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endaround

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Everything posted by endaround

  1. endaround
    If Braun had a decent lead in the BA race he likely would have been sat today. It happens every year.
  2. endaround
    Their defense is close to a wash. It's really Braun's exceptional baserunning that puts him over the top and gets him up there. Braun's wOBA is .435 and Fielder's is .407.
  3. endaround
    Huh? He had one bad start on September 1st. Otherwise he has been outstanding for the last month and a half. No, he's been homer prone all month. Its why his FIP is 4.32 to go along with his 4.35 ERA. Now that's far from terrible but its below average.
  4. endaround
    I do like how people are all just ignoring that Gallardo has had a bad September.
  5. endaround
    No you can say that Braun in 149 games has been more valuable than Fielder in 161.
  6. endaround
    Players as bad as McGehee has been don't get as many PAs as he does unless they play SS or catcher. His wOBA is 68, basically he's 1/3 below average.
  7. endaround
    I'd say that you are ignoring common sense, which says that different guys will react differently to being up by many runs. Some guys may relax more in an 8-0 game which may cause them to throw BETTER than they would in a 1-0 game. Some guys may lose focus because of the big lead. Some guys may purposely throw more strikes to avoid walking batters which may cause more line drives and hits OR may cause more quick innings which would allow the pitcher to go deeper into the game and again put up better stats than he normally would. On the whole (taking everybody's statistics and lumping them together), you see nothing--perhaps because all of these factors cancel each other out, or perhaps because there is nothing there to see. As Russ said in the other thread, an absence of evidence is not evidence of absence; particularly when trying to use stats from ALL players to say that ONE particular player isn't affected by circumstances. It's just extremely poor use of stats. In 2010 Marcum's ERA declined with the amount of runs the Jays scored. Its random. Yes Marcum has pitched better away from Miller Park but there is no reason to expect that to continue. You have a 50 point swing in BABIP and a strand rate of 82% when he is away.
  8. endaround
    I think he's aiming for 40 so its no so bad...
  9. endaround
    Fielder's WPA for the night is now .651. Yep that is as close to single handedly winning a game as one can get.
  10. endaround
    The Cardinals aren't any different than the Brewers and are less a threat than a healthy Braves team. And I'd much rather face the DBacks than either.
  11. endaround
    Because unless you have some specific reason the chance of a spurious correlation is incredibly high. Marcum's ERA increases the more runs the Brewers score, so obviously they shouldn't try to score too many runs with him on the mound.
  12. endaround
    I don't think Schafer is allowed to hit. Seriously he's been up nearly a month and has 5 PAs.
  13. endaround
    He's hitting over .280. Yes the power isn't there but he's getting on base and hitting for a decent average.
  14. endaround
    I hate Gomez not playing. I hate McGehee playing.
  15. endaround
    It makes no sense to have Yo be your #1 but there we go. One season of splits is meaningless. It has no effect on anything. Don't look now but Yo's home/road splits are worse than Greinkes! Yo's FIP is 2.97 at home and 4.23 away while Greinke's is 2.68 and 3.39. Or Greinke is always the better choice.
  16. endaround
    Cardinals just small balled themselves out of the 10th
  17. endaround
    The only reason would be say to stall to win a batting title, but even there Braun's lead isn't big enough to just sit it out.
  18. endaround
    I don't even know what that means.... Anyway, Guillen was pouting that the White Sox wouldn't give him an extension past 2012 and so was going to walk out after this season. So the Sox have decided to trade him to the Marlins in exchange for two minor league players. And he's going to manage the Marlins, maybe, I guess. http://espn.go.com/chicago/mlb/story/_/id/7023269/ozzie-guillen-traded-florida-marlins-source-says
  19. endaround
    Weeks was removed with half a game left
  20. endaround
    Well he's using the guy who you could burn out on Wednesday if that game didn't matter.
  21. endaround
    His line in September: .286/.429/.321
  22. endaround
    So can it be any more clear than Roenicke doesn't care about getting home field advantage?
  23. endaround
    No many first year arby player get nowhere near that (see Carlos Gomez). McGehee might get $2m which is fine for a bench player.
  24. endaround
    Even if Rodriguez accepts arby he can be traded.
  25. endaround
    Try Gindl, Peralta, and a PTBNL.
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