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Never Outhustled

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Everything posted by Never Outhustled

  1. Never Outhustled
    I would agree that in Halls case, defense metrics don't paint a true picture. They give Hall credit for all 19 of his errors, even though we can easily go through game video and see that half his errors were throws that a 1B should catch. There was also numerous throws he made which no out and no error were given that the 1B should have been able to convert into an out. Those plays give Hall a worse range factor though its no fault of his own. Theres no correction factor for the fact that Hall had to throw to that limbless stump of a 1st baseman, Prince Fielder. Hall was a terrific defense 3B in the 2nd half of last season, and I expect we'll see more of that this year.
  2. Never Outhustled
    I don't want to see a Mike Lamb,Casey Mcghee platoon, and Mat Gamel is going backwards. I would have to be overwhelmed to deal Hall now, but the Yankees will find a good deal somewhere else.
  3. Never Outhustled
    Ken Macha hasN'T won 92 games a year by using the run preventing method of bunting the #2 hitter. Plus, if that was a factor in who should bat 2nd, Hart is a better bunter. Hardy doesn't see anymore pitchers than the average hitter. Hart numbers were down last year, but he normally sees a similar number of pitches as Hardy. I think we're all betting on seeing the real Hart this year.
  4. Never Outhustled
    I can agree with you on that. I don't think theres much doubt about who should be included in the top 5. My issue is, since we have similar hitters in the #2 and # 5 spots, the faster player would use his superior baserunning most often in the #2 spot. Hardy's lack of speed would be a lesser issue when used in front of a group of hitters who homer often but do little else in Cameron and Hall, and baserunners almost don't matter in front of Kendall and the pitcher.
  5. Never Outhustled
    Hardy and Hart don't even compare speed wise. Weeks has tremendous speed too, but under your line of thinking, thats wasted in the leadoff spot. Why is it OK to have Weeks steal batting 1st but bad to have Hart steal batting 2nd? What does small ball have to do with speed. Our pitchers have had no problems bunting slow guys to second in the past. I sure hope you don't plan on having Kendall bunt guys over and try to have the pitcher hit them in. The pitcher is the only guy at the bottom of the lineup that should play small ball. Braun and Fielder hit just as many singles as Kendall last year, and a ton more singles than our pitchers. Also, I don't know why having speed in front of a double is bad. Slow players are less likely to score from 1st on a double. Braun and Fielder also hit more sac flies than Kendall and the pitchers, and its more likely a fast player scores on a sac fly. Remember Hardy in 2006 getting gunned down at the plate by the defensively challenged Pat Burrel, and breaking his ankle in the process? He was batting 2nd that day, and was trying to score on a Carlos Lee single. Hart scores easily on that play. Speed is only important offensively when the players are actually running the bases. Hart and Weeks will get more chances to run the bases in front of our hitters with the highest average. Thats Braun, Fielder, and Hardy, not Cameron, Hall, Kendall, and the pitcher.
  6. Never Outhustled
    Who said anything about stealing bases. I'm talking about scoring on singles, going 1st to 3rd, scoring on flyballs. Also, Weeks and Hart are incredibly efficient basestealers. Its simply giving us the best chance to score runs. Are you really suggesting we put our slowest runners 1 &2 in the batting order? So you want to risk making outs in front of the pitcher and haave the pitcher leadoff more innings? I think its important to turn the lineup over when the oppurtunity is there.
  7. Never Outhustled
    James has both at identical 336 OBAs, Hart with a little higher slugging. However, he has Hardy with more HRs. I think I'd prefer Hart setting the table with more doubles, Hardy cleaning things up with the longball, and I've said repeatedly that Hart's speed belongs in the #2 spot.
  8. Never Outhustled
    Except that Hardy just outslugged Hart last year. Of course, we could throw out last years stats, but that would then show Hart to be the better OBA guy. Hart had a better OBA by 30 points in 2006 and 2007, and had higher OBAs in the minors. Last season was likely an outlier for Hart. Like I said in my original post, both players are similar hitters, and it makes perfect sense to put the 1 with awesome speed in the #2 spot of the lineup.
  9. Never Outhustled
    So you expect Hardy to again put up a higher than normal BABIP, like he did last season when he posted a career high in OBA? The more likely scenario is Hart stops refusing to walk, and then the rest of his numbers return to normal. Normal includes a higher OBA than Hardy. 2007 wasn't even a career high BABIP for Hart, so expecting a low BABIP from him isn't realistic.
  10. Never Outhustled
    I like your lineup. The only change I'd put Molitor at 2B, to make room for Cirillo at 3B. Cirillo was better than Gantner. When you try to fill out an all-time pitching staff, you quickly realize why the Brewers have such a sad history.
  11. Never Outhustled
    That statement is factless. I think everyone expects Hart to bounce back from his poor 2nd half last year. In 2007, Hart's OBA was 353, higher than Hardy has had in any season as a pro, majors or minors. Hart is a bigtime fastball hitter too. Any added benifit Hardy would have batting 2nd Hart would reep too.
  12. Never Outhustled
    I can not understand why so many want to bat Hardy 2nd and Hart 5th. They're basically the same hitter, but Hardy is slow, while Hart has awesome speed. It makes the most sense to give your best baserunners the oppurtunity to run the bases more by putting them in front of your best hitters. 1. Weeks 2. Hart 3. Braun 4. Fielder 5. Hardy 6. Cameron 7. Hall/Lamb 8. Kendall
  13. Never Outhustled
    Koskie has been injury prone for years, and that was before his concussion. I wouldn't worry about him being any help to the Cubs.
  14. Never Outhustled
    As JoeHova said, losing their 2nd round pick won't impact the Royals much, because they're willing to pay overslot for picks. They drafted and signed Tim Melleville in the 4th round last year. He was clearly a 1st round talent, but was demanding big money. They'll do that again. For a conservative team like the Brewers, losing a 2nd round pick would be crippling.
  15. Never Outhustled
    Brent Brewer pulled a home run to left field in the 7th to break a 3-3 tie in the Brewers' 5-3 win. I'm smiling. He's a budding superstar. I had him #6 on my prospect list, I was maybe too conservative.
  16. Never Outhustled
    Nobody is. The question wasn't what we should draft, but "to ask you what ideally would be the best player the Brewers could draft"? I think its a fun exercise, and I think that in the past this way of thinking has helped us unveil the Brewers intentions before the draft a few times in recent years. I think the only weakness Brewers drafts have had is the lack of early selections. I think they've done an amazing job when you consider Jack Z and the Brewers only had 13 picks in the 1st 2 rounds of his 1st 8 drafts. By comparison, the Twins drafted more top 2 round pitchers in 2004 than the Brewers did over that 8 year time span. The Twins drafted 25 players (signed 23) over that same 8 year span. That, to me, shows what a truely great job the Brewers did. If we look at rounds 3-5, the Brewers faired poorly the 1st few years, but now have a bunch of prospects from those rounds. Gamel and Salome are poor defensively, but Salome was actually drafted for his defensive tools, and Gamel could be a worthwhile defender at another position. Lucroy threw out 46% of basestealers last year. Brewer has bigtime range at SS, and nobody has more speed. Gillespie has terriffic strike zone discipline. I think the Brewers have drafted a wide variety of quality position talent.
  17. Never Outhustled
    I'll predict right now that by June the Yankeees will figure there pitching isn't nearly as good as they thought, and they'll sign Ben Sheets. The Brewers will get the Yankeees 4th rounder and a sandwich pick yet.
  18. Never Outhustled
    What kind of bat do you draft? A lefthanded bat. As Patrick shows, we are well stocked at each position, but any future Brewers team we project continues to be very righthanded. Actually, I think he could move as soon as next year, but to RF. As you've stated RF isn't completely clear in the future, but I think if it isn't Hart out there, its Braun. Gamel is a total wildcard in predicting future Brewers lineups. He could end up in LF, 1B, or in some alternate universe, actually make it at 3B. Luckily, many of the college bats the Brewers could consider with there 1st and sandwich round picks are lefthanded sluggers. Ben Paulsen, Blake Smith, and Tommy Mendonca interest me. Unlike so many players we've drafted, or even guys we considered drafting, Paulsen and Mendonca are top notch defenders. We've never really had the oppurtunity to draft a plus defender that could still slug.
  19. Never Outhustled
    This is why I'd be extremely hesitant to put Gagne on the club. He's so fragile. Why pay $1.5 milllion for a guy to pitch 2/3 of a season?
  20. Never Outhustled
    Gwynn's speed could help him a team as a PR/defensive replacement, but not this team. Our 3 starting OF's have good to great speed, and can defend their positions. Also, if we keep a speedy/no hit backup, I might prefer Duffy.
  21. Never Outhustled
    I have said in the past that Salome is a DH until he proves he's a catcher, and while he is improving his catching skills, he's still a DH. That's why he doesn't rank higher on prospect lists. However, holding his heighth against him as a hitter just doesn't hold water. The reason short players struggle at the plate is because they usually lack the arm length to cover the outside of the plate. Salome has a very disproportionate build, with the arms and torso of a big man, and stumps for legs. He is very good at covering the plate, and that is further enhanced by his inside out swing, and which he takes almost everything the other way. That's how he's able to produce such a high average, and doesn't show the HR totals you'd expect from a man with such awesome strength. It will be interesting to see if big league pitchers with detailed advanced scouting reports can find holes in Salome's approach, but that's not a certainty.
  22. Never Outhustled
    Mid teen HRs? He did that the last 2 years while playing overweight and blind, He has huge power when he's right.
  23. Never Outhustled
    Slimmed-down Hall eyeing redemtion Its absolutly huge news that Hall got himself back in shape. It was pretty obvious that he hasn't been the same player physically he was in 2006. He has been both heavier and significantly slower. Hall was once fast, and I'm guessing his swing was once much quicker too. The absolute best case scenario at 3B is to have anything close the the 2006 version of Bill Hall playing there. That player will would give us a top notch 3B through 2010.
  24. Never Outhustled
    When I was begging for the Brewers to draft Lawrie before the draft, it was as a 2B. I envisioned a righty swinging Chase Utley. Lawrie will need to play 2B fulltime to be ready defensivly when his bat is MLB ready, so I hope they don't mess around with other positions. I'd rather have him be an above average defensive 2B, than an average defender that can play multiple positions.
  25. Never Outhustled
    I'm the biggest Brewer backer here, (besides his agent) and I think he'll stay at SS. He cut his errors from 48 in 2007 to 35 last year. Thats pretty good when you consider he has bigtime range. All signs point to continued progress, I wouldn't be suprised if he posted an error total similar to what Escobar had at Huntesville this year. The exciting thing is Brewer has more offensive potential than Escobar.
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