JohnBriggs12
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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12
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But Pierre doesn't hit .100 for a week. Here are his week by week BA in the 8 weeks he played in place of Manny: .407/.292/.333/.300/.200/.258/.208/.308. In the week he hit .200, he walked twice. In the week he hit .208, he walked once and was hit by 2 pitches. Pierre has led the league in triples and in 4 seperate seasons had reached double digits in triples. He's certainly more of an extra base threat than say is Jason Kendall. Granted he hits a lot of singles but a guy that only strikes out once in every 16 AB's is going to get a lot "lucky" hits. He's also a very adept bunter and that forces the 3B to constantly play up which opens a hole on the left side. His ability to bunt his way on is another way he avoids big slumps. Plus for a guy who's always making contact, he's very tough to double up. Oh, he'll hit into the DP occasionally because he makes so much contact but he has to hit it right at an infielder. How consistent is he? In the 52 months since becoming a starter, he's hit under .250 just 7 times (only once since 2007) and he's never hit under .215 (that was in 2002) in any given month. Hence you'd be hard pressed to find too many weeks where he hits .100 endaround.
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"This one counts"...yea or nay?
JohnBriggs12 replied to brewtown82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The game itself was pretty much a bore as usual though it did move along faster than normal. If you miss the pregame stuff, you miss the show. -
I know he generates hate on here but Pierre is a proven commodity as a leadoff hitter and he's a winner. He's not Tony Gwynn (though Gwynn would look good now). He's always putting the ball in play and he can still run which makes him almost ammune to bad streaks which is a huge issue with this offense. Compared to some of the guys the Brewers have had at the top of the order, he's light years ahead. He's probably not worth $10 million (so it won't take much to get him) but neither was Cameron and his salary actually drops to $8.5 million in 2011.
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With the return of Manny, Juan Pierre is once again relegated to the Dodger bench. In the 56 games Pierre has started (mostly leading off) he hit .335/.393/.415. Overall he's hitting .328/.387/.417 with 23 steals. Though he played mostly LF, there's no reason at 32 (next year) he can't still play CF. His huge contract has only 2 years left after this season ($10 million in 10; $8.5 million in 11) and doesn't look as out of whack as it did a couple years ago. Given that Cain will not likely be ready next year and the Brewer need for a top of the order hitter and a CF, do the Brewers make a play for Pierre? Maybe not this year, but in the offseason? Yes, I know he doesn't take walks and can't throw, but he's always been able to hit his way on at a rate that his OBP is at least respectable and his ability to get bunts down and be a pest on the bases does cause teams trouble.
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Trade candidates not named Roy Halladay
JohnBriggs12 replied to chansen's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Given KC's very disappointing season, their outlook for ticket sales for 2010 cannot be too good. Even though Meche's remaining contract ($24 million over 10 and 11), is not all that onerous (see Suppan), their management has to look at his 4-9 record and figure they could get that out of any number of cheaper guys who figure to be available this offseason in what figures to again be a depressed market. The Brewers might even consider asking about Juan Cruz and/or David DeJesus both of whom have underperformed this year relative to their contracts and thus good "buy low" values with attributes that Brewers could use this year and next. -
Robin19, Why would you want the Cubs to get out from under those horrendous contracts? Of course a bankruptcy doesn't affect player contracts. But the idea of the Cubs declaring bankruptcy is a complete misuse of bankruptcy law. Bankruptcy prevents creditors from taking actions to collect legitimate debts and should only be used by companies that are insolvent. The Cubs are hardly insolvent. Now the Seattle Pilots were insolvent when Bud bought them out of bankruptcy court back in 1970.
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Anundsen should be in AA at any time now. Braddock is already there and has a 0.00 ERA and has now fanned 53 hitters in 34 1/3 IP total this season (51.4% of outs recorded). Both are 21 year old pitchers. Rankings aside, those 2 are pieces I'm sure the Blue Jays would find attractive. Bottom line, I don't think it's that far fetched that the Brewers could come up with a package that would interest Toronto.
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How much longer can they keep Anundsen in A ball? Experts say the Brewers don't have young pitching to get a deal done for Halladay. Having both Anundsen who's barely 21 and Braddock who won't turn 22 until August already having success at AA could change that perception in a hurry.
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Who is going to replace Villa in the bully?
JohnBriggs12 replied to Hammer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
That argument is refuted by the presence of Suppan, Bush, and Looper in the rotation now, none of whom is considered to have great stuff either. The closest any of those guys have to a superior pitch is Looper's splitter. All have a variety of pitches they can throw for strikes to keep hitters somewhat off balance. Villanueva has an assortment of 4 pitches too. I'm not saying he's a future one or two starter, but he's a guy who could be very serviceable as a 4 or 5. Given the lack of starters in the high minors, and his recent struggles in the pen, why not at least keep him in the starter mix instead of having him lose confidence in a pen mopup role? -
To quote Dennis Green: "they are who we thought they were" (at least some of us). They are a seriously flawed team that played well for 6 weeks earlier in large part because the bullpen was lights out. The lineup has 2 stars and a collection of some of the streakiest hitters in the game. The rotation is a guy developing into an ace and a bunch of 4th starters. Melvin has serious work to do because he's got old guys with expiring contracts holding down 3 key positions (C, CF and Closer). While it's great how well the fans have supported this team, even that is a double edged sword. How likely is it that fans who are being treated to such bad baseball are going to buy tickets in advance next year? The next couple months are going to be very interesting however it plays out.
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I have very little faith that a guy who hasn't pitched effectively in the majors for 4 years is going to suddenly be effective again. He's worth a look I suppose, but I hold out very little hope he'd be any help this year.
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Who is going to replace Villa in the bully?
JohnBriggs12 replied to Hammer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Villanueva is younger than Dillard or Parra. I've always thought they closed the door on him as a starter way too soon. I'd send him down and let him start in Nashville and see if he can revive himself. As for his replacement, 2 bullpen veterans are pitching quite well down there, Ryan Houston and Matt Ginter. There's also the possibility of keeping Burns around when Bush is back. -
Parra, Escobar, and Lawrie is a deal that Toronto would strongly consider. They already have a need at SS. Parra gives them an immediate replacement in their rotation especially if they scouted his outing yesterday and Lawrie could be the toast of Canada with tremendous local appeal. I'd prefer the deal to include Rios, by changing the offer to Hardy, Hart, Gamel, Parra and Lawrie for Halladay and Rios. Hardy and Hart would offset some salary and would allow the Brewers to include Gamel instead of Escobar who of the two Brewer prospects is in my book the superior. Gamel should appeal to the Jays as well as successor either for Rolen or Overbay.
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Manny Parra Up, Chris Narveson DFA
JohnBriggs12 replied to razzzorsharp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
How about some credit for Parra's performance to Mike Rivera? Parra came out and established his fastball and Rivera kept calling for it unlike Kendall who would often have Parra use all his pitches early. Later on he mixed in his breaking pitches but everything worked off his fastball. Now I don't think this one start means Parra is over his problems. But Macha needs to keep pairing him with Rivera. -
The Kendall playing everyday situation defies all logic. First he's been basically a .230 hitter with zero power for 3 straight seasons. He had a good year throwing out runners in 2008, but he's back to below average this year. How that translates to a starting catching job, much less one that never gets days off is beyond me. The argument that Rivera is such a bad catcher and can't be used except in an emergency is also ludicrous. First, Rivera's been around. He's been with 2 other major league teams. He's played many games in AAA. But if he were that bad, it's not all that hard to make a minor deal for backup catching. Backup catchers move from team to team every year and are easily dealt for. If Rivera's not adequate, find someone who is. But please stop sending Kendall out there day after day after day.
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My sentiments exactly. If he's good enough to be on the roster (and I think he is), then he should be playing. What a joke the other day when they were up 11-2 on the Cubs and Macha let Kendall finish the game. As was pointed out Kendall is not Joe Mauer. He's not even Damien Miller. Teams defense him like a little leaguer. His contract is up in 2 1/2 months and if they bring him back, there should be a march on Miller Park.
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As reported by Jordan Bastian (sorry no link), the Blue Jays will eat the approximately $15 million left on his contract. Which of course begs the question, at what point will the Brewers decide they can eat the rest of Bill Hall's contract?
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He had a period last year where he had a low ERA, his peripherals were pretty terrible while doing it though. He just had a good run of a low BABIP and not giving up as many HR as would be expected from his number of flyballs. Aren't you a big Parra fan Ennder? Eveland's 09 numbers were virtually identical to Parra's. Both made 29 starts. Eveland pitched 168 innings with a 4.34 ERA and went 9-9 with a 1.482 WHIP. Parra went 10-8 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.542 WHIP in 166 innings. Eveland walked 77. Parra walked 75. Parra had more Ks 149 to Eveland's 119. Opposing hitters hit .278 vs. Parra and .269 vs. Eveland. The BABIP vs. Eveland was .313. That's not extraordinary. I don't know how you can say his peripherals were terrible. Now as for 2009, the Parra/Eveland comparisons continue and they've both been awful in the big leagues. The one difference between the two over the past 2 years is Eveland has to face the DH and Parra gets to face the pitcher. Eveland's also a year younger. Otherwise they're pretty much the same, both struggling, fairly young lefties with decent stuff who struggle with command issues against big league hitters.
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The problem the Brewers have is nobody in the division with the possible exception of the Bucs has been eliminated. Unless they find a pitcher somewhere in the next couple days and a couple guys break out of slumps quickly, a hot spell by any of the Cards, Cubs, Reds or Astros, could bury them quickly which would in the long run probably be better than if they stayed in touch but faltered in September. It would give them a great chance to stock up for 2010 and beyond. The market for pitching has me thinking what would Braden Looper bring?
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http://www.jsonline.com/sports/brewers/50183002.html He's clearly overrating Vazquez who's a nice pitcher but not a top of the line guy and in no way would make the Brewers close to a playoff lock. No way I give up Gamel or Escobar for any pitcher out there not named Halladay.
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JJ Hardy for Clay Buchholz?
JohnBriggs12 replied to MessiahRp's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
For the Boston fans out there, you should realize that Hardy hit a total of 50 HR in 07 and 08 and he's got the kind of swing that he could easily exceed 30 playing half his games in Fenway and he's not yet 27. So you wouldn't be getting some washed up has been. I think a big part of Hardy's issues this year is that he knows this is likely his last season as a Brewer and it's weighing on him since he's grown up in the Brewer organization. Besides if Bucholz was really that special, he'd be in Boston now. He's almost 25 so it's not like he's a phenom kid. For Brewer fans who think Hardy's value has really sunk, remember back when Podsednik followed up a terrific 03 with a very mediocre 04 yet he still brought back a middle of the order hitter in Carlos Lee? Teams aren't going to evaluate Hardy based on just his 09 season. I'd make that deal not because I think the Brewers would be fleecing Boston or because Bucholz would make a difference this year (I doubt he would) but because it's time to start the Alcides Escobar era and because I think Hardy's underachieving with Escobar ready to take his job. -
Simple. The bench needs another right-handed bat. When Counsell sits, right now the bench has 4 left-handed bats and only Rivera from the right side. Bourgeois or Heether give them a right-handed bat that's not a catcher (Rivera) or mired in a horrible slump (Hall). Bourgeois has played exclusively OF this year, but he's played a lot of IF in his career and Heether could play several positions too.
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I think Gamel's going down for a crash course in RF, and they are bringing up Bourgeois who will take some PT away from both Cameron and Hart.
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Vazquez is having an exceptional year (for him). Four of his last five seasons, he's been very Suppan-like with ERA's between 4.42 and 4.91. He'd be an improvement but he's not worth either Gamel or Escobar. I don't see him as a guy you'd want to count on to win a big game either.
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Top Notch Starters at Deadline
JohnBriggs12 replied to Hate those Rodents's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Take a look at Vernon Wells' contract and you'll understand why they have to dump salary. The problem they have is Halladay is the only high price guy that has trade value. Halladay is the one guy I'd consider giving up Escobar for. If the Brewers gave up their number 3 prospect for a half season of Sabathia, it stands to reason that a year and a half for Halladay would be worth the number one. Escobar, Parra and a lower level prospect would be the offer.