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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    Sorry but it gets annoying every time a discussion comes up someone has to nitpick some comment that is secondary to the main point. Braun is also pretty close to triple crown numbers and he is 6th in WAR for hitters in baseball and if he were a little weaker fielder he would fall to 13th. Ellsbury doesn't lead in a single triple crown stat and is tops in baseball in WAR. Pujols isn't really that far off the triple crown pace and he is 22nd in baseball in WAR. There are tons of scenarios where you could win the triple crown and not be one of the top 10 players in the game, especially if you include pitchers.
  2. Ennder
    If you lead the league in both average and homeruns, I would imagine it's all but a lock that you'll lead the league in SLG% as well. And unless the player takes a Yuni B bad amount of walks, he's also going to be top 3-5 in OBP% at worst. I just can't foresee a scenario where such a player would only be 'top ten or so' unless you HEAVILY weight defensive runs. This really has very little to do with the discussion but is what I've come to expect I guess. Yes a player can hit .330 with 40 HR, 120 RBI and just not hit many doubles, not take many walks and be a horrible fielder and not be one of the top 10 players in baseball, it is very plausible. It also really has nothing at all to do with the discussion at hand.
  3. Ennder
    I would say that any player who is in the top 3 in RBI, HR, and AVG is probably among the top five most valuable based on whatever other metrics you want to use. Kinda like if a pitcher has 25 quality starts in a year he's more than likely going to have decent numbers across the board even though a quality start in and of itself isn't all that impressive. I think you are completely wrong here but rather than nitpick lets look at a real world example. If Kemp ends the season hitting .003 off of the lead league in average should that really change whether he is MVP or not, should falling just short by a really small margin change who is most valuable? Just being the triple crown guy shouldn't win or lose it, being just shy in all 3 should most likely still place him heavily in the running but gaining small amounts in all 3 making him the triple crown guy should never be what pushes him into the MVP, it is just silly.
  4. Ennder
    "So when Christian Laettner goes a perfect 10-10 from the floor and 10-10 from the line in the 1992 Elite 8 it ALL random luck, no room whatsoever for an increase in performance from being "clutch" or just focusing more when it really matters? And you know this for a fact as much as you know 1 + 1 = 2? You will not concede that it was possible for Laettner to control his performance at all instead of him just simply getting lucky? " No but the reality is it could just be random luck so there is no way to know if it is clutch or luck. These kind of streaks happen all the time in simulated leagues which proves that even if you take the human element out of the equation they are going to happen just randomly. There is no good way to know if it is random or some sort of skill shown by the player. It makes it extremely hard to judge what causes streaks like this when it makes completely sense that it could just be random noise.
  5. Ennder
    Just about anything but three stats that have very little to do with how good a player is when taken out of context. It is very easy to lead the league in AVG or HR or RBI and not be anywhere near the best player in baseball, it is still plausible to lead in all three and not be even top 10 or so. If you want him to win MVP look at things like OPS etc first and not secondary stats. In this case Kemp is a very worthy player but to say that winning the triple crown should be an auto MVP is just completely off base.
  6. Ennder
    Given how crappy the rest of their starters are they just might do that. There is no reason not to pitch someone on 3 days rest in a playoff series, Wolf starting would disappoint me, especially given the recent injury.
  7. Ennder
    I'm confused as to why Wolf would pitch at all. People keep saying Detroit will be so tough in a 5 game series because Verlander will get to pitch 3 times and then they say the Brewers will use 4 pitchers, those two comments make no sense together.
  8. Ennder
    Kemp winning the triple crown should have almost nothing to do with him winning MVP, but the reality is it will win it for him if he pulls it off.
  9. Ennder
    I don't think many teams would trust Berkman to stay healthy for multiple years at this point but there is always that one team willing to do something foolish I guess.
  10. Ennder
    To be fair every one of our OF missed time with injuries at some point this year or Kotsay would have fewer AB. I had a lot of issues with his usage early in the season when everyone was healthy for sure though.
  11. Ennder
    Green has not impressed me even a little bit, McGehee has looked terrible. I'm not going to lose any sleep no matter who gets the starts at 3B. Counsell is probably the best man for the job and that is pretty sad.
  12. Ennder
    The Cardinals are a better team than the DBacks and the Braves are really banged up and their bullpen is worn out so I certainly hope they miss the playoffs. Not really because they are playing great right now though, since that kind of thing rarely sustains itself.
  13. Ennder
    The difference between the two is huge from a franchise standpoint I'm not sure how you can really say it is the same thing. The more playoff games the team gets to play the better in general not only from a revenue standpoint but from an experience standpoint.
  14. Ennder
    The big problem is the sample size never reaches a point where you can clearly say it is luck or not because after just 81 road games you start a new season and have new players and the data becomes corrupted for lack of a better word.
  15. Ennder
    They are just very subjective, check into multiple systems that come up with adjustments and they don't really agree on the values. It is hard to say exactly how much more valuable a SS is than a 1B than a CF etc, then when you add P and C into the mix it gets really hard. Any discussion you see on the topic of positional adjustments almost always includes a disclaimer that the values are a bit suspect. Then any time you start comparing to the average or replacement player you get into even murkier waters, does Albert Pujols getting hurt make all hitters in the league better, because OPS+ says it does. I guess my point is not to argue if two pretty close in value players are better than each other, saying one guy is a 3.5 WAR player and another is a 3 WAR player really doesn't mean much because the margins of error are just too large. The other point is that no matter what stat you pick to judge players by it is going to be flawed in some way, so telling someone their stat is flawed isn't going to mean too much because your stat is flawed too. They all are flawed in one way or another.
  16. Ennder
    Craig Counsell!
  17. Ennder
    The deeper you go in the playoffs the more revenue it tends to produce and the more national press the city/team gets, which means the payroll can be higher in the following seasons.
  18. Ennder
    I'd guess we win 7 or 8 and clinch on the 23rd since we have tickets for that night. If baseball has taught me one thing over the years it is how the team has looked over whatever small sample has little to do with how they will look over the next small sample.
  19. Ennder
    There is absolutely no reason to believe that McGehee's power spike in August means anything. There are tons of reasons to think Green is better going forward. There are reasons to think he 'could be' better, there is no reason to think he 'will be' better. There is a difference. I don't think one solution is a lock over the other, especially not to the point to say the manager is failing by making one decision over the other.
  20. Ennder
    McGehee has a .758 OPS over his last 62 games and a .782 OPS over his last 37 games. Most of the complaints about RR being insane for playing him are pretty baseless. There is no reason to think Green is an upgrade over McGehee in future games.
  21. Ennder
    No reason at all to panic yet though I wish we were playing better obviously.
  22. Ennder
    This list completely baffles me, so many players on it that have no negative reputation at all from a character standpoint.
  23. Ennder
    In other news, Fielder is a realist...
  24. Ennder
    He was safe but I'll take it!
  25. Ennder
    Bill, the correct answer is very little of a pitchers success should go to the catcher~.
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