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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Generally speaking I don't think teams put a ton of stock in Winter League stats, but when they are skewed as badly as Santana's are, they have to be concerned.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    The only match I see with the Nationals is if they make Clint Robinson available as a cheap short term 1B option for the Brewers. Robinson is similar to Shane Peterson only with more power and bat better suited for a 1B/LF. Probably wouldn't take much at all to get him either. Not a good defender but hey he'll come a lot cheaper than Alavarez. If the Nats were to sign Chris Davis, they might even DFA Robinson
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Unless I've missed something, they can't forfeit while they await prospects and they'll need somebody to be out there. They are going to need some sort of a major league roster structure and that includes some lefties in the pen. He was decent in 2014 and worth a look.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    Don't believe he was picked up for that reason. Even to win 65-70 games, you need guys capable of filling roles and they need LH relievers. He wasn't bad in 2014, and if he pitches back to that form, sure there could be some limited interest but not worth signing just for that purpose.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    Why not make a run Daniel Murphy to play 1B? He wants a 4 year deai. That would take him through 2019 when he'll be 34. If the Brewers are looking at 2018 as the year they can start making a push and they should as its a year that coincides with some potential for Cubs to fall back a bit (Arrieta and Lackey will be FA. Lester and Zobrist will be nearing the end). Of course convincing a guy like Murphy that Milwaukee is a spot he'd want to come is a monumental task at this point.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    This deal also might be a sign that they'll play Lucroy more at 1B next year.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    I agree with that assessment. But we won't hear them say that. The Rogers deal might just be a precursor to another deal involving an outfielder packaged with Segura.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    Boras is his agent. It will take some money to sign Alvarez and probably a few years. Not that I'd be opposed necessarily as there are no 1B in the Brewer pipeline. Morneau is still out there as well as short term flip option.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    More weakening of the major league roster. Sure Rogers will be 28 but he's a minimum wage player for a couple more years. Broxton isn't that young either and the teenager pitcher has a 5.85 ERA in pro ball. Some return. Didn't read Attanasio's letter. Did he mention lowering ticket prices?
  10. JohnBriggs12
    Kelly Johnson is out there as a poor man's Alvarez. Has played all over including 1B. Could be counted on for some power, and around a .750 OPS vs, RHP. Might take a bit more than the $1.5 million he played for last year but not much more.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    Yadiel Rivera's numbers in AFL were unsustainable (high BABIP and high K rate) so not surprised he's struggling now.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    With Lucroy: 2,280,000 If Lucroy is traded: 1,875,000 A trade of Lucroy will be huge signal to fans, "Don't bother for at least 2 years" Old habits die hard but if they lose 100 games, they won't top 1.6 million in 2017. It will be extremely depressing and felt by those that do show up and see a stadium that's 2/3 empty every night.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Where are all these guys going to play? There's only so many spring training games and it's not like results in Arizona mean anything anyway. Stearns is really scraping the bottom of the barrel for names. Not a good sign.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Davis AB/HR rate of 14.5 was better than all but Bryce Harper, Carlos Gonzalez (Q) and Mike Stanton (NQ) in the NL. His career rate of one HR ever 17.2 AB's would have tied him with Goldschmidt for 7th last year. If he gets 550 AB's and reverts to his career rate, that's 32 HR. If he maintains his 2015 rate, that's 38. Trading him now would be repeating the mistake Pittsburgh made dealing Bautista or Cincinnati trading Encarnacion early. Davis value isn't likely to go down a year from now but it could well skyrocket with a 40 HR season. While I'm not predicting he'll hit 40, the potential is certainly there.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    His contract isn't so much a hindrance. If Braun could opt out now, a $100 million over 5 would be about right for a player of his caliber and age. What teams won't do is pay that amount and add top talent to acquire him. Brewers can certainly afford him and if he performs well over the next 2-3 years, they'll still be able to move him if they need room to extend or add other players.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Darn. I would have offered him a modest one year major league deal around $2-$2.5 million. They are going to regret that one.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    For the Brewers to build a winner, they have to hit on every pick they make in the top 10 and when I say hit, they need to turn those picks into guys who'll threaten to make All Star teams in their peak years before the Brewers won't be able to afford them. The Brewers don't have a Greinke who'll empty out another team's prospects. They have to hit in the draft and internationally.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    You are assuming that the Brewers will be able to rebuild a fan base similar to the past after they tank for 3-4 years? That's not a safe assumption. The Brewer emergence from 07-11 was helped in large part by mismanagement of their division rivals, particularly the Cubs, and the Astros, who then essentially threw in the towel. Other than a similarly struggling Reds franchise, I don't see the division rivals cooperating again.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers get too high a percentage of their revenue from gate receipts to follow Cub and Astro models. In Chicago and Houston they could afford to let attendance drop and it did. Cub attendance, less affected no doubt by the novelty of Wrigley Field, went from 3.3 million in 08 down to 2.6 in 13 and 14. Houston's dropped almost in half from 3 million in 2007 down to 1.6 million in from 2012-2014. But both those teams are in big markets and have large amounts of revenue from local broadcast rights. If the Brewers look like their going to lose 100 games every year, they will be lucky to draw 1.5 million and may never, ever get back to their peak years. Keep in mind that the Astros attendance in 2015 of 2,153,585 was a far cry from a decade ago. Fans lost by a small market are fans that might never come back. In big markets, again no big deal, they just create new ones.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    Stearns has no track record whatsoever so I'm not as inclined to give him the benefit of the doubt and even if he did, targeting pitchers in their teens is a complete crapshoot beyond the very, very elite. If this deal never pays off it will be long forgotten, so there was literally no downside for Stearns as they've already conditioned the fan base not to expect to see competitive teams for the foreseeable future. That proves Stearns is clever enough to keep heat off himself but that's about it.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    If they were certain Santana would put up .250/.330/.530 with 30-35 HR they'd probably be fine with him in CF. I just think they fear he'll put up more like .220/.290/.430 with 200+ strikeouts. If he puts up monster numbers at AAA, as he's likely to do in Colorado, he'll still be a corner OF option if Davis is eventually dealt. I'm guessing the hope is Davis puts up monster numbers like 40 and 110, which will make him a very attractive trade target next winter and Santana uses 2016 to improve his plate discipline and contact.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    That's a good thing???
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Cubs aren't going to deal Schwarber, period. His bat is off the charts. He's right up there with the best young power bats I've ever seen. I was too young to see a young Eddie Mathews, but Mathews was getting compared to the Babe. He's not a good outfielder but there have been a lot worse.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    Those cheering on the Brewers tear down for some future promise of success need to take a hard look at what they are up against. They might have a better chance of competing by spending their energy on petitioning MLB for a return to the AL rather than hoping that somehow they'll accumulate enough prospects to knock out a Cub team that will have a core of guys like Bryant, Schwarber, Russell and now Heyward in their primes in 3 to 5 years. The fact is the Brewers aren't the Cubs or the Astros. They didn't magically become placed in a major market. When whatever talent they are able produce from their system the next several years emerges, they won't be able to supplement it with guys on contracts like Heyward or Lester. That's why I'm on here always banging the drum for management to put the best team possible on the field every year. It's always going to be a long shot for the Brewers whether they are loaded with guys who were highly regarded prospects or they have a veteran team that disappointed the year before. That's the way it is. But sometimes the stars align and long shots come in. Long shot chances are better than no chance.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Shane Peterson is still around.
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