Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

igor67

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,712

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    3

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by igor67

  1. igor67
    In the books, just keep winning
  2. igor67
    Chad Moeller
  3. igor67
    Gindl does look like a better comp, closer in height stat lines are more similar so far. Fun Gindl fact he actually has a career 102 OPS+ in the big leagues. A little surprised he didn't get more chances somewhere. Reed really now looks like a guy who had 1 good year at just the right time. He's never hit above AA at this point with any success.
  4. igor67
    Buxton is not a good comparable for what people want. It is very clear that the Twin really rushed him, as in only 59 plate appearances in AAA before promoting him and the year before that he only posted a combined .702 OPS across the Fall league, A+ and AA non of which had a good stat line. Brinson has been hitting in AAA since 2015. I'm sympathetic to not wanting to mess with something that is working, because any big strikeout guy is prone to look horrible for stretches. Having said that I would not be at all offended if there was a deal for a significant pitcher and we traded Broxton as part of that and brought up Brinson.
  5. igor67
    I don't mind dealing OFers given the large amount of depth, but I really want to spread out the level they are drawn from. Namely 1 from the MLB/AAA level and 1 from the A ball level. I'd even go 3 if we included lower tier guys like Coulter. I'd hesitate on Dubon to preserve depth. I don't think Suter keeps the magic going as a starter for very long, but we're starting to get to a point that we can seemingly have Cardinals like like getting a few months on good performance out of starting pitchers debuting. Which is a welcome change.
  6. igor67
    I know I mentioned him just a few days ago, but Stokes has really added power this year, he's up to 13 HRs way more then the rest of his minors time put together. Still only 21 and deserves credit for a very good season so far possible excellent depending on how extreme of a pitchers park he's playing in.
  7. igor67
    Stokes up over an .800 OPS, which given the ballpark looks pretty nice and he's still only 21.
  8. igor67
    It only makes sense in our kind of vague every year they have a budget sort of mindset. From a pure econ stand point, unless it would involve him taking less overall to front load more this year with the deal already in place you want to wait as long as possible to pay. For example if Braun were to suffer an insured career ending injury at some point in the future all of that front loading would cost the owner millions in savings from the insurance. He might retire and forfeit remaining salary. Perhaps the most likely is that there are some goofy tax laws for baseball teams and if Mark decided to sell Braun's contract has some significant tax advantages.
  9. igor67
    The downside of cycling guys through the bench to find ones that work is that it does make it tough to find meaningful upgrades there. Prado might be in the correct type of role over Perez. On the other hand it means taking ABs away from younger guys to an older player. I'm not opposed to that, but it is something of a cost. Villar is the spot that we could benefit more by upgrading, June for him was very good but July so far has been not good again. That said the other parts I like. Finding a veteran on contract for 2 years in a role that is flexible with a hefty salary. That's probably a sweet spot for us improving with out spending a lot of prospect.
  10. igor67
    MLB network has definitely been treating them like legit contenders over the last week for sure. There has been a variety of opinions, but I'd say the average opinion is that the Central is a real race with the Cubs still narrow favorites. Baseball prospectus just updated their playoff odds and it is now 51% Cubs 49% Brewers.
  11. igor67
    Sure seems like someone said to jump on the first pitch all of a sudden what is that 4 batters in a row?
  12. igor67
    Baseball prospectus playoff odds which accounts for the fact that the Cubs are expected to be a better team has our playoff odds up to 38% as of today and the Cubs at 57%. Their simulation of the rest of the season expects the Cubs on average to finish with 2 more wins for the season. All signs point to fun baseball still in September!
  13. igor67
    Not that it is the goal, but if the Rockies lose the night the Brewers will be closer to the 2nd wildcard, then anybody is to them in the Central.
  14. igor67
    Certainly someone must have mentioned this before, but the post above about Clarks Runs created got me thinking enough to go look up the park factors. And last year Carolina had the lowest park factor of any team in the 3 High A leagues. It's 3 years average was still one of the 5 lowest. Given the slash lines so many guys are putting up I'm thinking we are in territory similar to when Corey Hart tore up the Southern league with an OPS barely over .800.
  15. igor67
    Cubs down by 3 in the 7th!
  16. igor67
    Despite this being exactly the kind of year that happens every so often (see Cards World Series 2006 for another example) that I've argued means not automatically tanking when you think you've got a .500 team. I'm hesitant to pull the trigger on a large trade. There is a lot of potential depth over the next few years and big ticket trades are how you burn through that. For a high level starter with multiple years of control who isn't I might be interested. Mostly it comes down to be able to whether or not the high value prospects come primarily from the OF. We have enough guys there that I could definitely see trading away a couple not being too painful (if for no other reason then some are either going to flame out or get dealt eventually anyway). I don't mind throwing in a few other guys as well. If I were to do it though it would foreclose any similar large prospect for veteran deal for at least a year probably 2, unless an unusual number of guys on the farm developed.
  17. igor67
    It took me awhile to puzzle that counting scheme out as well, but each additional win is worth 0.5 of a game and each loss is also 0.5 game. The reason is that if you imagined the team changing one of the games it has already played from a loss into a win, you would decrease the loss column by 1 and increase the win column by 1 as well.
  18. igor67
    Nice All-star game for Harrison, 2HRs.
  19. igor67
    Poker, Poker, Poker. The perspective that gets lost in this type of debate as people tend to shoehorn (whether they intend to or not) others into 'win now' vs. 'complete the rebuild', is that Poker actually provides a pretty good model for thinking about team level strategy. Those players never tell themselves on seeing they've got pocket aces "that was a really good start, but I wasn't planning a move until later" Instead they understand (at the pro level) the role that luck plays, but also fully integrate the cards as they have been dealt. Undoubtedly we've been lucky, but a number of players have broken out so much (Thames is a clear case) that any preseason estimation of our talent level is just off which is part of the benefit of younger players some the 'luck' factor with them is not variation around established talent level it is these breakouts. So while we are not 'halfway' we are only 2 weeks from that point, and a 2 game lead 2 weeks from today probably translates conservatively into a 40% playoff chance which is worth raising a little bit to stay in the hand. Luckily we have plenty of young prospects to try out in many places and avoid big expensive trades (see first comment about breaking the dichotomy). But would I trade a Ryan Cordell for a solid middle reliever with a positive track record? Sure. Would I be willing to do a Billy Beane style buying and selling trade involving Braun that lands us a middle of the rotation starter and other bits and pieces. Sure
  20. igor67
    This is exactly the benefit of having a bunch of guys who can play multiple positions and carry a stick, we can treat these young prospects as an extended bench. Get the best guys on the field you can. And the unexpected competitiveness is a boon to justify however you scramble the roster without too much pressure on anyone. If they can keep doing most of the same thing with the pitchers until they find the best reasonable combo we might even be able to have our deadline 'moves' without much in the way of trades.
  21. igor67
    Aside from the apparent lopsidedness of the trade, the fact that it has something for everyone, the guy who can step in, a pitcher with upside and the young and younger middle IFer.
  22. igor67
    Ponce continues with the pitch efficiency as well, which is nice. Only 87 pitches to get through 7 innings.
  23. igor67
    This thread should be locked. The title is the most ridiculous kind of clickbait possible based on nothing more then the original posters caricatures of the two men. Yes this is the internet, no we do not need to behave like that is ok.
  24. igor67
    Gatewood is a toss up for me, with the position switch and still substantial swing and miss there are a lot of reasons to believe he still might be working productively on things in A+ for awhile yet. On the other hand he has been hitting well enough that you can imagine rewarding him with a promotion.. The dominant pitchers though should get moved up all signs point to using them as soon as possible at the big league level, none is particularly young either.
  25. igor67
    Not all walks are equal on the player side. For guys like Clark and Ray they have the tools to make a take and rake approach explode with performance. Exactly like Gatewood has done. Very different from say when a later round pick like Demuth posts a good OBP in A-ball. It's fair to ding Clark and Ray for not having taken huge steps forward, but that is a far cry from calling it a terrible start. There have been a few of those this year, but overall things have been pretty good in prospect land.
×
×
  • Create New...