If Kennedy is as good as you say he is, there's no way he's settling for 2 years, no matter how saturated the market is, especially at age 30. He's not going to want to go back to free agency at age 32. He's going to want a contract through age 34, at minimum There's plenty of supply out there. Once the big time markets get their fill they will jettison some of their other arms. He might have to settle if he and Boras think he's better than his results the last couple years. It would only take one year where he fans 200 with an ERA under 3.30 and instead of getting 3 year offers for $30 million, he'll get 5 year offers for $80 million next off season. So why not take one year at $10 million and take your chances? Look at what Theo did with undervalued FA starters in Chicago. He signed Scott Feldman for 1 year and $6 million and that helped him get Arrieta. He signed Hammel for one year and $9 million then flipped him as part of Addison Russell deal. In Pittsburgh, they signed Liriano a couple years ago for 1 year and $6 million, and ended up re-signing him. All 3 of those pitchers signed multi-year deals the following seasons. Kennedy is coming of a year where he was 9-15 with a pedestrian 4.28 ERA. He's certainly a candidate to take a short term deal, especially if you can load it with incentives and he's more likely to take that from a team like the Brewers where he knows he'll get the innings and he basically is assured he'll end up on a contender by August.