1992casey

FTJ, I certainly didn't mean to cut of discussion. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif And I think we can actually do more than just theorize. Talking about the kinds of pitches thrown and what Craig might be doing with them is very much like working with a scouting report. When a sample is small, it needs to be supplemented by something, either observation or some kind of tie to a larger, more meaningful sample. JJ, an acceptable GIDP rate needs some context. 48 GIDP in 600 PA (Counsell's rate) would be "atrocious" if it accompanied the league average OPS (.789 with bases loaded in 2007). With a 1.003 OPS (Counsell's), it's probably just fine.

With the bases loaded, the 2007 Major League average was to ground into a double play every 17 plate appearances. Craig has grounded into a double play every 12.25 of his 98 bases loaded plate appearances. The bottom line is that this sample is too small. You'd need hundreds of ABs to determine any kind of pattern. Small samples have been the major roadblock to finding "clutch" players. The stats people like to quote don't stand up to standard reliability and validity testing. This doesn't mean that there aren't "clutch" players. It means that we haven't shown their existence statistically. Statheads would be absolutely tickled to death if they could find a reliable and valid way to identify "clutch" players. Identifying "clutch" players shouldn't be confused with identifying clutch situations. We absolutely know that clutch situations exist.

Has this issue rectified itself or is it still occurring?

Editors note: A standing ovation requires the participation of a huge majority of the crowd (as in almost everyone). One person doesn't constitute a standing ovation, nor do segments of a crowd.

we really try our best to work with users to find a resolution Mods even PM members before a situation escalates to the point where a non-strike warning is required. We spent a lot of time trying to "hone" this member. Before being banned, he was issued six warnings and two strikes. He was even issued a "strike two and half" just to err on the side of fairness. Additionally, he was PMed numerous times outside the strike/warning system. The mind blower is that this member expressed surprise that his third strike violated a rule. Given all the time moderators spent trying to encourage him to comply, one would think he would have become familiar with the Rules of Conduct.

I'd like Mike to bat third, but since that won't happen, I could buy into the idea of a Hart/Cameron switch.

Jim Powell said the homer was 465 feet and was tied for 3rd longest in Miller Park history. He didn't say who Russ was tied with, though.

Slap me up for cherry-picking the already small sample, but things are rosier since the first 14 games of the year when he didn't walk at all. Season: BA OBA Slug% OPS SB% AB/HR .299 .328 .576 .904 25.00 16.00 First 14 games: BA OBA Slug% OPS SB% AB/HR .246 .242 .426 .668 0.00 20.33 Since first walk: BA OBA Slug% OPS SB% AB/HR .319 .358 .632 .990 33.33 14.82 He still needs to walk more than the once every 16 AB rate he's had since that first walk.

rluzinski and elcaballo, are you talking about the same player?

It's a documented ongoing bug that doesn't affect everybody and pops up on a hit or miss basis. It's been going on since the move to the new data center. I'm surprised we haven't heard from members earlier. It appears that Brewerfan has been relatively untouched by some of the recent issues after the move.

Yes, reaching via an error uses an at bat and a plate appearance. It's treated as an out, and it hurts a player's batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Make note of this timestamp: 5/29/08 12:37 PM 7:37 PM GMT?

Runs attributed to errors by the pitcher are unearned because they're (allegedly) a function of his defense rather than a function of his pitching. I stuck "allegedly" in parentheses because defense and pitching don't necessarily separate cleanly, even if a player other than the pitcher makes the error.

Why do people hate descriptive titles so much? Quoth the rules: Not only that, thread titles that are ambiguous or function as "teasers" are just plain annoying. There's no need for the contents of a thread to be a surprise.

It plays on the stereotype that Japanese or Chinese allegedly can't properly pronounce L and/or R sounds.

Didn't they miss Hall's stolen base two nights ago, too?

It's like Russ and jazzytrav say: baseball is afraid of change. Another example: as we've discussed a lot in recent lineup threads, statatistical study is now suggesting that the #3 hitter should be the fifth best hitter in the lineup. We have yet to see a manager purposely try that.

Yuku doesn't drop old threads like ezBoard did. This forum has all the threads since last year's August 1 migration plus any ezBoard leftovers going back to June 5, 2007. I did hear rumblings a year ago that Yuku might also start automatically pruning forums, but I haven't heard anything recently. We do have the option to automatically prune forums if we want to. But performance is the only reason to kick it in. The board that requested the ability to optionally prune has 133,849 threads in its busiest forum and it appears to be running fine.

I think you have to look at several metrics. No single metric really cuts it. You don't necessarily need to use them all, but each one helps in its own way to clarify the picture. ERA tends to work for 500-plus inning samples. If you're going to use it for smaller samples, you're going to have to give it breathing room as it's affected by both defense and luck. WHIP is a nice cross-check for ERA. Its downside is that it doesn't account for extra base hits. It also needs breathing room. ERA+ is cool in that it covers ballpark factors. However, it carries along ERA's other flaws: it's affected by defense and luck until the sample is large enough. K/AB and BB/AB would be optimum for judging peripherals. Mainstream web sites don't give us that stat, though. You can substitute in K/9 and BB/9 as long as you realize that these need a bit of breathing room. K/9 and BB/9 don't account for extra outs caused by errors, nor do they account for ABs where the pitcher has given up hits. You can toss in K/BB ratio, but it should be examined alongside of K/AB & BB/AB or K/9 & BB/9. BA/OBP/SLG/OPS against the pitcher should be helpful. Besides the raw information given here, you can eyeball a BB/HBP rate and you can subtract BA from SLG to see a pitcher's extra base hit rate (isolated power against). FIP does a nice job at weeding out the effects of defense and luck. Some members have mentioned xERA. I don't know much about that stat, but it's reasonable to assume that it's similar in purpose. If you want to get more sophisticated, you can look at line drives, ground balls, infield flies, and outfield flies. A lot of sites only include flyball outs and groundball outs; it's much better to look at base hits and outs combined. You can also look at BABIP. For most pitchers, you can eyeball luck by comparing his BABIP to the team average. Some pitchers, especially groundball pitchers, may consistently carry a lower (better) than average BABIP, though. To judge luck with those guys, you'd want to compare their current sample to their larger sample.

Brewerfan has been compensated with two days of Gold service due to downtime last week. LambeauLeap has been given 1,000 page views.

That's about it, Mickey. In previous years, if one made a production checklist and ranked each item on a continuum ranging from poor to excellent, you'd probably find most everything falling between good and excellent. Tonight, the sound is going out every few sentences. It's not just me; it's been confirmed by others in the chat. Peachy.

What's a TD and a CG? On a related note, I frequently see that the baserunners aren't always updated in a timely fashion, either.

In other words, if need be, Julian is someone that can be "thrown away" with no real consequences. While this signing doesn't seem to add quality, it does add quantity. While quantity is a second choice, it's not like we can't use it.

bb123h, drive through Mt. Horeb.

It drives me nuts when people say "Standard Time" when it's actually "Daylight Time." Standard time and Daylight Time are an hour apart, so obviously they mean two different things. They can't be used interchangeably.