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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    I just don't see Lynn as a guy you offer nearly $20 million a year for, regardless of whether the Brewers have the room on their payroll right now. If they are going to spend that kind of money in FA, get a bat and upgrade the offense and defense. If somehow the market isn't there for Lynn, I could live with $15 million a year for 3 years with a vesting option for a 4th. But I wouldn't go beyond that. Same applies for Arietta for that matter. Let someone else overpay. Bats are a different story. They could certainly use another quality bat, maybe one that won't strike out 150-200 times per year. The way to add quality pitching is through trades for guys on reasonable deals, such as Quintana or Gray. Next time that opportunity comes up, don't flinch.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    No doubt the Brewers would have offered an extension to Nelson had he not been injured. Jumping in and getting it done with Anderson who saw what can happen close up was a shrewd move. If he's good but the Brewers don't contend over the next couple years, he's prime trade bait. If they do contend, he's still affordable. Davies could be next?
  3. JohnBriggs12
    I'm not quite as comfortable with that rotation unless Hader is in the mix. In my mind Guerra is the wild card. If he returns close to his 16 form and I think he could, they'd have a chance at a top four of Anderson, Davies, Hader and Guerra and then leave the 5th spot for Woodruff or another young arm. I'm not that big on Lynn because he'll want at least 4 years and probably 5 and no way should the Brewers go that direction but they could use a vet who'd take a shorter term deal in case Guerra doesn't rebound. If they are patient in FA, somebody usually falls through the cracks.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    Stokes certainly has outproduced Ray even though he's 16 months younger. Yes he's short and a RH hitter, but being short and a RH hitter hasn't hurt Jose Altuve. I'd think he can still get better but I fear Stearns will get fleeced at some point dealing Stokes like he did in trading the Brewer minor league POY in the first half of 2017, Garrett Cooper, for the forgettable Tyler Webb.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    After being offended that reporters ask him about signing established NFL QB's, McCarthy shows he really has zero faith in the guy he's "prepared" for 3 years. What is it Mike? The old saying in the NFL is you run to win but you pass to score. With the porous Packer defense, they can't score enough just running the ball even when they are effective. McCarthy needs to take the training wheels off and let Hundley sink or swim getting the ball to his weapons.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Your definition of awful and mine must be quite different. He allowed 117 hits in 143 1/3 innings and had a solid WHIP of 1.24 and a BAA of .220. Plus you easily dismiss a September where he was lights out in 4 of 5 starts. His 2017 in fact was very similar to Chase Anderson's 2016. Anderson allowed 28 HR in 2016 in 155 innings. Odorizzi allowed 30 in 143 innings in the AL East. Anderson's strong finish in 2016 was a precursor to a breakout 2017. He's not a top of the rotation guy certainly so you don't give up the farm, but is he worth exploring? Certainly. The opportunity is there in 2018 and 2019. With Nelson's situation uncertain, adding a fairly reasonable option without a long term commitment to the mix isn't a bad idea as opposed to a similar type FA who'll want 4-5 years.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    Discussion on the radio yesterday in Chicago was which of these 4 the Cubs would deal this offseason: Schwarber, Happ, Baez, or Almora. The feeling is they will deal one of those four to get a controllable young starter. The Cubs have work to do heading into 2018. They lack starting pitching beyond their top 3. They need a closer and they need other bullpen help. Swarzak's name has come up so Brewers need to be prepared to spend a little to keep him.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    The answer is to sign Hosmer or Duda to play 1B and move Thames to RF. That would make up for the bulk of lost offense.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    Pass on running downs and run on passing downs. Hundley has the arm and ability to make all the throws. Don't limit him to dump offs. Take some shots downfield. Get him out of the pocket on occasion.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    This would sum up my thoughts also. I wasn’t a fan of the draft pick, but despite the disappointing results there are still elements of his physical abilities that leave hope he can develop into a major league contributor. It seems like scouts have always been higher on Ray than public opinion, and I think there are scouts that still see plenty of talent. That being said, I think next year is really important in terms of seeing improvements on the statistical end such as reducing his strikeout rate and elevating his on-base %. So what you are saying this was a pick that was overthought. When picking 5th, it should be a no-brainer, not something scouts see in a guy that the rest of us don't. Scouts earn their money finding guys throughout the draft. The top guys are generally obvious to all.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    I felt he was a reach when the Brewers drafted him. I still feel he was a reach. 5th overall picks out of college should be finished products or darn near close. Ray was far from that. He's a fine athlete with the kind of back story MLB wants to see more of and a toolsy guy but there's pressure that comes with being a top 10 overall pick. He didn't have the advantages of guys who played year round against top competition in their age group growing up so that's making the adjustment more difficult to pro ball. But you just don't draft guys that high who need extra time to develop. Many never make it.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    I'm not all that concerned about Erceg's "short ABs". He drove in 81 runs batting .256 overall this year. In 2016 he drove in 51 in 272 ABs. He's got a run producing mentality and avoids high K numbers by putting the ball in play. His future is hitting 5th or 6th in a lineup. He'll learn over time to lay off pitches in the dirt.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Royals are said to be hoping to retain at least one or two of their FA. Dealing Duffy might give them some salary room to keep a Hosmer or a Moustakis. I think they'd want a pitcher with a decent ceiling back in the deal. Ortiz maybe? There's no way they deal Merrifield. Yeah Mondesi is waiting in the wings at 2B, but no doubt Merrifield will move to another position to make room. Merrifield is a core player for them now.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    There's a fair chance the Stros will non-tender Mike Fiers. Wouldn't be a bad idea to bring him in on the cheap to compete for the 5th starter job if they want to buy some time for a young arm.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    LeMahieu isn't a FA until next year.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Parra was 25 when he logged 166 innings in 2008. That's hardly overuse. He started 74 games for the Brewers which is plenty of time to be evaluated. He simply wasn't good enough. Parra had a big arm, but there's a lot more to being a successful major league pitcher than a big arm. Most of his issues were between the ears.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Well I have to go with my guy Sean Halton, who I thought showed enough in his brief trial in 2013 to warrant at least shot at the 1B job or at least a utility role in 2014 as he also could play corner OF too but he was taken of the 40 man after the season and never got a shot the next spring. Eventually he ended up being drafted in minor league phase by the O's and got shuffled backward there. The knock on him was for a big strong guy he didn't hit a ton of HR and that's true, but he's now driving the ball enough to hit 48 over the past two seasons with the Lancaster Barnstormers. Given the lack of production at 1B for the 2014 Brewers, who knows where his career would have gone if he'd been given a shot.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    He's a mirror of Walker with the bat in that he's better vs. LHP, so a Cabrera/Sogard combo might be better fit than Walker/Sogard. I think Walker will get a deal similar to the one Cabrera signed prior to 2016. All depends on when you see Hiura in the big leagues and what the Mets would want. I don't think it's out of the question Hiura is ready offensively by 2019. If it's more like 2020, then Walker might make more sense on a 2 yrs plus option. I think I'd take Cabrera over say a year of 36 year old Ian Kinsler.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    I don't think is as big a risk as you make it out to be if they can sign a bat in FA and it doesn't have to be an outfield bat either. Thames came up as a RF and while he's no whiz defensively, certainly neither is Santana. Even if they went with Aguilar full time at 1B with a Thames/Perez platoon in RF, is that a much weaker lineup than with Santana and Thames? I don't think so. That would give Brinson time in the OF against LHP and when Braun is off to hone is offense against big league pitching. Now if Santana is traded it should be as a centerpiece of a deal for a quality controllable starter (Stroman?) and not a prospect. Granted Santana alone won't get a Stroman, but paired with a quality arm prospect close to major leagues would at least get Toronto's attention as Bautista looks about done.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    Walker's not getting close to $14 million per year. He'll get more like 2yr $16-18m. I'm not sure I'd even go that high. At this point, he's an aging poor man's Scooter Gennett. Sign him for your price, not his if possible. Sogard's a better value and I doubt they'll sign both. If they did, Villar will be either traded for minimal return or non-tendered. I don't think the Brewers can outbid the big markets for Darvish. That money would be better spent on Eric Hosmer, allowing them to deal Santana for a controllable less costly arm, and move Thames to RF to platoon with Perez initially. Prior to deadline, trade Thames, move Phillips to RF and put Brinson in CF for good, assuming he's shown he can hit in platoon arrangement leading up to that time. I'm on board with Swarzak.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    Some of us don't wait until the season is over to question decisions. I predicted the day it happened that letting Gennett go would come back and bite them, and that letting the Cubs fix their rotation coming out of the break by nabbing a guy the Brewers were interested in was a fatal mistake. I agree with the sentiment that when you miss by one game it's a major disappointment. We have no idea when things will fall into place and give the Brewers the kind of opportunity they had in 2017. Stearns made some small moves that helped but he hesitated on the big move they needed.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers still had Khris Davis, Scooter and Nelson in their system after the Greinke trade. That trio was pretty productive in 2017.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Isn't Copper now blocked on Yankees?
  24. JohnBriggs12
    I think it's adorable that the writer thinks the Giants have enough prospects to get Santana. What terrible writing. Not only do they not have the prospects to get Santana, but even dumber is the fact Domingo Santana doesn't play CF...the point of the article. Not only a CFer, but one that plays good defense. I mean is it seriously that hard to look up Santana's defensive statistics and realize he would never play CF even remotely close to good? Memo to the writer, the Brewers aren't rebuilding now either having finished one game short of the playoffs. There's no way Santana is dealt for prospects at this point, unless they are top 30 types and ready for major league action in 2018.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Trading Braun after this past season will be tough. But if Ryan Zimmerman can go from a .642 OPS in 2016 to a .930 OPS in 2017, then there's hope that if Braun can stay healthy, he'll be more productive in 2018. I think he'll be motivated.
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