Harold Hutchison
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Everything posted by Harold Hutchison
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A three-run homer by Arcia would be really nice at this moment...
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There was once a Facebook group called Real Men Kick to Devin Hester - intended to celebrate those punters and kickoff specialist who didn't wimp out and kicked to the NFL's greatest return specialist of all time. Maybe we need to start a hashtag: #RealMenPitchtoKestonHiura
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Lyles with a no-no through five... I'd think of keeping him around if I were Stearns.
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I think and fear it'll be Turang. The Brewers window is open now and I'm afraid they're going to give away a future superstar(since he's really the only elite prospect still in the minors) and the Brewers have enough talent at the big league level, but they also have a great number of holes. But I really hope that doesn't happen. I don't think Lutz or Turang moves. We can't give yup on guys who have a good high end upside. While both guys are young, both have higher upsides than most of our prospects. At that young of an age, there's also a lot of bust potential as well. Supak is a solid looking arm, but I don't think he profiles as above average. That's okay. A back-of-the-rotation guy is still really valuable. That said, I don't see him having a ton of value in a trade because of his lack of upside. I'm not convinced we make and huge off season moves (with regards to trades). But we'll see what happens. I think that sells Supak's value short. I'd love to pull off trades where I can get the other team to throw in a back-of-the-rotation guy. Because I'd rather pay that guy $600,000 a year to hold down a rotation spot than find a free agent for $5 million. If they have option years, so much the better - that's depth.
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I'll throw in a sleeper/a Clancyphile nugget: Henry Medina - low on my Top 25 since he's with Brewers Blue in Arizona (and he is 21), but until his last two games, he was pitching very well this year, and in 2018 he dominated. No dominating stuff over the years, and with the exception of 2018, he's had a stretch of two or three games where he gets rocked each year, but he doesn't walk people, and he seems to induce a lot of ground balls based on the game logs. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=medina001hen
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The way to get teams to stop shifting is to get players who have high rates of contact, and who are good at spraying the ball to all fields. That is what I'd have my scouts look for - mostly in the later rounds. If you have hitters like that, teams will not shift.
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Since Stearns took over almost 4 years ago, two of his own draft picks (Hiura and Burnes) have made it to the majors and made a significant impact. Burnes has been terrible this year but there's no denying he was key to their 2018 run and still possesses the arm talent to be a MLB pitcher. He took a collection of blocked prospects based on the timeframe when they'd have required addition to the Brewers' 40 man + Yamamoto and turned it into Yelich, who still has a decent shot at back to back NL MVPs with a few more years of team-friendly control remaining, and several other low level prospects he traded for have also made it to the majors (Peralta, Nottingham). Other prospects like Ortiz, Modeiros, and Phillips were only valuable until they stepped foot on a MLB field or even upper levels of the minors, as their on-field results make them afterthoughts. And Stearns got value for all of them. Which did have an effect this year in the lack of young depth to handle injuries and ineffectiveness. That said, Stearns has done very well in that regard. In the low minors, I'm excited to see what Ethan Small, Antoine Kelly, Henry Medina, and others can do.
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I always felt that Zavolas would determine whether this trade would be a win for the Brewers. Santana was gone at some point, Gamel would also be a relatively easy cut - especially with the way Grisham has turned out and the presence of Stokes. But the performance of Zavolas is very interesting. Pitchers like Zavolas, Brent Suter, Max Lazar, and Dylan File, who know how to pitch, who manage to minimize exit velocity, may be the next trend. Especially if the "super-live" baseball this year is the way it will be going forward.
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Unless Attanasio/Stearns decide to re-build/re-tool, no way payroll goes down. This team will have ~ 19 million extra revenue, so this year’s 127 with everything else being equal could be 146. I don’t think there going to re-tool, so there it is. This does make things interesting. Some can go to payroll, say $9 million. Use the other $10 million for better farm system facilities (a hitting lab, sabremetric people, etc.). But decline the options of Jeffress and Anderson, and let Chacin walk, and now you get an extra $20.8 million in payroll. Retain everyone else. If Thames passes on his $7.5 million player option (per BaseballReference.com - https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/t/thameer01.shtml), that goes up to $28.3 million. Could make for a couple of interesting options. Give Miley a two-year deal for Anderson's money (two years, $18 million). Then go for Gregorious on a three-year $60 million deal.
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Is Counsell the Right Manager for the Brewers?
Harold Hutchison replied to RollieTime's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The Brewers in 2018 were great - a game away from the World Series. A lucky drop or two... no injury to Suter. This team had talent, but bad luck injury-wise, and then some serious slumps - and keeping gio and Miley would have been relatively cheap and the depth would have made this a less frustrating season. But they still can sneak into the playoffs. Counsell's biggest problem was a lack of real depth, and that is more on Stearns who made some understandable calls that didn't work out. Really, just bad luck. -
At this point, the best option is to see if there is any sign of life in Shaw. That, as well as figuring out how to get Burnes and Peralta back to 2018 form, as well as the health of Woodruff and Suter, will decide a good chunk of the offseason.
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Depends on who is back and what happens on the trade market but it's going to be tough when you have no prospects. Anderson 8.5 million dollars would go a ways towards bringing in other options. Chacin is off the books after this year, another $8 million. $16.5 million could get a decent option. That said... Gio's pitched well, and could come back in the range of $5-6 million. Lyles has done quite well, and comes backk in the $4 million range.
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SABR Article on Drafting
Harold Hutchison replied to balsamlaker's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Of course, Rasmussen and Fry at 6 and 7 are both looking very good so far... Turang looks good, too. -
I'd like to see the Brewers keep both around. Chancin's money would likely keep Gio and Lyles around for 2020.
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And Hernan Perez is on the mound...
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He does need to work on his fielding for sure. Yikes. I'd rather keep the .900+ OPS and try to find a similar bat at shortstop.
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Who do we have in AAA that would be better? I too am ready to move on from Arcia. Well... Moustakas has experience at shortstop...
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Here's my take on this: early in the Turner at bat, Hader through a pitch on the inside corner that was called a ball and you saw Josh take the throw from Grandal and spin away and (probably) curse or something. Kind of like a Pedro Cerrano in Major League telling Joboo to take a hike and he'd do it himself. Next thing you know, the real Josh Hader was back and he was blowing away hitters with the high fastball. I did appreciate that Hader tried using his slider more tonight, almost like Hook and, perhaps, Karsay told him to change things up a little since he's been scuffling lately. This kind of lends a bit of authenticity to my theory of him saying, "Forget you, Joboo, I'll do it myself." (note to fellow posters: I am NOT stating that he really was saying "Forget you, Joboo..." or cursing or anything. But he certainly did appear ticked off at one point before turning it on.) Maybe he has turned the corner...
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I'd like to see Feliciano, Roegner, Turang, Stokes, Andrews, and Hummel go.
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Holy smokes... So, did we use up all the Crew's luck, or is it the start of something?
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Thames with a TWO-RUN shot!!!!
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They also have four runs, a walk, two doubles, a homer, and four RBI combined on the night.
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Maybe Hernan shouldn't have pinch-hit in the 9th?
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Shortstop for 2020
Harold Hutchison replied to balsamlaker's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Others just have one or two good years, then the league figures them out.