, but between Peralta, Fiers, and Estrada I think they have the ability to trade one of their starters to fill the hole at SS - assuming Gamel takes over for Prince and Green gets the majority of starts at 3B, that makes SS the only hole to fill for next year. Fun Fiers Facts - he finished the year with: * More K than IP * More IP than walks and hits combined * More K than walks and hits combined * A lower BA-A vs. lefties (.165) than righties (.183) at AAA * A lower ERA vs lefties (0.89) than righties (1.31) at AAA
  11. LouisEly
    Now if Cablevision can just add the NFL network we'll all be happy.
  12. LouisEly
    I did say "perception-wise". Just that - perception.
  13. LouisEly
    One guy I had an eye on last year was Jonathan Pokorny. He got off to a bad start this year which is tough to overcome in the bullpen, but has posted very good numbers after their all-star break. 32.2 IP, 24 H, 14 BB (a little higher than desired), 30 K, 1.45 GO/AO, .211 BAA. For the year against lefties he posted 22IP, 16 H, 14 BB (not good), 24 K. If he can improve his control he may still have a future in the bullpen.
  14. LouisEly
    I think one of the other things that Gindl has going against him perception-wise is the success of his own teammates. Green - .997 OPS, Kottaras - .991 OPS (small sample), Maldonado - .948 OPS (small sample), Katin - .938 (small sample), Schafer - .922 (small sample), Gamel - .921, Carroll - .825, Almonte - .816. Few if anyone would have said that some of those guys - with the exception of Katin and Gamel - would have posted those numbers even in samples as small as 125-150 PAs. The PCL is known as a hitters league to begin with, but the success of so many teammates kind of makes you wonder if the PCL had a below-average year for pitching quality, thus inflating numbers.
  15. LouisEly
    Unfortunately the Brewers don't exactly have a team full of prospects at AA this year that deserve promotions so they will have to fill out their roster somehow. Expect at least a half-dozen or more of those type of players next year.
  16. LouisEly
    i think DM must have been almost immediate to make an offer and then say "take it or leave it" and with no time to waste, the Mets took it. i'd bet a very interesting Haudricourt article is going to come our way in the offseason on exactly how this trade went down. DM did say how the deal went down. The Mets GM was the instigator - he called Melvin. Melvin said what the heck, I'll listen, and found what the Mets wanted in return to be too good of a deal to pass up.
  17. LouisEly
    Funny... when I watched Hellickson pitch against the Yankees a couple of weeks ago I never saw the gun read higher than 92.
  18. LouisEly
    Been saying this for two years - the Brewers are REALLY high on Schafer. One thing I hadn't noticed about Schafer before is his BB:K ratio. Excluding his first year his ratios have been 42:56, 4:6, and 39:46. So Schafer takes the place of one of the PTBNLs on the 40... which one?
  19. LouisEly
    "With the gem, Fiers continued his dominance of the Pacific Coast League, improving to 7-0 with a 1.25 ERA (8er/57.2ip) in his nine starts for the Sounds this season." He also has given up 35 hits and struck out 56 in 50.2 innings. When reading those stats keep in mind that the PCL is known as a hitters league, and (small sample alert) his ERA is 2.29 at home and 0.87 on the road. At this point you have to think that between Peralta and Fiers the Brewers have to feel pretty comfortable this offseason trading some of their major league starting pitching to shore up the hole at SS.
  20. LouisEly
    Yes he could be a #3. A scouting report that was posted about a week or so ago confirmed that he has an "outstanding" changeup, along with a very good slow curve. Either the change or the curve was around 76, so that's a 14-16 mph differential from his fastball to his change/curve which is nasty if you can replicate the delivery. That's along the lines of other successful major league pitchers with an outstanding changeup, such as Marcum (tops out at 89), Hellickson (tops out at 92), and Collmenter (tops out at 91-92). In fact I think that's more than Marcum because Marcum's change is around 80. At the low end he projects to a Carlos Villanueva, but Fiers has a few more ticks on the fastball than CV (who tops out at 88-89) and it sounds like he has a better 3rd pitch than CV.
  21. LouisEly
    You know things are going well in the organization when it is August 30th before anyone stars an AFL thread.
  22. LouisEly
    I had Kintzler and Khris Davis from the start. I thought Kintzler was the guy "with some major league experience and success" because he has a higher ceiling than McClendon. But Kintzler's injury rehab and KhD's struggles in AA are making me question that. I like KhD, but in reality he is blocked by Braun and Gamel so there's no sense in not selling high on him. I still have Rogers and Arnett as dark horses, because it allows the Brewers to save face by saying they traded one or the other for K-Rod, and it allows the Mets to save face by saying they traded K-Rod for a former 1st round pick.
  23. LouisEly
    X, the three who combine to vote on the Power 50 have always weighed ceiling for lower level guys over production for higher level guys. If you go back to the Power 50 archives you will see that after Arnett was drafted he debuted at #6 (6/30/09), ahead of Braddock, Green, Cain, and McGehee. Toby hinted the other day that Fiers wouldn't be ranked higher than Gennett or either K. Davis. Yes Gennett is 21 and in high A but he has a .329 OBP and only walked 23 times in >550 PAs; one Davis is 23 and struggling to make the adjustment to AA, and the other Davis is 23 and has a .318 OBP in high A. I would have a hard time ranking any of those three over a guy who profiles along the likes of Marcum/Collmenter and on the low end Carlos Villanueva (yes, Fiers is a little older, but he was also in AAA within two years of being drafted). Gindl is a guy who does almost everything well but nothing great, and thus he is viewed as having a lower ceiling even though he is only 22 and having a good year in AAA. The comparison I made to Gindl in looking at everything but height was Luis Gonzalez - very similar minor league numbers in age at each level. So Gindl's ceiling would appear to be a pre-sudden-power-surge-at-age-30 Luis Gonzalez, and thus an average major league RF. In Toby's defense, he only mentioned his top 5. I wouldn't rank Gindl over Gamel, Green, Peralta, or Thornburg. Gindl is a guy I have in the lower end of the Top 10 a notch below Schafer and splitting hairs with the two first rounders, Fiers, and Scarpetta. I have Lopez at #11 until he proves something.
  24. LouisEly
    http://royals.server310.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/quotes-werewaiting.jpg "Well... we're waiting!!!!"
  25. LouisEly
    Thanks for the scouting report. Do we know if the radar gun at the stadium is usually right-on or fast by a few mph? If it is on it would indicate why he was a 2nd round pick; in college facing aluminum bats he likely threw the 2-seam sinking fastball much more often, thus the scouting reports of 91-93. If this is true it is good to know that he can dial up the 4-seamer to 94/95 if need be, and hopefully the inconsistency he has shown since being drafted is a function of working on specific things during games.
×
×
  • Create New...